WX-PA Posted June 21, 2023 Share Posted June 21, 2023 Just now, Allsnow said: 66 for a high on the first day of summer This is like 65-70 on December 21st. Very cool June weather. No signs of any prolonged heat in sight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 21, 2023 Share Posted June 21, 2023 5 hours ago, FPizz said: Astronomical seasons line up better around here most of the time than met. seasons. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 21, 2023 Share Posted June 21, 2023 Coolest June since 2009. Just not as wet which has hurt the lawns 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted June 21, 2023 Share Posted June 21, 2023 2009 was absolutely ghastly, at least it’s been sunny (and dry). 75 today. I was expecting cloudy skies but the sun’s been out all day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted June 21, 2023 Share Posted June 21, 2023 31 minutes ago, forkyfork said: Thank you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted June 21, 2023 Share Posted June 21, 2023 An extended period of generally cooler than normal temperatures is ongoing. No return to summerlike heat is likely through the remainder of June. Overnight and tomorrow will see showers and perhaps thunderstorms. It will be unseasonably cool. Temperatures tomorrow will likely stay below 70° in parts of the northern Mid-Atlantic region. The unsettled weather will likely continue into the weekend. Parts of Texas are in the midst of an extreme heat event. High temperatures through 5 pm CDT included: Abilene: 103° Austin: 103° Brownsville: 99° Corpus Christi: 103° (old record: 102°, 2017) Cotulla: 115° (old record: 104°, 2022) Del Rio: 115° (old record: 105°, 1951 and 1996) ***New all-time record*** Houston: 100° (tied record set in 1902 and tied in 1906 and 1998) Junction: 110° (old record: 104°, 1953) Laredo: 112° (old record: 109°, 1996) McAllen: 107° (tied record set in 2017) San Angelo: 114° (old record: 108°, 1934) ***Tied all-time record*** San Antonio: 105° Victoria: 100° Zapata: 113° (old record: 107°, 1998) At present, there is little indication that this heat will move into the Middle Atlantic and southern New England regions. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +2.7°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.9°C for the week centered around June 14. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +2.28°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.67°C. El Niño conditions have developed and will likely continue to strengthen through at least the summer. The SOI was -26.99 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.179 today. On June 19 the MJO was in Phase 8 at an amplitude of 0.356 (RMM). The June 18-adjusted amplitude was 0.198 (RMM). Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 89% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal June (1991-2020 normal). June will likely finish with a mean temperature near 70.3° (1.5° below normal). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted June 21, 2023 Share Posted June 21, 2023 42 minutes ago, WX-PA said: This is like 65-70 on December 21st. Very cool June weather. No signs of any prolonged heat in sight. More like 55 +/- a degree or two. Average is low 80s so we're about 15 below. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted June 21, 2023 Share Posted June 21, 2023 1 hour ago, Dark Star said: As said before, both "summers" are correct. While the past few years September has shown to be warm, I used to notice that when Labor Day hit, the temperatures would drop noticeably. And from my school days in the 1960s and 70s, I remember sweating in the classroom (and not just because I was not good in math). Amount of daylight also matters imo, which is why I consider summer June 1 - August 31. Huge decline in daylight Sept 1-21 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted June 21, 2023 Share Posted June 21, 2023 i will enjoy tomorrow 60's cool gusty breeze...hoodie weather.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted June 21, 2023 Share Posted June 21, 2023 Just now, nycwinter said: i will enjoy tomorrow 60's cool gusty breeze...hoodie weather.. Love it 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cygnus X-1 Posted June 21, 2023 Share Posted June 21, 2023 The blocking on the radar is impressive. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 22, 2023 Author Share Posted June 22, 2023 Euro really dropped amounts for tomorrow but is pretty wet Friday and for the weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 1 minute ago, Stormlover74 said: Euro really dropped amounts for tomorrow but is pretty wet Friday and for the weekend How much for tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 22, 2023 Author Share Posted June 22, 2023 2 minutes ago, allgame830 said: How much for tomorrow? Less than .25" nyc on west..more east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 2 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Euro really dropped amounts for tomorrow but is pretty wet Friday and for the weekend One down, more to come. Blocking is too legit to quit. Until the ridge moves far enough east, expect the dry stretch to continue 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 36 minutes ago, Cygnus X-1 said: The blocking on the radar is impressive. Looks like Feb 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 37 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Euro really dropped amounts for tomorrow but is pretty wet Friday and for the weekend Nothing for tomorrow now. On to the next disappointment 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 13 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Nothing for tomorrow now. On to the next disappointment Yeah. Brick wall in place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 3 hours ago, Allsnow said: 66 for a high on the first day of summer Endless easterly flow in one direction or other. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 1 hour ago, Allsnow said: Nothing for tomorrow now. On to the next disappointment Tropical dews are coming and so is the rain. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 73 today. Beautiful day. Just an incredible spring and summer so far 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 33 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Tropical dews are coming and so is the rain. Agree Rainy weekend ahead 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 32 minutes ago, psv88 said: 73 today. Beautiful day. Just an incredible spring and summer so far Hope it stays like this all summer 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 Re discussion of summer better defined as June to August or June 21 to Sept 21, actually June 13 to Sep 13 is the warmest quarter of the year on average. So it is a compromise and slightly closer to astronomical summer than to climatological summer. Every year is different of coursre, and 1881 had a very late displacement of its summer into basically July to September. 1964 was probably the most extreme example in the other direction, May was more of a summer feel than August that year. 1965 was almost as early except that July 1965 was a very cool month too, there was almost no summer in 1965. I see signs on tonite\s ,model run of Texas anomaly moving towards Kansas and once it gets past KS will be difficult to keep it entirely out of NE states but signs are weak later in model run for it so far. July 5-8 would be most likey arrival time. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 Ridge is kicking our ass! Nothing on radar though to raise hopes right now, albeit Upton remains relatively bullish 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 8 minutes ago, Rmine1 said: Ridge is kicking our ass! Nothing on radar though to raise hopes right now, albeit Upton remains relatively bullish So much for tropical dews helping us. Mid levels are bone dry and confluence destroyed everything. There’s another wave later today that might bring us something but if not we need to rely on southerly flow to generate rain here when 95% of the time it just results in scattered storms inland over NJ that die out before they can reach us near the coast. This can easily be a bust setup here with just lots of clouds for days. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 The next 8 days are averaging 75degs.(67/82) or Normal. Month to date is 68.9[-1.9]. Should be 70.5[-1.4] by the 30th. Reached 76 here yesterday. Today: 62-66, wind ne., Rain, 65 tomorrow AM. 60*(80%RH) at 7am{was 65 at midnight}. 62* at 9am. 65* at 11am. 68* at 1pm. Reached 73* at 3pm. 69* at 8pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 Looks like no rain until tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 8 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Looks like no rain until tomorrow Hopefully you won’t have to say that again tomorrow! Very disappointing 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 14 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Looks like no rain until tomorrow Scattered showers later but the big rainstorm that the models once showed is over. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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