Damage In Tolland Posted June 21, 2023 Author Share Posted June 21, 2023 26 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: 18 z NAM is downright sultry over interior/eastern SNE Friday afternoon... Close to 17C at 850mb with SW wind, in a 570 dm hydrostatic column. Clouds depending how warm it gets, but it is warm and steamy anyway. The soaking rains for a week straight have vanished as we surmised. Tomorrow may be relatively dry away from extreme s coast . The weekend is all shoved NW. wettest day looks like Tuesday and that could be wild severe. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 21, 2023 Share Posted June 21, 2023 9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: The soaking rains for a week straight have vanished as we surmised. Tomorrow may be relatively dry away from extreme coast . The weekend is all shoved NW. wettest day looks like Tuesday and that could be wild severe. What? 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted June 21, 2023 Share Posted June 21, 2023 Looks wet overall, we’ll see if it pans out. We need it, been dry 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 21, 2023 Share Posted June 21, 2023 27 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: The soaking rains for a week straight have vanished as we surmised. Tomorrow may be relatively dry away from extreme s coast . The weekend is all shoved NW. wettest day looks like Tuesday and that could be wild severe. What’s the preferred model today? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 21, 2023 Share Posted June 21, 2023 14 minutes ago, powderfreak said: What’s the preferred model today? KFS is gonna rock ya 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted June 21, 2023 Share Posted June 21, 2023 forgot about that song, it's a banger 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted June 21, 2023 Share Posted June 21, 2023 53 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: The soaking rains for a week straight have vanished as we surmised. Tomorrow may be relatively dry away from extreme s coast . The weekend is all shoved NW. wettest day looks like Tuesday and that could be wild severe. Beer? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 21, 2023 Author Share Posted June 21, 2023 26 minutes ago, powderfreak said: What’s the preferred model today? The FreakFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted June 21, 2023 Share Posted June 21, 2023 1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said: 18 z NAM is downright sultry over interior/eastern SNE Friday afternoon... Close to 17C at 850mb with SW wind, in a 570 dm hydrostatic column. Clouds depending how warm it gets, but it is warm and steamy anyway. Not sure what people are complaining about. Plenty of warm/hot weather to come soon. Real summer starts in July anyway especially for you New England folks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 21, 2023 Author Share Posted June 21, 2023 Just now, dryslot said: Beer? Plural 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted June 21, 2023 Share Posted June 21, 2023 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: The FreakFS FFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted June 21, 2023 Share Posted June 21, 2023 The only thing that's going to vanish will be the sun after friday for another 5+ days up here. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 21, 2023 Share Posted June 21, 2023 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: The soaking rains for a week straight have vanished as we surmised. Tomorrow may be relatively dry away from extreme s coast . The weekend is all shoved NW. wettest day looks like Tuesday and that could be wild severe. Not sure about all that but okay - I was just kinda surprised to see a 570 thickness, SW wind at Logan, and 22C in the T1 layer at Logan at 18z on Friday in this NAM run when balancing against all the grousing in here haha. I don't even know what the 12z run looked like - haven't bothered. Anyway, even if there's corrupted sun getting through with that combination of metrics ... 81/70 out in Metrowest of Boston wouldn't be out of the question. That's pretty summery at least on that day. Looks to me glancing at the GFS that a diffused warm front nearing 12z Friday morning then smears/loses identity lifting through the area. By mid day we're in summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 21, 2023 Share Posted June 21, 2023 25 minutes ago, dryslot said: The only thing that's going to vanish will be the sun after friday for another 5+ days up here. Brutal look. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 21, 2023 Author Share Posted June 21, 2023 4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Brutal look. Everything is shoved way NW this weekend. Nothing brutal at all. Sat and Sun may be almost rainfree other than NW CT 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted June 21, 2023 Share Posted June 21, 2023 10 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Brutal look. Garbage .LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... Overview: Unsettled weather dominates the long term forecast with a parade of upper level lows and troughs bringing a prolonged period of convective rain showers to the region. Impacts: Heavy rain in convective showers raise hydro concerns beginning Saturday. Details: Shower chances creep back into the forecast Friday as an upper low settles over the Ohio Valley. This begins the streaming of moisture into the northeast. The growing instability necessitates chances of showers and thunderstorms. Thickening clouds will keep temperatures in the 70s for most with far north areas, who will be the last to see them, having the best chance of seeing 80. The low slowly shifts eastward into the Mid Atlantic region Saturday, continuing the southerly flow and advection of moisture rich air into our neck of the woods. This drives mean PWATs into the 1.5 to 1.75 range, with maxes around 2.00 inches. Models continue to show sufficient instability which increases confidence that convective showers will lead to heavy rain. Being that most of our CWA is fairly saturated from this pattern, hydro impacts will be monitored closely. The low looks to open up as it moves into our area on Sunday, but with another trough diving into the Great Lakes region there will be plenty of forcing to continue a heavy rain threat through Sunday. As the first trough exits it will go negatively tilted keeping periods of rain the in the forecast for Monday as well. Models differ on the timing and magnitude of the next upper level trough as it looks to swing into our area on Tuesday or Wedensday, but another period of rain and convective showers appears likely due to the similarities of this set up compared to this weekend. && Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 21, 2023 Author Share Posted June 21, 2023 Farthest thing from brutal . Decent summery weekend . If CT dry.. much of Maine decent too . Rains Go west young man . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 21, 2023 Share Posted June 21, 2023 May see rain in some form Saturday even east. Sunday might be more NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 2 hours ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Looks wet overall, we’ll see if it pans out. We need it, been dry My lawn greened up in the last week. I guess it depends where you are. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: May see rain in some form Saturday even east. Sunday might be more NW. 4 minutes ago, DavisStraight said: My lawn greened up in the last week. I guess it depends where you are. 1.94” on the month here. Dry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Everything is shoved way NW this weekend. Nothing brutal at all. Sat and Sun may be almost rainfree other than NW CT Isolated shower, 80 to 90 most of the time. Looks like a sweltering summer weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 63/55... these evenings will soon become like 73/70 with mist and valley fog. Happy Summer Solstice. Wife and I went out to walk the dog and watch the sunset.... which was 8:40pm in Stowe. This is the furthest north the sun sets and only time of year it does it right behind Mansfield when viewed from Stowe Village. Time for it to start heading south again. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 51 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: 1.94” on the month here. Dry That’s not that dry 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: That’s not that dry Well that is basically the 5-6 week total too, because we had virtually nada last 2 weeks of May Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 Did IAH really gust to 84 knots?? Holy shot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 48.9° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 7 hours ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Well that is basically the 5-6 week total too, because we had virtually nada last 2 weeks of May You had like 2” that weekend before Mem Day. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 Still think decent weather eastern areas into the weekend. Maybe a period of showers at some point later Saturday or into Sunday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 22, 2023 Author Share Posted June 22, 2023 Wish we were thee. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 meanwhile, we may never severe again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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