June 2023 Summer Begins

[dendrite]

33 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

Surprisingly small in my opinion. Would have thought there would have been some 95F afternoon that gets slammed down to 40F at some point in time. Maybe Boston is a bad example. Maybe inland.

Well you did say summer so I wasn't too surprised. BOS record low for JJA is only 41F and that's 6/1. After 6/15 they don't have a record low below 46F. I don't think spring was that much more extreme either though.

[weatherwiz]

70 does seem a bit much for this region. Seems like that would be more likely within the inter-mountain West or within the Great Plains. 

[dendrite]

15 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Well you did say summer so I wasn't too surprised. BOS record low for JJA is only 41F and that's 6/1. After 6/15 they don't have a record low below 46F. I don't think spring was that much more extreme either though.

MAM

[dan11295]

17 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Well you did say summer so I wasn't too surprised. BOS record low for JJA is only 41F and that's 6/1. After 6/15 they don't have a record low below 46F. I don't think spring was that much more extreme either though.

Maybe in 1816 they did of course our daily records don't go that far back 

[dendrite]

Those Apr 02 and 03 drops are pretty impressive.

This is pretty gross. 91F to 59F in 1 hr.

BOS,2002-04-17 21:54,METAR KBOS 172154Z 26012KT 10SM FEW070TCU SCT100 BKN250 BKN350 33/09 A2984 RMK AO2 SLP105 TCU DSNT NE MDT CU PRESENT T03280094
BOS,2002-04-17 22:32,KBOS 172232Z 02023G29KT 10SM FEW090 BKN110 BKN150 BKN250 19/10 A2989 RMK AO2 PK WND 02030/2228 WSHFT 2212 PRESRR $
BOS,2002-04-17 22:54,METAR KBOS 172254Z 03022G30KT 8SM FEW090 SCT110 BKN220 OVC300 15/10 A2994 RMK AO2 PK WND 04030/2254 WSHFT 2212 PRESRR SLP137 BINOVC MDT CU DSNT E T01500100 $
BOS,2002-04-17 23:54,METAR KBOS 172354Z 06006KT 9SM SCT110 BKN230 BKN300 13/09 A2997 RMK AO2 PK WND 03028/2256 SLP148 T01280094 10339 20128 53044 $

 

 

[dendrite]

82F to 50F in 1 hr in the 2003 door. 40kt NE gust.

BOS,2003-04-16 17:54,METAR KBOS 161754Z 30019G23KT 10SM FEW140 BKN200 BKN250 29/08 A2968 RMK AO2 SLP051 T02890083 10289 20183 55003
BOS,2003-04-16 18:54,METAR KBOS 161854Z 30011G20KT 10SM BKN095 OVC200 28/08 A2971 RMK AO2 PK WND 26027/1808 SLP059 T02780083
BOS,2003-04-16 19:04,KBOS 161904Z 03026G40KT 10SM BKN090 17/09 A2975 RMK AO2 PK WND 04040/1858 WSHFT 1845 PRESRR $
BOS,2003-04-16 19:54,METAR KBOS 161954Z 06023G28KT 10SM SCT095 BKN200 10/06 A2982 RMK AO2 PK WND 04040/1858 WSHFT 1845 SLP097 T01000061 $
BOS,2003-04-16 20:54,METAR KBOS 162054Z 07019KT 10SM SCT095 09/05 A2987 RMK AO2 PK WND 06029/1955 SLP115 T00890050 53064 $
BOS,2003-04-16 21:54,METAR KBOS 162154Z 08017KT 10SM FEW095 SCT250 08/04 A2991 RMK AO2 SLP129 T00830044 $
BOS,2003-04-16 22:54,METAR KBOS 162254Z 08012KT 10SM FEW110 SCT140 BKN300 BKN350 07/04 A2999 RMK AO2 SLP154 T00720044 $

[SouthCoastMA]

Steins a fighter - doesn't look so wet with the latest runs. I was kinda hoping for a decent soaking

[CoastalWx]

12 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

Steins a fighter - doesn't look so wet with the latest runs. I was kinda hoping for a decent soaking

I'm leaning more cloudy and stein. Some rain, but not much. At least our areas.

[wx2fish]

47 minutes ago, dendrite said:

MAM

I'd have to go tally them up but I feel like inland we've had several 40+ diurnals over the past 3 months. It's been a pretty solid rad stretch 

[weatherwiz]

13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I'm leaning more cloudy and stein. Some rain, but not much. At least our areas.

Agreed, I don't think you'll see QPF as widespread as ensembles had or even what globals had. Most of the precipitation is likely to be more convective in nature, however, depending on the exact evolution of things there could be a narrow band/swath of heavier rain or maybe even some upslope induced rains. 

[CoastalWx]

5 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Agreed, I don't think you'll see QPF as widespread as ensembles had or even what globals had. Most of the precipitation is likely to be more convective in nature, however, depending on the exact evolution of things there could be a narrow band/swath of heavier rain or maybe even some upslope induced rains. 

I was meaning more from a synoptic standpoint during the weekend. Tomorrow will be up north and then probably into central MA/ern CT/RI along backdoor. 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Never bought into the super soaker  ensembles yesterday 

[powderfreak]

6z Euro had slightly better temps from Kev north to here and points west this weekend.  Still crap but maybe 60s instead of upper 40s to mid-50s.

[powderfreak]

Riding the thermal rollercoaster and we are on the steep climb again.

Already 82F at 10:30am!

Yesterday we did 47F to 88F then back to 46F this morning, now already 82F.

I’ll have to look but the past month has had so many 40+ diurnal swings. We’ll do it again by noon probably.

Has felt like the desert.

[Typhoon Tip]

1 hour ago, dendrite said:

Those Apr 02 and 03 drops are pretty impressive.

This is pretty gross. 91F to 59F in 1 hr.

BOS,2002-04-17 21:54,METAR KBOS 172154Z 26012KT 10SM FEW070TCU SCT100 BKN250 BKN350 33/09 A2984 RMK AO2 SLP105 TCU DSNT NE MDT CU PRESENT T03280094
BOS,2002-04-17 22:32,KBOS 172232Z 02023G29KT 10SM FEW090 BKN110 BKN150 BKN250 19/10 A2989 RMK AO2 PK WND 02030/2228 WSHFT 2212 PRESRR $
BOS,2002-04-17 22:54,METAR KBOS 172254Z 03022G30KT 8SM FEW090 SCT110 BKN220 OVC300 15/10 A2994 RMK AO2 PK WND 04030/2254 WSHFT 2212 PRESRR SLP137 BINOVC MDT CU DSNT E T01500100 $
BOS,2002-04-17 23:54,METAR KBOS 172354Z 06006KT 9SM SCT110 BKN230 BKN300 13/09 A2997 RMK AO2 PK WND 03028/2256 SLP148 T01280094 10339 20128 53044 $

 

 

Oh... I said 2003 earlier... this was the one I was thinking of - it was in 2002 I guess.

I was working for Frontier Sciences as a DB coder back in the day, stationed along the 900 block of Comm. Ave across from the B.U. rec center.  The setting was right over the T-stop, the 2nd floor above that CVS. Heh, I wonder if that setting is even the same these days. That was 21 years ago ...and they had broken ground on a new rec/gym facility across the street. 

That was the 2nd most pernicious whiplashing at the hands of BD invasion I had ever experienced, a short distance behind the March 31 1998 ... '98 it was like the heated fervency of a Titanic party crashing into an ice-burg.   91F at 3pm on the UML WX Lab monitor, 39F by 1am. Boom. That's a delta of 52 inside of 18 hours!  

But 2002 April was almost as gloriously horrible.  I think it was 47 or so in Waltham that next dawn where I lived at the time ... so 45 ~    But yeah...that first hour was really nuts.  Came through that neighborhood  with stack plumes of steam suddenly made condensation visible ... leaning smartly SW across the city-scape.  College women, clad in rather thigh revealing shorts and mere halter tops were caught out in the open and stood waiting in close huddles with their arms crossed - thighs turning purple.

[Modfan2]

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

I'm leaning more cloudy and stein. Some rain, but not much. At least our areas.

How is Saturday in Northern NH?

[CoastalWx]

3 minutes ago, Modfan2 said:

How is Saturday in Northern NH?

Probably in the 50s and cloudy? I suppose a few breaks could occur. With any luck near 60.

[CoastalWx]

NAM is ugly the whole weekend around here.

[weatherwiz]

BOS Tomorrow  

MAV: 76

MET: 65

NBM: 83

[Cyclone-68]

Just passed the 38th anniversary of this incredible event:

https://stormstalker.wordpress.com/2022/06/08/may-31-1985-the-united-states-canada-outbreak/

 

 

[SouthCoastMA]

already 78 here

[powderfreak]

88F (31C) at 11:25am

METAR KMVL 011525Z AUTO 03005KT 10SM CLR 31/13 A3011

Going to go big today into the 90s… they’ve got 90+ forecast up through 1500ft. Already up 42 degrees from this morning.

 

[powderfreak]

Last day of ski season at Killington.

Guess it's time to shut 'em down.

[weatherwiz]

Keeping hopes up (or praying I guess) we can muster up some cold pool low topped hailers next week

[WxWatcher007]

1 minute ago, weatherwiz said:

Keeping hopes up (or praying I guess) we can muster up some cold pool low topped hailers next week

What are you thinking about tomorrow here?

[weatherwiz]

1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said:

What are you thinking about tomorrow here?

Thinking we should see scattered thunderstorms pop mid-to-late afternoon. Shear is pretty bad so not expecting anything severe, but lapse rates aren't too terrible and the NAM at least is pretty robust with elevated instability. Maybe there could be some small hail if any cores can become deep enough. Gusty winds probably as cores collapse. 

[WxWatcher007]

Just now, weatherwiz said:

Thinking we should see scattered thunderstorms pop mid-to-late afternoon. Shear is pretty bad so not expecting anything severe, but lapse rates aren't too terrible and the NAM at least is pretty robust with elevated instability. Maybe there could be some small hail if any cores can become deep enough. Gusty winds probably as cores collapse. 

Barely any shear on the soundings lol

[weatherwiz]

1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Barely any shear on the soundings lol

I was initially thinking a few days back that we would see slow movers and perhaps poor drainage threat, but the movement of storms will be aided by the advancement of the front. Pretty crazy (it seems) to get such strong moisture advection and convergence from the north. 

[Typhoon Tip]

34 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

I was initially thinking a few days back that we would see slow movers and perhaps poor drainage threat, but the movement of storms will be aided by the advancement of the front. Pretty crazy (it seems) to get such strong moisture advection and convergence from the north. 

Were you around for the 1995 supercell event in CT ?   I'm pretty sure you were like 2 years old ...haha. 

anyway, that developed along a BD.   Other than that though ...I've lived through hundreds of BDs of all different varietals over the decades since moving to this region of the country, and maybe 3 of them had actual thunderstorms upon their initial advance through the region.

Usually ... the convection happens two days later ...when the boundary is sort of still in the area as a frontalysis ... offering a weak trigger.  You get those yellowy w-n horizon mountain top towers ... visible to eastern zones as the morning fog/strata is breaking ... 11am or so.  Then later anvils and thunder is heard. 

I don't know ... is there's something discretely obvious about this scenario in the models that makes it unique?  Otherwise, I'd be willing to correct the whole scenario a little little ham-fisted in the general synopsis ...which opens the door to like what Scott was mentioning about selling on the QPF ... or even just a standard run-o-the-mill boring correction ...sparing the region from enjoying summer.

[Damage In Tolland]

Humid as balls out there today with mid 60’s. Feels so awesome