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Drought 2023


nwohweather
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3 hours ago, SolidIcewx said:

Never know since it’s still far out. Dreams are what holds us together here :D

I’m thinking the death ridge is going to expand in July and there will be triple digit heat at some point.  That will be the excitement.  The drought will just get worse due to evap rates even if there are some storms to track.

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Drought Information Statement
National Weather Service Chicago/Romeoville IL
1114 AM CDT Thu Jun 15 2023 /1214 PM EDT Thu Jun 15 2023/

...Moderate to Severe Drought Conditions Now Exist Across Portions of
Northeast Illinois and Northwest Indiana...

SYNOPSIS...
Many areas of northern Illinois northwest and Indiana have
received significantly below average rainfall since the beginning
of spring. For example, Midway Airport in Chicago, Illinois, has
recorded just 2.72 inches of precipitation since April 1, which is
7.1 inches below the 30-year average and the second lowest since
the early 1900s. Similar rainfall deficits are present across much
of northeast Illinois and far northwest Indiana. Drought conditions
have thus further deteriorated across much of the area.

Severe drought conditions are now present across portions of far
northeastern Illinois and far northwestern Indiana, including the
Chicago metropolitan area. Severe drought conditions are now
present in multiple areas in northern Illinois and northwest
Indiana, including the Chicago metropolitan area. Moderate drought
conditions cover corridor from west central Illinois through
northern Indiana outside of the severe drought area.


SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...
Volunteer observers across the area indicate lower than typical
water levels in ponds and streams. Reports also indicate that some
lawns have gone dormant. There has also been stress to trees and
shrubs. Limited impacts to agriculture have been reported,
including reduced growth rates. Data available from the Illinois
State Water Survey, USGS, and NCEP indicate that soil moisture,
groundwater, and surface water levels remain below normal.


CLIMATE SUMMARY...
Over the last 30 days, rainfall in northeast Illinois and
northwest Indiana has ranged from 5% to 75% of average. The most
significant rainfall deficits over the last 30 days were located
near the Chicago metro area, including Cook, DuPage, Will, and
Lake (IL) counties.


PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...
There are only very limited chances for rainfall over the next 7
days, with amounts across the greater Midwest region generally
forecast to be less than 0.5 inches. Dry and warm conditions are
forecast next week, with highs in the 80s.

The Climate Prediction Center`s (CPC) 30-Day Outlook indicates no
strong signal for above or below average preciptiation over the
next 6-10 days or the next 7-14 days.


HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...
For most rivers in northern Illinois streamflow values are below
average for this time of year. Multiple small streams are near the
lowest observed streamflow levels for mid-June. Without additional
rainfall, river and stream levels will remain below average or
slowly fall.

At many locations, groundwater and soil moisture remain below
average. Without additional rainfall, soil moisture and groundwater
levels will remain at low levels.
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This is what 0.24" of rain in the past 34 days looks like lol.  Getting pretty fried looking out there.  Just trying to keep these relatively newly planted trees (2020 & 2021) alive through this bad dry spell with plenty of watering.  
 
061723-2.thumb.jpg.b8cc0604e7808372ef3f2cca2b7637e1.jpg
How's the corn holding up in back?
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28 minutes ago, kevlon62 said:
40 minutes ago, cyclone77 said:
This is what 0.24" of rain in the past 34 days looks like lol.  Getting pretty fried looking out there.  Just trying to keep these relatively newly planted trees (2020 & 2021) alive through this bad dry spell with plenty of watering.  
 
061723-2.thumb.jpg.b8cc0604e7808372ef3f2cca2b7637e1.jpg

How's the corn holding up in back?

That corn on the left is sweet corn from neighbors garden.  It's doing so so with help from lots of watering.  The farm field behind and on the right has beans this year.  Def growing slower than normal but at least it still mostly looks green, for now. 

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1 hour ago, cyclone77 said:

This is what 0.24" of rain in the past 34 days looks like lol.  Getting pretty fried looking out there.  Just trying to keep these relatively newly planted trees (2020 & 2021) alive through this bad dry spell with plenty of watering.  

 

061723-2.jpg

That is the definition of parched.

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On 6/17/2023 at 11:12 PM, nwohweather said:

Good news was my town missed the tornadoes from Thursday. Bad news is we got absolutely no rain compared to the folks just off to the east. At least the golf ball has some serious roll out there

golf ball hail has some serious downward speed

yeah,

least thundery spring probably in history here

June 11-14 and then, overlapping by 1 day, June 13-16, precip by MRMS/multisensor. Some of Ohio and Indiana had some nice drought-busting rains of over 2"-3". My place had light rain during last week, but some relief. At least the rain could soak in with temps of 50-70 for quite a number of hours last week.

 

precip june 14 to 17.jpg

 

precip june 11 to 14.jpg

 

June 5-19 (14 day) precip

 

 

precip june 5 to 19.jpg

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drought about to flex, mid range chances ghosting 
Agree, looking bleak. Saturday and Sunday gonna be hot, heat might even get to the lakefront on Sunday. If we're lucky, some weakening MCS stratiform rain makes it in early Sunday, though likely hostile environment locally and poor timing cast doubt on that.

Veered winds with the front Sunday PM make widespread CI unlikely, and leaning against lake breeze convection being in play. Could very well be a gap situation, where better convective coverage ends up east of us Sunday PM after being west of us Saturday night.

Monday looks to have a chance for scattered storms in northwest flow, followed by a reinforcing surge of dry air for at least a couple days. We need widespread inches of rain for meaningful drought relief given the deterioration occurring this week, and not seeing it the next 10 days.



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