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Stormlover74
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75 / 57 here and a hot but dry one on tap.  Hottest day of the next 9 likely on tap with widespread mid - upper 80s and 90s n the warmer spots on a N/NW flow.  Recent dryness will aid in enhancing highs above guidance.  Looks mainly sunny through much of the afternoon.  Some late clouds and showers possible as winds come around to the NE and push much cooler air into the region.  Perhaps a few record highs are possible on the over achieving warmth.  It w Still be interesting to see Sat (6/3) and how much sun vs low marine layer keeps it in the 60s or 50s along the coats.  Looks to clear Sun (6/4) and push back to the low 70s but could see clouds hang around and if so , lower temps then. 

Mon (6/5) - Fri (6/9) trough into the northeast with cooler / near normal temps but guidance brings little if any rain chances.  We'll have to see if the cut off / ULL swings some more rain chances in the area. 

Warmer by later next weekend and into the following week.  Nothing clear yet on any of the long range guidance but would see a migration with ridging pushing east or pieces of building heat come over the top more frequent later in the month.

 

 

GOES16-EUS-02-1000x1000.gif 

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Records:

 

Highs:


EWR: 93 (2000)
NYC: 96 (1895)
LGA: 94 (1989)

Lows:

EWR: 48 (1946)
NYC: 48 (1946)
LGA: 48 (1946)

 

Historical:

1889 - A great flood on the Potomac River in Washington D.C. took out a span of Long Bridge, and flooded streets near the river. The flood stage reached was not again equalled until 1936. (David Ludlum)

1917 - The temperature at Tribune, KS dipped to 30 degrees to establish a state record for the month of June. (The Weather Channel)

1949 - A tornado northeast of Alfalfa OK circled an area one mile in radius. (The Weather Channel)

1985 - Lightning struck a house, broke a bedroom window, and jumped to a metal frame bed. A man was killed but his wife was unharmed by the lightning. (The Weather Channel)

1987 - Thunderstorms spawned seven tornadoes in West Texas and six tornadoes in Illinois. Thunderstorms in Illinois produced wind gusts to 70 mph at McComb and Mattoon. Thunderstorms in southern Texas produced 5.5 inches of rain south of Seguin, and up to eight inches of rain in Washington County. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

1988 - Severe thunderstorms in Texas and Oklahoma produced hail more than three inches in diameter near Stilwater OK, and softball size hail in Jones County of north central Texas. Baseball size hail and 70 mph winds caused an estimated 100 million dollars damage around Abilene TX. (National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather across much of the south central U.S. through most of the day and night. Thunderstorms spawned a dozen tornadoes, and there were 123 reports of large hail and damaging winds. Thunderstorm winds gusted to 78 mph at Russell KS, and baseball size hail was reported at Denver CO, Cuthbert TX, and in Reeves County TX. Afternoon thunderstorms in southern New England produced wind gusts to 120 mph at Fitchburg, MA, causing five million dollars damage. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1998: Frostburg, Maryland on June 2, 1998, at 9:45 PM - This was part of a killer outbreak of tornadoes that moved southeast from Pennsylvania. The storm entered Garrett County, Maryland striking the town of Finzel. It then moved up and over Big Savage Mountain in Allegany County and ripped through the northern portion of Frostburg. It reached its peak strength as it crossed the ridge. Winds were estimated between 210 and 250 mph (F4 on the Fujita Tornado Damage Scale). This was the first tornado to "officially" be rated an "F4" in the State of Maryland. The National Weather Service adopted the Fujita Damage Scale in 1973. The total damage path of the Frostburg tornado was over 25 miles long (8 miles in Allegany County) and up to a half-mile wide. Along most of its path, it was producing winds over 125 mph (F2 or stronger). The damage path was continuous as it moved up and down over 2000-foot mountain ridges. The fact that no one was killed in Maryland was attributed to 5 to 10 minutes warning that was well communicated to people in Frostburg over television, radio, scanners, telephones, and sirens. People took quick action to move to their basements. A mother and child rode out the storm as it destroyed their house hiding under a table in the basement. They were shaken but unharmed. A jacket from a Frostburg home was found 25 miles away. A diploma was found near Winchester, Virginia, 60 miles away and a bill was found near Sterling Virginia (about 100 miles away). 

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42 minutes ago, nycwinter said:

looking forward to the next cooler days after today..going to wear the hoodie tomorrow...

You should be the “hoodie meteorologist.“ Your forecasts would simply be “hoodie day“ or “no hoodie day“

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3 hours ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

I don’t think these maps are really useful for the general public interested in gardening. 
In the last few days soil moisture has dropped so low that even my gardens on campus that contain super hardy native plants are needing to be irrigated. We keep having flash droughts as part of our new climate regime. Feast or famine just like with snow 

Yeah that map doesn't make much sense to me. I have no idea how my county isn't in the abnormally dry. Here we had one day of rain the entire month of May. Only three quarters of an inch for the whole month. The ground is absolutely parched and the grass is burning out already. It definitely is abnormally dry here. 

Sadly there still isn't any meaningful rain in sight. I will have to keep watering the vegetable garden every other day. 

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1 minute ago, Allsnow said:

Drought looks to be worst than last summer. Lawns already becoming dormant 

yeah we were lucky in late April and some of us two weekends ago outside of that its been so dry in the area.  We have become a So-Cal like pattern of late.  We'll see of the trough and subsequent cut off increases rain chances Mon - Fri of this coming week.

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Already into the upper 80s.  Kids have field day today on a campus with no shade and not a cloud to be found.  Misery.  Glad I brought in the Tilly Hat and sunscreen.

Also, an interesting temperature inversion with the overnight lows.  Vernon and High Point had the warmest low temperatures in the whole state last night.  

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20 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Drought looks to be worst than last summer. Lawns already becoming dormant 

Yes and rather quickly over the last week.  Upcoming pattern does not look favorable for anything more than localized showery type stuff.  As the guy who likes hoodies said the reservoir levels are good but if this pattern does not break they will start to decline.  I just don't see any sign of a shift to a wetter pattern.  At least not for the next 2-3 weeks.

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Severe warned on the cell in NW Sussex County.  It looks to be heading sort of in my direction but will probably miss west if it holds together.  They called off the afternoon session of field day due to the heat which was definitely the right call.  Temps are into the 90s in West Jersey.

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