Spartman Posted June 8, 2023 Author Share Posted June 8, 2023 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torchageddon Posted June 8, 2023 Share Posted June 8, 2023 My hourlies removed the sprinkles or showers here for today and on radar it looks like any precip is just fizzling out before it gets this south. I see dark skies at times to the west but somehow it breaks apart. I haven't seen any precip at all in about 3 weeks straight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted June 9, 2023 Share Posted June 9, 2023 I don't think I've seen a 36 dew point in Toledo in June, other than today. And what a firey day it is, with higher surface smoke concentrations. It does appear that dew points of upper 20's to lower 30's have happened at a combination of FNT and DTX sounding locations at some past time 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheNiño Posted June 9, 2023 Share Posted June 9, 2023 A bit hard to see in the video, but there’s a pretty gross layer of smog to the east over Lake Michigan today. Camera doesn’t pick it up well but it’s the gross orange color that smog typically looks like. Glad it’s just missing me to the east it’s pretty clear here in Wisconsin today. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted June 9, 2023 Share Posted June 9, 2023 some ugly visible satellite images, and you can see that typically the high smoke concentration shows up better on visible satellite closer to sunrise and sunset 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted June 9, 2023 Share Posted June 9, 2023 This plot shows that the 500mb wind averaged to be zero over the lower Great Lakes over this specific 11-day period 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 9, 2023 Share Posted June 9, 2023 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 9, 2023 Share Posted June 9, 2023 And it's gone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted June 9, 2023 Share Posted June 9, 2023 Dropped down to 61 last night. I love these low dews. We’ve only picked up 0.03” of rain in June. It’s getting crispy out here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted June 9, 2023 Share Posted June 9, 2023 Looks like MSP is off to an absolutely scorching start to summer. Second warmest on record for first eight days of June, and would have been first if it occurred during or before 2020. Third warmest when measured by mean maximum to minimize impacts of growing UHI. Wouldn't have expected this with the northerly flow and wildfire smoke limiting insolation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 9, 2023 Share Posted June 9, 2023 riding the nam for this weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted June 9, 2023 Share Posted June 9, 2023 3 hours ago, TheClimateChanger said: Looks like MSP is off to an absolutely scorching start to summer. Second warmest on record for first eight days of June, and would have been first if it occurred during or before 2020. Third warmest when measured by mean maximum to minimize impacts of growing UHI. Wouldn't have expected this with the northerly flow and wildfire smoke limiting insolation. It’s been unpleasant working outside. Luckily so far we haven’t had the extreme 70+ dews like last summer. I’m already over this crap, and ready for coastal ridges and central CONUS troughs. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DLMKA Posted June 9, 2023 Share Posted June 9, 2023 I've had the air conditioning on for a total of maybe 48 hours this summer because of the low dewpoints and nocturnal cooling if we're looking for a silver lining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 9, 2023 Share Posted June 9, 2023 Last measurable rain here was on May 19th with 0.13". Still goose eggs for June. Hope tomorrow night gives us something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted June 9, 2023 Share Posted June 9, 2023 Last measurable rain here was on May 19th with 0.13". Still goose eggs for June. Hope tomorrow night gives us something.18z NAMs backed off unfortunately, so the 12z Euro is the only model current model run of note to offer up a chance at a decent rain of 0.70 to locally 1" across northern IL. Since the setup will be cool season-like with a banded fgen component, the model variance is at least partially driven by the difference in placement of the response to the fgen circulation. Hopefully we're not north of the cutoff. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted June 10, 2023 Share Posted June 10, 2023 Ryan Hall said: It's the 4th consecutive May without a violent tornado There was not a single report of wind, hail, or tornado in New York or Pennsylvania in May Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted June 10, 2023 Share Posted June 10, 2023 It's June 10 and the nearest 50 dew point to me is Farmington, Missouri or Pittsfield, Illinois. It should be all 60-70 across the board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted June 10, 2023 Share Posted June 10, 2023 Showers moving through here today in town. Shwrs/stms yesterday fizzled as they arrived from the NW, so missed out on them. Very cool out right now at 54. Dropped 10 degrees from 8 am as wind switched off the lake. Far cry from the 81 we had yesterday with dews of 55-60. It was very nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted June 10, 2023 Share Posted June 10, 2023 Just a thought here, but with all the smoke that has been wafting around our region the last few weeks, it must have an effect on precip development. I liken it to the same phenomena as Sahara dust over the Atlantic inhibiting precip/stm development to some degree. I'm not sure, just throwing that out there. Someone with more knowledge could answer that better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lightning Posted June 10, 2023 Share Posted June 10, 2023 25 minutes ago, Brian D said: Just a thought here, but with all the smoke that has been wafting around our region the last few weeks, it must have an effect on precip development. I liken it to the same phenomena as Sahara dust over the Atlantic inhibiting precip/stm development to some degree. I'm not sure, just throwing that out there. Someone with more knowledge could answer that better. Northerly flow with due points in the 20s/30s/40s in May and June with and Omega blocking high over the Great Lakes region is the main reason. Plenty of smoke last weekend as storms popped up with dew points finally more summer like at that time. The influence is small if really any at all. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted June 10, 2023 Share Posted June 10, 2023 3 hours ago, Chinook said: Ryan Hall said: It's the 4th consecutive May without a violent tornado There was not a single report of wind, hail, or tornado in New York or Pennsylvania in May Working in the property insurance industry, I can confirm there are exactly zero happy little insurance companies right now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spartman Posted June 10, 2023 Author Share Posted June 10, 2023 Looks like a short stretch of Fall weather is in store starting tomorrow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted June 10, 2023 Share Posted June 10, 2023 24 minutes ago, Spartman said: Looks like a short stretch of Fall weather is in store starting tomorrow. Yeah doesn’t look very summer like. Hoping we get some measurable rain at least. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted June 10, 2023 Share Posted June 10, 2023 Haven't had a thunderstorm since April 5th, rain since May 20th. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted June 10, 2023 Share Posted June 10, 2023 Really liking how tonight's precip odds have.... quite literally.... evaporated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted June 10, 2023 Share Posted June 10, 2023 4 hours ago, Brian D said: Just a thought here, but with all the smoke that has been wafting around our region the last few weeks, it must have an effect on precip development. I liken it to the same phenomena as Sahara dust over the Atlantic inhibiting precip/stm development to some degree. I'm not sure, just throwing that out there. Someone with more knowledge could answer that better. Studies I’ve read indicate that smoke or dust decreases warm process precip, but increases cold process precip. In midlatitudes it could increase snow in the winter, but the summer effect would be negligible as both processes are equally important. It would only decreases precip in places in which the majority of it falls from shallow warm clouds, i.e. tropical oceanic climates in the trade wind belts, Hawaii for instance. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted June 10, 2023 Share Posted June 10, 2023 19 minutes ago, hlcater said: Really liking how tonight's precip odds have.... quite literally.... evaporated. Sad. There might be some wrap-around sprinkles here Monday night or Tuesday, but I’d rather these stupid spinning lows move on out. The longer they hang back the longer they push back the return to normal summer with MCS potential. If that even happens this year at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spartman Posted June 11, 2023 Author Share Posted June 11, 2023 4 hours ago, frostfern said: Sad. There might be some wrap-around sprinkles here Monday night or Tuesday, but I’d rather these stupid spinning lows move on out. The longer they hang back the longer they push back the return to normal summer with MCS potential. If that even happens this year at all. Feels like we're tracking a winter storm with the upcoming system 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted June 11, 2023 Share Posted June 11, 2023 Models got the overnight period wrong. Some never had any rain. A few popped an fgen band over Cedar Rapids, dropping decent rain, but all models dried up last evening. Well, the fgen band did pop over CR and produced a solid 0.39". I'm pretty happy. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighTechEE Posted June 11, 2023 Share Posted June 11, 2023 Hi All, was too busy to post thsi yesterday, but the 06z GFS yesterday morning had a monster glitch in the matrix where it had 15"+ for SW Ohio/Dayton area for the next 16 days! Not sure I've ever seen a model screw up this bad! The last time I had a day of 1" of rain or more was mid-April, and nothing over a half inch since May 7. So on pins and needles today with ILN's 1" to 1.5" in the forcast with later this afternoon and evening that my Kentucky Brown Grass desperately needs (and so my wife will stop bellyaching about me watering so much), I'm like I'm only keeping it alive, I haven't mowed in 3 1/2 weeks! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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