weatherwiz Posted June 12, 2023 Share Posted June 12, 2023 Albany area could be good Wednesday maybe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted June 12, 2023 Share Posted June 12, 2023 38 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Albany area could be good Wednesday maybe Wouldn't be shocked to see something in the lower Hudson into SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted June 12, 2023 Share Posted June 12, 2023 Wiz is the equivalent of the NC weenies staying up all night for 1.6 inches of snow. 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 12, 2023 Share Posted June 12, 2023 15 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Wouldn't be shocked to see something in the lower Hudson into SNE. hmm this targets a bit farther southeast then I was thinking. But at least the NAM anyways develops the strongest CAPE across SNE. Shear profiles are impressive with some good turning across the region too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 12, 2023 Share Posted June 12, 2023 23 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Wouldn't be shocked to see something in the lower Hudson into SNE. This also highlights parts of NE MA tomorrow. Dry air might be too much to overcome but decent overlap of ingredients for something to work with if it can form 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted June 12, 2023 Share Posted June 12, 2023 The best shot Wednesday was always south of I-90, looks like a dew front (subtle boundary) from what I saw in the soundings but south of that should have 60+ dews. North of that forget it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 12, 2023 Share Posted June 12, 2023 I'm on day 2 of 80s... No complaints here. 8 days of the month were some less then optimal ... some worse. But 4 day's worth were down right summery. If we make 75 to 82 the next several days, that's pretty seasonal. It seems more and more so ... folks cannot tolerate seasonality - it has to be drama or there's something wrong. haha... 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 12, 2023 Author Share Posted June 12, 2023 I ran the last 30 days in CT . I wish I could have also included the last 12.. so we could get close to 45 days but it only lets you do by month, I’m not surprised at all but this local area has been dry . Just snapped this on the town green. I get it’s short term and localized.. but it has been very dry and one 2” rainer in May made up almost all of it . Hopefully Freaks forecast today of good rains comes to fruition. Fingers crossed. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 12, 2023 Share Posted June 12, 2023 55 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I ran the last 30 days in CT . I wish I could have also included the last 12.. so we could get close to 45 days but it only lets you do by month, I’m not surprised at all but this local area has been dry . Just snapped this on the town green. I get it’s short term and localized.. but it has been very dry and one 2” rainer in May made up almost all of it . Hopefully Freaks forecast today of good rains comes to fruition. Fingers crossed. You should run what it’s got up here. Been very dry since May 1, lawns in spots look much worse than that. I just never feel nor care for non-native cut grasses. It should be brown in summer if cut short. It’s just not a good native indicator of dry. We’ll get rain this week anyway. Ill try to get some pics of “damage” with burnt Rec fields. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 12, 2023 Author Share Posted June 12, 2023 12 minutes ago, powderfreak said: You should run what it’s got up here. Been very dry since May 1, lawns in spots look much worse than that. I just never feel nor care for non-native cut grasses. It should be brown in summer if cut short. It’s just not a good native indicator of dry. We’ll get rain this week anyway. Ill try to get some pics of “damage” with burnt Rec fields. Looks similar to here . Without that one one random rainer in May.. all of us would be in dire straits. Let’s hope your soakings can work out. I’m on your train . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted June 12, 2023 Share Posted June 12, 2023 56 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I ran the last 30 days in CT . I wish I could have also included the last 12.. so we could get close to 45 days but it only lets you do by month, I’m not surprised at all but this local area has been dry . Just snapped this on the town green. I get it’s short term and localized.. but it has been very dry and one 2” rainer in May made up almost all of it . Hopefully Freaks forecast today of good rains comes to fruition. Fingers crossed. My lawns not brown but it's certainly not greened up like it was earlier in the spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted June 12, 2023 Share Posted June 12, 2023 We rain. We rejoice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted June 12, 2023 Share Posted June 12, 2023 @Damage In Tolland heres your chance at some good dews This is largely dependent on the model of choice as the NAM/GFS dew points are quite high resulting in higher instability values. These dew points may be too high as they indicate some low/mid 70s dew points are possible. Have leaned more toward dew points in the upper 50s to low 60s for now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 12, 2023 Share Posted June 12, 2023 Fort Carson in Colorado Springs, CO today. Hail accumulation and flash flooding. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 13, 2023 Share Posted June 13, 2023 Last year was as bad as I’ve ever seen. Any brown area is laughable this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 13, 2023 Share Posted June 13, 2023 11 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Fort Carson in Colorado Springs, CO today. Hail accumulation and flash flooding. Love it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted June 13, 2023 Share Posted June 13, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted June 13, 2023 Share Posted June 13, 2023 No shortage of rain up here, Just a shortage of sunshine. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 13, 2023 Share Posted June 13, 2023 44 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: @Damage In Tolland heres your chance at some good dews This is largely dependent on the model of choice as the NAM/GFS dew points are quite high resulting in higher instability values. These dew points may be too high as they indicate some low/mid 70s dew points are possible. Have leaned more toward dew points in the upper 50s to low 60s for now I have no idea what BOX is talking about. Nothing shows dews even close to 70. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 13, 2023 Author Share Posted June 13, 2023 45 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: @Damage In Tolland heres your chance at some good dews This is largely dependent on the model of choice as the NAM/GFS dew points are quite high resulting in higher instability values. These dew points may be too high as they indicate some low/mid 70s dew points are possible. Have leaned more toward dew points in the upper 50s to low 60s for now Fish knew. Nailed 3 days of dews 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted June 13, 2023 Share Posted June 13, 2023 29 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I have no idea what BOX is talking about. Nothing shows dews even close to 70. actually just looked low to mid 60's at best... weird that they mentioned that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 13, 2023 Share Posted June 13, 2023 18z GFS constructs a monster heat pregnant ridge sprawling at continental scales in the D7 to 14 range. but like I said earlier… About every two cycles, these models vacillate back to these meanders aloft with cool pool instability convection. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 13, 2023 Share Posted June 13, 2023 Good downpours tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted June 13, 2023 Share Posted June 13, 2023 17 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Good downpours tonight. It’s the PRE 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 13, 2023 Share Posted June 13, 2023 Wednesday continuing to look quite interesting! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 13, 2023 Share Posted June 13, 2023 A/C is on tonight. Strong south winds gusting through the windows earlier, and it’s still 72/59 at 10:30pm. Windows shut and mini splits on… can’t do 70s outside after 10pm without A/C. We are staying well-mixed and breezy ahead of the rain. BTV at 77F still. FVE at 73F is interesting too. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted June 13, 2023 Share Posted June 13, 2023 6 hours ago, weatherwiz said: ehhh I was hoping there would be some room for some storms in SE NH or NE MA tomorrow but going to be too dry aloft I think. Though models do peg some QPF...but certainly enough that can validate chasing. THE SHIT SHOW CONTINUES There is nothing remotely special about Nashua for severe weather 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted June 13, 2023 Share Posted June 13, 2023 27 minutes ago, powderfreak said: A/C is on tonight. Strong south winds gusting through the windows earlier, and it’s still 72/59 at 10:30pm. Windows shut and mini splits on… can’t do 70s outside after 10pm without A/C. We are staying well-mixed and breezy ahead of the rain. BTV at 77F still. FVE at 73F is interesting too. There Are those that really like sleeping at their ideal temp Who run ac more and those that seem to be “ok” using other means or I would guess just run “cooler” My gf’s parents rented a house in Nantucket last year , it had A/c but we were on same floor as her mother who gets “cold” so after I laid it bed literally sweating for about an hour , I went to the basement where it was a perfect 65 and slept like a baby . That is really one of my very few pet peeves , I could sleep in a room that’s 40, just add blankets . I had a girlfriend that used to sleep with some sort of face covering because she froze lol but I only had on a bed sheet . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted June 13, 2023 Share Posted June 13, 2023 10 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: There is nothing remotely special about Nashua for severe weather Or anything else for that matter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted June 13, 2023 Share Posted June 13, 2023 33 minutes ago, mreaves said: Or anything else for that matter. Correct used to be much nicer 20 years ago , not nearly as violent as Manchester ( and I don’t say this as someone “better” but just a lot of poorly planned young moms and so *many recovery homes where those that relapse just hang around * The SW side by Hollis is still nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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