weathafella Posted June 19, 2023 Share Posted June 19, 2023 24 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: They’re doing away with op Euro entirely later this year. Won’t even be run. Only eps daily.. so in reality it doesn’t matter what it shows Is that true? Do you have a link with that announcement? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted June 19, 2023 Share Posted June 19, 2023 I did read that the next upgrade includes weeklies daily and ensemble members expanding to 101 vs 51 now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted June 19, 2023 Share Posted June 19, 2023 I read the ECMWF is getting another upgrade this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted June 19, 2023 Share Posted June 19, 2023 1 minute ago, weathafella said: I did read that the next upgrade includes weeklies daily and ensemble members expanding to 101 vs 51 now. Yes https://www.ecmwf.int/en/about/media-centre/news/2023/extended-range-forecasts-be-recast-next-model-upgrade 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted June 19, 2023 Share Posted June 19, 2023 3 hours ago, ineedsnow said: Looks awful, maybe a year without a summer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted June 19, 2023 Share Posted June 19, 2023 Euro looks like a moist southerly flow with that upper low in the Ohio Valley. Definiltely looks like it could be stormy at times, but will kinda feel like summer at least. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted June 19, 2023 Share Posted June 19, 2023 8 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: Euro looks like a moist southerly flow with that upper low in the Ohio Valley. Definiltely looks like it could be stormy at times, but will kinda feel like summer at least. pretty much has dews 65-70+ starting Friday through the end of the run .. about time it felt like summer 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 19, 2023 Author Share Posted June 19, 2023 35 minutes ago, weathafella said: Is that true? Do you have a link with that announcement? Yes. Shabbs informed us last week. Ryan, Scoots can verify Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 19, 2023 Author Share Posted June 19, 2023 9 minutes ago, ma blizzard said: pretty much has dews 65-70+ starting Friday through the end of the run .. about time it felt like summer You try to tell em. Until they’re using a roll + per day .. they’ll deny 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 19, 2023 Share Posted June 19, 2023 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: They’re doing away with op Euro entirely later this year. Won’t even be run. Only eps daily.. so in reality it doesn’t matter what it shows Wait what? Scrapping the operational run? Or just transitioning it to the control run of the EPS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 19, 2023 Share Posted June 19, 2023 35 minutes ago, dryslot said: Yes https://www.ecmwf.int/en/about/media-centre/news/2023/extended-range-forecasts-be-recast-next-model-upgrade Does this mean the Day 1-15 EPS resolution gets worse going from 18km to 36km grid resolution? Consistent resolution In Cycle 48r1, the horizontal resolution will be kept at 36 km for all extended-range predictions. Currently it is 18 km up to day 15 and 36 km up to day 46. The change was motivated by research experiments which did not show any statistically significant impacts resulting from the change in resolution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted June 19, 2023 Share Posted June 19, 2023 Kev prances around in short shorts for the town dhlf’s starting April 1. Must be quite the site Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted June 19, 2023 Share Posted June 19, 2023 9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: You try to tell em. Until they’re using a roll + per day .. they’ll deny dews will be up but it wont be hot.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted June 19, 2023 Share Posted June 19, 2023 Today’s eps suggests building WAR and heat ridge in the SW with weakness west of us suggesting warm, humid, and ample opportunities for tstorms. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 19, 2023 Share Posted June 19, 2023 Nah my mood doesn't rise and fall with the euro...but pretty good agreement on some meh days. Hopefully Tips Bahama blues can happen for a time with this pattern. Sometimes the rain is favored west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 19, 2023 Share Posted June 19, 2023 When the ensemble mean has precip total of 2.5-4" in the summer widespread across New England....it's a wet look. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 19, 2023 Author Share Posted June 19, 2023 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: When the ensemble mean has precip total of 2.5-4" in the summer widespread across New England....it's a wet look. Please let em know about canceling of op Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 19, 2023 Share Posted June 19, 2023 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Please let em know about canceling of op Euro I honestly don't understand it fully. Sounds like the control run will act as the op run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 19, 2023 Share Posted June 19, 2023 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I honestly don't understand it fully. Sounds like the control run will act as the op run? That was what I assumed. There’s no way they just don’t run a high-res operational run after all the work put into it. No one just scraps that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 19, 2023 Share Posted June 19, 2023 2 minutes ago, powderfreak said: That was what I assumed. There’s no way they just don’t run a high-res operational run after all the work put into it. No one just scraps that. I think resolution of EPS will increase too? I don't quite understand it, and the language to me sounded like they were looking at the process...but it wasn't a concrete definite yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 19, 2023 Share Posted June 19, 2023 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I think resolution of EPS will increase too? I don't quite understand it, and the language to me sounded like they were looking at the process...but it wasn't a concrete definite yet. See that link Dryslot had sounded like resolution decreased days 1-15 from 18km to 36km. Unless that’s not the EPS but a completely different model… but it was talking about going from 51 to 101 members. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 19, 2023 Author Share Posted June 19, 2023 The days of using op runs for forecasts are going away . It’s going to be all short and long term ensembles based. Which is why you can’t cut and paste an op icon run and and say no warmth or dews 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 19, 2023 Share Posted June 19, 2023 8 minutes ago, powderfreak said: See that link Dryslot had sounded like resolution decreased days 1-15 from 18km to 36km. Unless that’s not the EPS but a completely different model… but it was talking about going from 51 to 101 members. Oh I didn't read it. Will take a look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted June 19, 2023 Share Posted June 19, 2023 We've been hearing that the Nam was gonna be discontinued for years too, then every winter folks remember that they'd have to work between 830 and 945AM if they cancel it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 19, 2023 Author Share Posted June 19, 2023 Just now, radarman said: We've been hearing that the Nam was gonna be discontinued for years too, then every winter folks remember that they'd have to work between 830 and 945AM if they cancel it. That’s also going away this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted June 19, 2023 Share Posted June 19, 2023 Euro weeklies very wet through July 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted June 19, 2023 Share Posted June 19, 2023 21 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Euro weeklies very wet through July Soon to be euro daily weeklies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 19, 2023 Author Share Posted June 19, 2023 Stein all over it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted June 19, 2023 Share Posted June 19, 2023 Blight in June? Is that a thing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 19, 2023 Share Posted June 19, 2023 1 minute ago, radarman said: Blight in June January? Is that a thing? At rate things are going... yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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