June 2023

[Wannabehippie]

1 minute ago, Nibor said:

Yup same

Not much showing up on the radar though.

[Franklin0529]

Thunderstorms with hail here in hazlet. Northern Monmouth county 

[cleetussnow]

Wind really whipped up here in Westchester.  I can see dark clouds to my northeast and have been hearing thunder from the same direction.  I probably just experienced about a 35 MPH gust.  

[cleetussnow]

I got hail.

pea size hail rn. 

[nycwinter]

reading some of the nws offices in upstate and in new england saying the smoke is causing the high temps to under perform..

[jm1220]

If this storm can hold up over Westchester it might be a nasty one for MBY. 

I wonder if the smoke actually helps these storms by providing nuclei for the clouds. 

[Snowlover11]

thats a nasty one over westchester 

[MANDA]

12Z guidance continues to indicate needed rainfall around here for early next week.  Still a ways off but trends have been consistent so that is encouraging.  Will be a rather complex evolution so exact placement of best totals uncertain but HPC seems on board for needed rainfall over a large area - at least from this vantage point.

 

[Wannabehippie]

25 minutes ago, Franklin0529 said:

Thunderstorms with hail here in hazlet. Northern Monmouth county 

We had a 5 min brief shower by me. Barely enough to wet the ground. 

 

12 minutes ago, nycwinter said:

reading some of the nws offices in upstate and in new england saying the smoke is causing the high temps to under perform..

I wonder if the smoke is putting a cap on any thunderstorms, acting like a stable layer higher up in the atmosphere. Making any storms low topped.

[donsutherland1]

Some small hail is falling in Rye Brook and Port Chester, NY as a thunderstorm passes through.

Pea-sized hail in Rye Brook (photo from Angella):

 

Near dime-sized hail from Port Chester, NY (photo from Silvio).

 

[STORMANLI]

Yes. Sunlight on floor had very orange hue.

[TheClimateChanger]

9 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

If this storm can hold up over Westchester it might be a nasty one for MBY. 

I wonder if the smoke actually helps these storms by providing nuclei for the clouds. 

Doubtful, likely a net negative. Cools the surface, and warms the upper atmosphere, which reduces instability. The presence of wildfire smoke does brighten and thicken cumulus clouds, producing additional cooling; however, the presence of more, but smaller, droplets means the resulting clouds are actually less conducive to rainfall. There is some research, however, that suggests wildfire smoke and aerosols can lead to more lightning - particularly dangerous positively charged bolts. If anything, the case can be made that the unusually smoky atmosphere contributed to the ongoing regional dry spell.

https://www.nationalgeographic.com/environment/article/wildfire-smoke-is-transforming-clouds-making-rainfall-less-likely#:~:text=It does indeed%2C according to,likely to fall as rain.

https://news.mit.edu/1998/smoke-1007

[psv88]

8 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

If this storm can hold up over Westchester it might be a nasty one for MBY. 

I wonder if the smoke actually helps these storms by providing nuclei for the clouds. 

most likely would increase the lightning

[jm1220]

2 minutes ago, TheClimateChanger said:

Doubtful, likely a net negative. Cools the surface, and warms the upper atmosphere, which reduces instability. The presence of wildfire smoke does brighten and thicken cumulus clouds, producing additional cooling; however, the presence of more, but smaller, droplets means the resulting clouds are actually less conducive to rainfall. There is some research, however, that suggests wildfire smoke and aerosols can lead to more lightning - particularly dangerous positively charged bolts.

https://www.nationalgeographic.com/environment/article/wildfire-smoke-is-transforming-clouds-making-rainfall-less-likely#:~:text=It does indeed%2C according to,likely to fall as rain.

https://news.mit.edu/1998/smoke-1007

Wow, thanks for posting! 

[Rmine1]

NWS just posted a STW for Brightwaters. Been a while since I’ve seen this 

[jm1220]

Sky getting dark but looks like the storm might go just west of me. Rain is desperately needed however we get it. 

[doncat]

Small storm went right over me...0.25 " rain with some close lightning strikes...wind gust to 40 mph. Nothing at my other gage a short distance away.

[jm1220]

Nasty hail core right over Oyster Bay. 

[uofmiami]

My house is about to take a direct hit from that cell in Oyster Bay & Cove Neck moving S.

[Intensewind002]

Im in a decent spot if this storm makes it to the south shore, right in line with the hail core’s projected movement 

[Intensewind002]

Also i wonder if that little cell near Massapequa is producing any small hail

[jm1220]

Maybe spoke too soon about missing the hail core here. Looks like it’ll be close. Mod rain and thunder currently. Very creepy/smoky sky. 

[IrishRob17]

Heavier smoke moving in up here as its getting rather orangey outside now. 

[CIK62]

Was just another close call here with little action.      Everything weakening now.

[psv88]

Rolling thunder and rain here now, missed the worst of it. Need the rain desperately. 

[jm1220]

Had a few pea size hailstones and mod-heavy rain but predictably it’s weakening here. 

[LongBeachSurfFreak]

Just saw a video from lindenhurst of heavy quarter size hail. Very solid by Long Island standards where’s blue wave 

[Intensewind002]

 

3 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

Just saw a video from lindenhurst of heavy quarter size hail. Very solid by Long Island standards where’s blue wave 

That cell just missed me by a quarter of a mile, there was 65-70 dbz reflectivity just to the south of me 

[jm1220]

Robert Moses Causeway might be getting pelted with hail. Don’t see that often if ever in the last 20 years. 

[psv88]

Really a dud here, barely enough rain to wet the ground under the trees.