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June 2023 Summer Begins


Damage In Tolland
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18 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Plus what Scott said ... or whatever -

The run is too sensitive to minor perturbation triggers because of that, and ends up with close to foot of water along the south coast because it's holding that axis in place like forever.  

okay - we'll see

It’s very weird to me. Unless the south coast just rose 6000’ overnight.

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Weekend looks like a washout for most. sunrise will probably bring some optimism on both sat and Sunday but that will quickly fade as day time heating kicks in and lapse rates steepen.

And where the rain and clouds are less persistent, further south and east: rain, then the sun will poke and subsequently fill in with next downpour or —at best—heavy cloud cover. Too much UL divergence over our heads in met summer.

Theres also a meso 300 mb jet streak along the cape and islands so that might be what’s triggering the euro with higher qpf amounts down that way. 
 

Prepare accordingly. 
 

:maprain:

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6 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

Weekend looks like a washout for most. sunrise will probably bring some optimism on both sat and Sunday but that will quickly fade as day time heating kicks in and lapse rates steepen.

And where the rain and clouds are less persistent, further south and east: rain, then the sun will poke and subsequently fill in with next downpour or —at best—heavy cloud cover. Too much UL divergence over our heads in met summer.

Theres also a meso 300 mb jet streak along the cape and islands so that might be what’s triggering the euro with higher qpf amounts down that way. 
 

Prepare accordingly. 
 

:maprain:

How’s Sunday afternoon look around BOS?  Outdoor grad party to attend. 

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2 hours ago, jbenedet said:

Weekend looks like a washout for most. sunrise will probably bring some optimism on both sat and Sunday but that will quickly fade as day time heating kicks in and lapse rates steepen.

And where the rain and clouds are less persistent, further south and east: rain, then the sun will poke and subsequently fill in with next downpour or —at best—heavy cloud cover. Too much UL divergence over our heads in met summer.

Theres also a meso 300 mb jet streak along the cape and islands so that might be what’s triggering the euro with higher qpf amounts down that way. 
 

Prepare accordingly. 
 

:maprain:

That's why we hope for the Bahama Blue full commitment ... That type of deep layer troposphere is really a quasi or outright Nassau sounding.  We end up with a trade-wind sequence of turret showers ... then sun, 83/74 ... perhaps another 2 minute blinding showers before another cleansed blue/sun in between.

The Euro was leaning more in this direction early next week, but your right about the weekend in the foreground.  It's probably not going to set up by the time we're listening to the boss whose balls we kiss during a droning staff meeting Monday morning ...

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1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said:

12z NAM warmer Sunday ...

has a T1 temperature of 26C at Logan with SW wind.   25C at ALB and LGA... so it's regional. 

 - depending on sun...that could push 29C in the 2-meter temp out over parking lots and down town streets.  

Yeah that looks to be warmest day esp south of the pike. GFS hangs the WF right along it. 

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6 hours ago, powderfreak said:

46F… last 40s for a while?

Same here, with delayed dews.  Late last evening the stars were the brightest I'd seen since last month.  Some clouds moving in now, so the moist air is arriving.
 

When communication was lost 1 hr 40 mins in, They were too, A breach of the vessel at those depths are catastrophic.

Apparently, there was nothing communicated of possible trouble before the end.  At that depth with pressure above 500 psi, it was likely all over in milliseconds.  :(

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10 minutes ago, tamarack said:

Same here, with delayed dews.  Late last evening the stars were the brightest I'd seen since last month.  Some clouds moving in now, so the moist air is arriving.
 

When communication was lost 1 hr 40 mins in, They were too, A breach of the vessel at those depths are catastrophic.

Apparently, there was nothing communicated of possible trouble before the end.  At that depth with pressure above 500 psi, it was likely all over in milliseconds.  :(

Assuming the hull failed at the moment of LOS, pressure would have been 3900 psi.

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Same here, with delayed dews.  Late last evening the stars were the brightest I'd seen since last month.  Some clouds moving in now, so the moist air is arriving.
 
When communication was lost 1 hr 40 mins in, They were too, A breach of the vessel at those depths are catastrophic.
Apparently, there was nothing communicated of possible trouble before the end.  At that depth with pressure above 500 psi, it was likely all over in milliseconds.  
2 nanoseconds they day. Apparently it takes 12ns to realize something is wrong, so they likely didn't even feel it

Sent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk

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