Poker2015 Posted June 26, 2023 Share Posted June 26, 2023 13 minutes ago, Snowlover11 said: im literally on the outer edge of this line of storms, its dark here. that a confirmed tornado? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted June 26, 2023 Share Posted June 26, 2023 10 minutes ago, Poker2015 said: that a confirmed tornado? no but had had tvs signature Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 26, 2023 Author Share Posted June 26, 2023 18 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Look out north jersey! So far a bust for south jersey for sure 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted June 26, 2023 Share Posted June 26, 2023 Amazing how the storms just exploded anew on the outflow boundary in central Hunterdon County. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 26, 2023 Share Posted June 26, 2023 7 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: So far a bust for south jersey for sure I don’t feel bad for them 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted June 26, 2023 Share Posted June 26, 2023 7 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: So far a bust for south jersey for sure Not sure anything significant is gonna make it to NYC either, but we knew all along that this pattern favored west of the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 26, 2023 Author Share Posted June 26, 2023 Just now, winterwx21 said: Not sure anything significant is gonna make it to NYC either, but we knew all along that this pattern favored west of the city. Yeah but the area that was in enhanced has seen very little 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 26, 2023 Share Posted June 26, 2023 1 minute ago, Stormlover74 said: Yeah but the area that was in enhanced has seen very little The enhanced should have been placed in NW NJ/NE PA imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 26, 2023 Share Posted June 26, 2023 5 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: Not sure anything significant is gonna make it to NYC either, but we knew all along that this pattern favored west of the city. Upton forecast discussion have been great the past few days. They have nailed where all the activity has been 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wannabehippie Posted June 26, 2023 Share Posted June 26, 2023 I am surprised that NYC is not under a severe thunderstorm watch with the line of severe weather so close by. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 26, 2023 Share Posted June 26, 2023 that outflow boundary setting up across central nj should be a nice focus for the next round tonight 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 26, 2023 Share Posted June 26, 2023 Just now, forkyfork said: that outflow boundary setting up across central nj should be a nice focus for the next round tonight Yes please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted June 26, 2023 Share Posted June 26, 2023 Training continues over my area. Up to 1.7" for the day. Based on radar another round coming in shortly. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted June 26, 2023 Share Posted June 26, 2023 Usually the city does fairly well and it’s only the island that gets screwed. But wow, we can’t buy decent rain on the uws. Just a couple showers today. It’s, not over though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted June 26, 2023 Share Posted June 26, 2023 1 minute ago, MANDA said: Training continues over my area. Up to 1.7" for the day. Based on radar another round coming in shortly. 1.86” here so far. Light rain currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted June 26, 2023 Share Posted June 26, 2023 welp that blew thru quick, better than nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted June 26, 2023 Share Posted June 26, 2023 29 minutes ago, forkyfork said: that outflow boundary setting up across central nj should be a nice focus for the next round tonight HRRR for later this evening 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted June 26, 2023 Share Posted June 26, 2023 Yeah 18z 3k and 18z Hrrr both agree on a mcs like feature swinging through in a few hours 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 26, 2023 Share Posted June 26, 2023 22 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Usually the city does fairly well and it’s only the island that gets screwed. But wow, we can’t buy decent rain on the uws. Just a couple showers today. It’s, not over though. 2 thunderstorms that only got .4” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 26, 2023 Share Posted June 26, 2023 49 minutes ago, forkyfork said: that outflow boundary setting up across central nj should be a nice focus for the next round tonight Hopefully it actually includes the city kinda annoying just being 20 miles to the east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 26, 2023 Share Posted June 26, 2023 Parts of north jersey going to end up with 6-7 inches of rain 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 26, 2023 Share Posted June 26, 2023 2 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Parts of north jersey going to end up with 6-7 inches of rain the crazy nam replacement run didn't nail the location but it's doing a good job with amounts 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted June 26, 2023 Share Posted June 26, 2023 Zero for all of the island, despite what Upton says Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted June 26, 2023 Share Posted June 26, 2023 2 hours ago, Rmine1 said: Agreed. Air mass is too stable along the coast. Not expecting any rain in SW Suffolk theres a HWO by the SPC putting basically the western half of LI for marginal risk of severe TS. Ain’t happening Should just have the map zoom in and have any threat go to zero across the Hudson, maybe a little to the east. Maybe there’s a tiny chance some MCS feature can survive east of the city but otherwise our odds here are none with this stuff over NJ now. That area’s been favored for days and the models a few days ago showing widespread 2-4”+ for the whole metro were trash. We normally have a coastal drought pattern in the summer but this is ridiculous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted June 26, 2023 Share Posted June 26, 2023 3 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Should just have the map zoom in and have any threat go to zero across the Hudson, maybe a little to the east. Maybe there’s a tiny chance some MCS feature can survive east of the city but otherwise our odds here are none with this stuff over NJ now. That area’s been favored for days and the models a few days ago showing widespread 2-4”+ for the whole metro were trash. We normally have a coastal drought pattern in the summer but this is ridiculous. Yeah, I don’t get why Upton is still at 70% for the overnight here. Complete BS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 26, 2023 Share Posted June 26, 2023 12 minutes ago, Rmine1 said: Yeah, I don’t get why Upton is still at 70% for the overnight here. Complete BS Watch it happen while you sleep lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted June 26, 2023 Share Posted June 26, 2023 Rounds of heavy rain continue. Near constant low rumbling thunder. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted June 26, 2023 Share Posted June 26, 2023 11 minutes ago, dmillz25 said: Watch it happen while you sleep lol There could be a random shower cluster like we had this morning but we have zero shot at anything like NJ’s getting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted June 26, 2023 Share Posted June 26, 2023 9 minutes ago, dmillz25 said: Watch it happen while you sleep lol Nah. Worst setup for severe on the island. Plus it’s been nothing but low clouds here all day. Nothing to fire up any convection Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted June 26, 2023 Share Posted June 26, 2023 Just now, jm1220 said: There could be a random shower cluster like we had this morning but we have zero shot at anything like NJ’s getting. I didn’t even have that! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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