CoastalWx Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 Looks like a lot of upper 70s to mid 80s away from south coast for the next week. Yawn. Even BDR may have some BN days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 22, 2023 Author Share Posted June 22, 2023 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It won't be that special. It's early for constant 70+ dews. Probably a lot of 65-70. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 Looks pretty pedestrian. Big summer it is not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 22, 2023 Author Share Posted June 22, 2023 5 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: What I find personally interesting is that the last 10 years or so worth of winters have been getting increasingly more gutted out ... Someone made the snark post that these winters have been like November for 5 months - most sarcastic humor comes along with an element of truth Yet, while that has been occurring, the spans of time spent in real "appeal" of summers does seem to get shorter ... Notwithstanding the subjective opinion/judgement of what the really means, reducing summer length is a tad counter intuitive when we add the word "warming" to the word "global," doesn't it. I was talking with other Mets off line ... most have an evolving impression that there is a kind of smearing at the seasonal margins. Springs and autumns are extending in both directions - seasonal lapsing in both directions. It's sort of like if you project that into the future, there is realized lesser and lesser seasonal variance between the nadir of winter and the apex of summers... and more disruption of what we think of defined transition season. Winters become more tepid with lots of wind. Summers tend to observe more of these tumble over patterns forcing closing lows, at other times, this weird tendency for SE wind persistence into the east coast ... Both shunting continental heat sources in lieu of a quasi trade-wind. Then, it's almost like we're seeing an emerging climate signal for the "november snow storm" before the tepid compression wind-regime of winter. Ah yes ...making America great again Exchanging texts with Harv? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Maybe some areas tickle 70 tomorrow, but I mean overall. Deep south flow over cool waters still. If this were July and August it would be like Cuba. Tomorrow has a shot. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 3 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: What I find personally interesting is that the last 10 years or so worth of winters have been getting increasingly more gutted out ... Someone made the snark post that these winters have been like November for 5 months - most sarcastic humor comes along with an element of truth Yet, while that has been occurring, the spans of time spent in real "appeal" of summers does seem to get shorter ... Notwithstanding the subjective opinion/judgement of what the really means, reducing summer length is a tad counter intuitive when we add the word "warming" to the word "global," doesn't it. I was talking with other Mets off line ... there a kind of smearing at the seasonal margins. Springs and autumns are extending in both directions - seasonal lapsing in both directions. It's sort of like if you project that into the future, there is realized lesser and lesser seasonal variance between the nadir of winter and the apex of summers... and more disruption of what we think of defined transition season. Winters become more tepid with lots of wind. Summers tend to observe more of these tumble over patterns forcing closing lows, at other times, this weird tendency for SE wind persistence into the east coast ... Both shunting continental heat sources in lieu of a quasi trade-wind. Then, it's almost like we're seeing an emerging climate signal for the "november snow storm" before the tepid compression wind-regime of winter. Ah yes ...making America great again I remember a year or so ago you made some posts about this, but you showed there was a tendency over the last decade for these Great Lakes/New England troughs and cut-off lows and we were like an outlier compared to the rest of the world in terms of the warming...do you remember this? I may have restated this incorrectly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 Recently we really haven't had many cutoffs late Spring or early Summer. We had a lot of those in the 00s. This to me is a classic response to a developing Nino. Reminds me of June 2009. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Recently we really haven't had many cutoffs late Spring or early Summer. We had a lot of those in the 00s. This to me is a classic response to a developing Nino. Reminds me of June 2009. Is it enhanced any given how rapidly the transition to EL Nino seems to occurring? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 Meanwhile glad we don't live in Quebec. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 16 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said: Wow, I had no idea. So your peak heat climo is June? For top maxima, yes. We've had 19 days of 90+, May: 2, June: 8, July: 3, Aug: 4, Sep: 2. Highest is 93, on 7/3/02 and 9/9/02. Peak climo is very flat, with the daily mean staying between 65 and 66 from July 10 thru Aug 10. (Subject to change, as my data adjusts daily as I enter the numbers.) I think the greater atmospheric moisture in high summer prevents that period from peak maxima. That July record above included big dews but most other top heat did not. Aug 2002 featured an 8-day run of highs 87-91 (3 days 90+) but the avg minima in that stretch was 58 - hot but relatively dry. We're surrounded by tall trees which pour water vapor into the air; when the airmass is also humid, that's just too much water to cook. Wow. Not even a 90 on 7/22/2011? 88/67 and probably too humid for big heat. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 First day this month were under mostly sunny skies and will be the best day of the summer so far, Should see mid to high 70's, 62/56°F 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 1 hour ago, dendrite said: I get them every July. lol Almost. July 2020 had a low of 50, the only month here of all 50+ minima, also had one of our only 2 minima 70+. That met summer made up for it, though, as August dropped into the 30s and June began with a 27° freeze. Dumbest time in our history Maybe, but IMO it seems so because people can now broadcast their dumbosity to the millions. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 Just checked my overnight low and it was 43.7°F....lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 57 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Is it enhanced any given how rapidly the transition to EL Nino seems to occurring? I think so. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 22, 2023 Author Share Posted June 22, 2023 25 minutes ago, dryslot said: First day this month were under mostly sunny skies and will be the best day of the summer so far, Should see mid to high 70's, 62/56°F Tan it up. Get lubed up and lay out! 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I think so. I guess this is what the SOI/MEI do in a way, but what products are best to look at to gauge how coupled the ocean/atmosphere are during an ENSO event? SLP Anomalies since this ties into the Walker Circulation? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 57 minutes ago, tamarack said: For top maxima, yes. We've had 19 days of 90+, May: 2, June: 8, July: 3, Aug: 4, Sep: 2. Highest is 93, on 7/3/02 and 9/9/02. Peak climo is very flat, with the daily mean staying between 65 and 66 from July 10 thru Aug 10. (Subject to change, as my data adjusts daily as I enter the numbers.) I think the greater atmospheric moisture in high summer prevents that period from peak maxima. That July record above included big dews but most other top heat did not. Aug 2002 featured an 8-day run of highs 87-91 (3 days 90+) but the avg minima in that stretch was 58 - hot but relatively dry. We're surrounded by tall trees which pour water vapor into the air; when the airmass is also humid, that's just too much water to cook. Wow. Not even a 90 on 7/22/2011? 88/67 and probably too humid for big heat. The trough went through mid morning for much of the region on 7/22 so we got a big dew drop to let the heat soar. 7/21 and that following night was oppressive though. IZG had 101° on 7/22. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhitinsvilleWX Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 3 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Dumbest time in our history Not really. There's always been this level of dumb. Its just you didn't know about it because there was no internet. Now these stupid ba$tards have away to seek out each other and communicate. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 Stupid has always been there, So many ways today to show people just how dumb some really are with social media. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 NAM likes eastern CT today only model I can find showing that much though 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 7 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: NAM likes eastern CT today only model I can find showing that much though It's gonna be a huge fail. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 RGEM looks more realistic based on radar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 Are we getting much sunshine on sat or Sunday anywhere in New England Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saguaro Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 1 hour ago, dendrite said: The trough went through mid morning for much of the region on 7/22 so we got a big dew drop to let the heat soar. 7/21 and that following night was oppressive though. IZG had 101° on 7/22. I remember that day well. If I recall correctly it came as a surprise since it was supposed to be HHH and ended up as H. Still impressive highs given triple digits are exceedingly rare in ME. The summer of 2011 had a bit of all the things which the vast majority of summers don't in NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 Sat cancel Pickles round of golf with his DILFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 40 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: RGEM looks more realistic based on radar Where is all the rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 8 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Sat cancel Pickles round of golf with his DILFS GFS is dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 4 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Where is all the rain? What a bust. Sun is breaking through here and we're up to 69 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: GFS is dry. Gfs less then .5 by Monday now. I’m very skeptical of these 3-4 inch amounts by next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrianW Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 6 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: What a bust. Sun is breaking through here and we're up to 69 74 and its been mostly sunny the last few hours here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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