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June 2023 Summer Begins


Damage In Tolland
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4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Potential for scattered showers? Thunder is nil this week . Monday is next shot 

Thunder too...still have the cold pool. In fact, core of the cold pool will be overhead along with core shortwave. 

Next Sunday - Tuesday is a tad interesting, but signal continues to be super mixed. Hoping for something later in the week but these signals are too mixed.

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58 minutes ago, Sn0waddict said:

Thunder and lightning while having almost no visibility due to smoke, and even smelling it whenever you are outside is just wild.  Looks like we clear up a bit tomorrow morning but then round 2 comes through in the afternoon.

I was just thinking what a wild day this is. Really pretty unique. Street lights came on in New Haven. 

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GFS again with dangerous heights ... 

It seems to be hyper responsive to the Pacific transmission over the last couple of runs.  I suspect we're changing the pattern approaching the ides, but the GFS appears too amplified... It could correct toward 90% of the ridge, and only 60% of the weird Dakota's wild S/W mechanics, and it'd suffice the hemisphere just fine.

Typical of this guidance.

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2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

GFS again with dangerous heights ... 

It seems to be hyper responsive to the Pacific transmission over the last couple of runs.  I suspect we're changing the pattern approaching the ides, but the GFS appears too amplified... It could correct toward 90% of the ridge, and only 60% of the weird Dakota's wild S/W mechanics, and it'd suffice the hemisphere just fine.

Typical of this guidance.

Please describe the danger. 

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29 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Please describe the danger. 

Heights approaching 600 dm over the western OV and souther GL 

Hydrostats at or > 582 dm 

2-m Ts 97-102 from 300+ hrs is ridic relative to model typology for extended range. 

I’ve been scoping a warm flux in 13th - 25th time span for some time and there’s indices footing but it doesn’t necessitate the GFS. 

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