stormy Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 7 minutes ago, CAPE said: Lucky to get that brief downpour earlier I guess. Radar looks.. uninspiring. Congratulations!!!!! I had 3 drops................. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 What a failure today was. I don't expect any rain at all next week either. This drought is getting bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 49 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said: A promising storm in Reisterstown fizzled to sunny skies, a fine mist, and a big fat T here. Decaying sprinkles verified!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 Waiting on this "little storm that could" drift toward the College Park area. We'll see if it makes it. Would be nice but quick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 Diddly here with the afternoon round. Was playing some pickup hoops and thought we might get rained on, but nothing materialized. Seeing a northwest wind through Sunday. The drought continues. Looks like high pressure moves off the coast at some point next week. Hopefully, that’s the start of a return flow that can be more productive in the storms department. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted June 17, 2023 Share Posted June 17, 2023 Backside mammatus in Spotsylvania this evening. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted June 17, 2023 Share Posted June 17, 2023 0.04” on the day, 0.11” on the month. Brutal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrlg1181 Posted June 17, 2023 Share Posted June 17, 2023 1 hour ago, stormy said: Congratulations!!!!! I had 3 drops................. I don't even want to know if we got anything down the rd from you... We hadn't gotten anything when I left for work, radar did seem to show a cell pass over the northern part of town after I left... just a tenth would be nice... All I know is over here Cville just got rocked again... probably another inch and small hail.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted June 17, 2023 Share Posted June 17, 2023 Some light showers moved through just before 8 pm but didn't even register on the rain gauge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrlg1181 Posted June 17, 2023 Share Posted June 17, 2023 3 hours ago, Jrlg1181 said: I don't even want to know if we got anything down the rd from you... We hadn't gotten anything when I left for work, radar did seem to show a cell pass over the northern part of town after I left... just a tenth would be nice... All I know is over here Cville just got rocked again... probably another inch and small hail.. Got .08 , brings total for the month to .15. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted June 17, 2023 Share Posted June 17, 2023 The dryness will continue, but so will the nice weather with normal to below normal temps and comfortable dewpoints. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted June 17, 2023 Share Posted June 17, 2023 0.53" for the month here so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted June 17, 2023 Share Posted June 17, 2023 1 hour ago, CAPE said: The dryness will continue, but so will the nice weather with normal to below normal temps and comfortable dewpoints. I'm down at OC staying on 94th street. This area is pretty green and swampy. We got hit hard with multiple rounds of storms yesterday afternoon. The wind was ripping across the bay during one of the strongest storms. Cool to see since I haven't seen anything interesting in months. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted June 17, 2023 Share Posted June 17, 2023 19 minutes ago, dailylurker said: I'm down at OC staying on 94th street. This area is pretty green and swampy. We got hit hard with multiple rounds of storms yesterday afternoon. The wind was ripping across the bay during one of the strongest storms. Cool to see since I haven't seen anything interesting in months. Yeah much of southern DE and the lower MD eastern shore have done pretty well with showers and storms the past few weeks. Not even abnormally dry there. My area is right on the line between abnormally dry and moderate drought. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Dude Posted June 17, 2023 Share Posted June 17, 2023 .01 for yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowtoRain Posted June 17, 2023 Share Posted June 17, 2023 1.39" for the month, 0.63" yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted June 17, 2023 Share Posted June 17, 2023 WB 12Z EPS. Maybe a chance of light rain midday Monday to Tuesday and again later in the work week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted June 17, 2023 Share Posted June 17, 2023 A beautiful, windy day. I guess all the rain at this point will come from thunderstorms, huh? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted June 17, 2023 Share Posted June 17, 2023 26 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: A beautiful, windy day. I guess all the rain at this point will come from thunderstorms, huh? LWX mentioned that we may not get any rain until next weekend if the block to the north is strong enough. However, there is some potentially great news... There are indications that the pattern may break down somewhat, or at least re-orient, later in the week as a system moves across Canada. This would center the high closer to or off the east coast, allowing for an increase in temperatures and humidity. Chances for showers and thunderstorms will increase likewise. However, model spread increases further during this time, so forecast details remain uncertain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted June 18, 2023 Share Posted June 18, 2023 JB says a blend of his analogs gives DC 27-36 inches this upcoming winter...."Given my belief the Strong Modoki El Nino for winter has 57-58,65-66,03-03,09-10" as analogs. (WB blog). I will be thrilled with anything close to half of that amount. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted June 18, 2023 Share Posted June 18, 2023 Close yet so far....WB 18Z EURO keeps rain SW through midweek. Blocking high pressure holds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted June 18, 2023 Share Posted June 18, 2023 32 minutes ago, Weather Will said: JB says a blend of his analogs gives DC 27-36 inches this upcoming winter...."Given my belief the Strong Modoki El Nino for winter has 57-58,65-66,03-03,09-10" as analogs. (WB blog). I will be thrilled with anything close to half of that amount. Droughts, then Moderate-Strong El Nino's have given us some good results in the past. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted June 18, 2023 Share Posted June 18, 2023 Dang. I posted in the wrong thread. Smoke is back here, unless it’s local. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted June 18, 2023 Share Posted June 18, 2023 Guidance depicts the blocking pattern breaking down towards the end of the week, with surface high pressure developing in the western Atlantic for a time. With a disturbance tracking to our NW and a southerly flow we should have a warmer, more humid airmass in place as a cold front approaches later Saturday. Other than getting in on some moisture on the northern edge of the southern closed low, our next best shot at significant rain looks to be associated with the energy lifting north as the pattern breaks down and the low opens. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted June 18, 2023 Share Posted June 18, 2023 WB 12Z GFS through day 5 finally showing some widespread rain...hopefully will continue to trend in right direction... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted June 18, 2023 Share Posted June 18, 2023 WB 12Z EURO is in agreement with a wet end of week through day 5... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted June 18, 2023 Share Posted June 18, 2023 12z GEFS through the end of the month. GEPS is wetter. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted June 18, 2023 Share Posted June 18, 2023 Guidance now has a piece of the energy stay north and bring rain in Thursday. Been low consistency obviously. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted June 18, 2023 Share Posted June 18, 2023 I have run my AC only once besides the smoke days. I don’t believe that’s ever happened before this deep into June. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 19, 2023 Share Posted June 19, 2023 1 hour ago, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said: I have run my AC only once besides the smoke days. I don’t believe that’s ever happened before this deep into June. Was just remarking about this to the family a few minutes ago. Beautiful out (other than the bugs). 70 degrees and falling at 8:30pm-ish after the middle of June with a dewpoint in the mid 50s is crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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