winterwx21 Posted June 12, 2023 Share Posted June 12, 2023 25 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Looks great for eastern PA Yeah it doesn't look great for our area, but we can hope to get lucky with a heavy downpour. If that happens it probably won't be until the early evening hours too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 12, 2023 Author Share Posted June 12, 2023 4 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: Yeah it doesn't look great for our area, but we can hope to get lucky with a heavy downpour. If that happens it probably won't be until the early evening hours too. Yeah it would be much later anyway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 12, 2023 Share Posted June 12, 2023 Some clearing and further fuel maybe. Up to 80/67 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted June 12, 2023 Share Posted June 12, 2023 Radar looks nice in Pennsylvania. Hopefully it holds together by the time it arrives here later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 12, 2023 Share Posted June 12, 2023 24 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: Yeah it doesn't look great for our area, but we can hope to get lucky with a heavy downpour. If that happens it probably won't be until the early evening hours too. 20 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Yeah it would be much later anyway After 3pm. Until then everything will be west of us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 12, 2023 Share Posted June 12, 2023 Even it today fails looks like a wet pattern will try to establish itself. Gfs and euro still very wet into next week with 3-4 inches area wide 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 12, 2023 Share Posted June 12, 2023 3 hours ago, Allsnow said: Even it today fails looks like a wet pattern will try to establish itself. Gfs and euro still very wet into next week with 3-4 inches area wide it's taking months of blocking to get a coastal just like in winter <3 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted June 12, 2023 Share Posted June 12, 2023 3 hours ago, Allsnow said: Even it today fails looks like a wet pattern will try to establish itself. Gfs and euro still very wet into next week with 3-4 inches area wide There's a lot of cutoffs in this pattern. It's gonna produce sooner or later 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted June 12, 2023 Share Posted June 12, 2023 Getting some light rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted June 12, 2023 Share Posted June 12, 2023 Currently pouring here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 12, 2023 Share Posted June 12, 2023 38 minutes ago, forkyfork said: it's taking months of blocking to get a coastal just like in winter <3 Radar looks good for us… thoughts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted June 12, 2023 Share Posted June 12, 2023 1 minute ago, SnoSki14 said: There's a lot of cutoffs in this pattern. It's gonna produce sooner or later Yeah you roll the dice enough and eventually you win. Even still I’m sure there will be winners and losers as we are in convection season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted June 12, 2023 Share Posted June 12, 2023 2 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Radar looks good for us… thoughts? Yeah scattered downpours popping in southern NJ, so hopefully a couple of them will hit us this evening. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 12, 2023 Share Posted June 12, 2023 21 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Radar looks good for us… thoughts? i think we can manage .5-.75 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 12, 2023 Share Posted June 12, 2023 the nam's replacement had been showing a slot of no precip over us and shifted to bands of heavy amounts making it to west of suffolk 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 12, 2023 Author Share Posted June 12, 2023 59 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: Yeah scattered downpours popping in southern NJ, so hopefully a couple of them will hit us this evening. Nice line now 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted June 12, 2023 Share Posted June 12, 2023 11 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Nice line now Yeah it looks good. We should get a nice downpour. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted June 12, 2023 Share Posted June 12, 2023 That’s a pretty juiced radar. It’s going to take allot to make that disappear before getting to the metro. This isn’t like an early spring squall line that hits the breaks before it gets to the coast 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted June 12, 2023 Share Posted June 12, 2023 An extended period of generally cooler than normal temperatures is ongoing. No return to summerlike heat is likely through at least the first three weeks of June. A frontal system will bring a general 0.25"-0.75" rainfall with locally higher overight into tomorrow. Some areas could experience thunder. The sun will return tomorrow. Texas could see near record and record heat develop during the middle and latter part of the week. At present, there is no indication that this heat will move into the Middle Atlantic and southern New England regions. The latest ECMWF weeklies continue to show no significant heat until at least late in the month. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +2.6°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.9°C for the week centered around June 7. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +2.28°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.58°C. El Niño conditions have developed and will likely continue to strengthen through at least the summer. The SOI was +10.54 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.102 today. On June 10 the MJO was in Phase 3 at an amplitude of 1.363 (RMM). The June 9-adjusted amplitude was 1.249 (RMM). Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 65% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal June (1991-2020 normal). June will likely finish with a mean temperature near 71.1° (0.7° below normal). 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 12, 2023 Share Posted June 12, 2023 45 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Nice line now 33 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: Yeah it looks good. We should get a nice downpour. Good drink coming 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted June 12, 2023 Share Posted June 12, 2023 Looking good for metro, not so much out here in SW Suffolk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted June 12, 2023 Share Posted June 12, 2023 It didn't come down in buckets, but a decent heavy downpour has been going on here. Looks as if this first round is gonna drop about a third of an inch of rain. At least enough to give the garden a decent watering for the first time since May 20th. Looks as if another round will come through in a little while, so hopefully we can end up over a half inch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jacob brooklyn Posted June 12, 2023 Share Posted June 12, 2023 Very dark out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 12, 2023 Share Posted June 12, 2023 Pouring here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 12, 2023 Author Share Posted June 12, 2023 Quick .25" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 12, 2023 Share Posted June 12, 2023 just what quebec needs 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 12, 2023 Share Posted June 12, 2023 4 minutes ago, forkyfork said: just what quebec needs That precipitation anomaly! Yes, please 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 12, 2023 Share Posted June 12, 2023 It looks like another wave of moderate to heavy rain is developing to our south/southwest over Burlington and Ocean Counties. It should swing thru here in the next hour or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted June 12, 2023 Share Posted June 12, 2023 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted June 12, 2023 Share Posted June 12, 2023 Looking like a quick shower for most of LI. Ain’t gonna get it done 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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