Brian5671 Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 1 hour ago, Rmine1 said: Nothing against that, but there’s also respecting the neighbors. Several people have called them out for the noise unless it's when the noise ordinance kicks in not much anyone can do maybe move...LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 An extended period of generally cooler than normal temperatures is ongoing. No return to summerlike heat is likely through at least the first three weeks of June. Tomorrow will see clouds, sunshine and some additional showers and thundershowers. The pleasantly warm readings will continue through the Juneteenth holiday. Warmer conditions could begin to develop late in the week. Parts of Texas are in the early stages of an extreme heat event. High temperatures through 5 pm CDT included: Austin: 103° (tied record set in 1925 and tied in 2011 and 2022) Corpus Christi: 97° Cotulla: 111° (old record: 107°, 2011) Del Rio: 107° Houston: 97° Junction: 110° (old record: 107°, 1960) ***New all-time record*** Laredo: 108° San Angelo: 106° San Antonio: 101° At present, there is little indication that this heat will move into the Middle Atlantic and southern New England regions. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +2.6°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.9°C for the week centered around June 7. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +2.28°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.58°C. El Niño conditions have developed and will likely continue to strengthen through at least the summer. The SOI was -4.57 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.889 today. On June 14 the MJO was in Phase 3 at an amplitude of 1.676 (RMM). The June 13-adjusted amplitude was 1.616 (RMM). Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 65% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal June (1991-2020 normal). June will likely finish with a mean temperature near 71.0° (0.8° below normal). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 Not bullish at all for tomorrow, likely location dependent. After that it’s bone dry for the foreseeable future 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 6 minutes ago, Rmine1 said: Not bullish at all for tomorrow, likely location dependent. After that it’s bone dry for the foreseeable future I can see LI getting a storm tomorrow afternoon but west of nyc is skunked 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 More tornadoes then inches of snow this year 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 17, 2023 Share Posted June 17, 2023 6/16 EWR: 82 LGA: 82 TEB: 81 New Brnswck: 80 BLM: 79 NYC: 79 ISP: 79 JFK: 78 ACY: 76 TTN: 75 PHL: 73 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted June 17, 2023 Share Posted June 17, 2023 23 minutes ago, SACRUS said: 6/16 EWR: 82 LGA: 82 TEB: 81 New Brnswck: 80 BLM: 79 NYC: 79 ISP: 79 JFK: 78 ACY: 76 TTN: 75 PHL: 73 Good evening SACRUS. Thank you for the daily summary. It seems when the warm season is demonstrating a cooler return, CPK’s forested weather stations 89’s turn into 79’s. Stay well as always…. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 17, 2023 Share Posted June 17, 2023 2 hours ago, Allsnow said: I can see LI getting a storm tomorrow afternoon but west of nyc is skunked Even here looks mostly dry--upton's forecast is way overdone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted June 17, 2023 Share Posted June 17, 2023 Little under a half inch here today. With rain Monday, Wednesday, and today, I'm at about 1.5" total for the week, which should really help things out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted June 17, 2023 Share Posted June 17, 2023 8 hours ago, Allsnow said: I can see LI getting a storm tomorrow afternoon but west of nyc is skunked Well I sure hope so as I am having a dozen people over tomorrow for a bbq and I have been watching the models like a hawk for days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted June 17, 2023 Share Posted June 17, 2023 The next 8 days are averaging 71degs.(63/79) or -3. Month to date is 68.3[-1.6]. Should be 69.5[-2.1] by the 25th. Reached 78 here yesterday at 6pm. Today: 75-80,wind w., p. cloudy, 65 tomorrow AM. 63*(86%RH) here at 7am{was 62 at 6am}. 70* at 11am. 72* at Noon. 75* at 1pm. 79* at 4pm. 72* at 4:30pm. with thunder and mushy hail? in recent minutes. Reached 80* at 6pm. 69* at 9am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 17, 2023 Share Posted June 17, 2023 63 / 57 and a little breezy. Looks like another fabulous summer day / weekend overall as ULL tracks well north and east. Perhaps some stray showers and afternoon clouds in eastern sections . upper 70s near 80 today (some low 80s in the warmer sunnier spots). Fathers day looks marvelous sunny / dry and low 80s (mid 80s in the warmer spots). 6/19 - 6/26 Cut off down into the Carolinas / South (reminiscent of Memorial Day Weekend) looks to keep much of the rain and clouds south / well south of the region as we repeat the pattern of weakness under the ridge forcing generally onshore ENE / E flow. The flow does spin around to a warmer W /NW later this week which could push temps into the mid / upper 80s Thu (6/22) and Fri (6/23). Rockies ridge pushing heat into the Souther plains texas and up into Canada. By next weekend a more southerly flow should introduce clouds, humidity and storms chances. Beyond there to close the month we are looking for heat to spread down and the next trough to back and cut off into the GL/OV (ala early /mid June). This should allow a much warmer to hot finish to the month. Way beyond - the Western Atlantic Ridge is pushing west and perhaps a more humid / summery pattern to open the month. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestBabylonWeather Posted June 17, 2023 Share Posted June 17, 2023 Forecast keeps getting drier and drier for today. Hoping to get a bike ride in near the beach 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 17, 2023 Share Posted June 17, 2023 Records: Highs: EWR: 98 (1952) NYC: 96 (1957) LGA: 96 (1957) Lows: EWR: 52 (1950) NYC: 51 (1926) LGA: 53 (1959) Historical: 1859 - Hot Santa Ana winds in southern California roasted fruit on one side at Santa Barbara. (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders - 1987) 1882 - A tornado traveled more than 200 miles across the state of Iowa killing 130 persons. The tornado touched down about ninety miles west of Grinnell, and struck the town and college around sunset, killing sixty persons, and causing more than half a million dollars damage. Traveling at nearly 60 mph, the tornado hit Mount Pleasant about 11 PM causing another half a million dollars damage. (David Ludlum) 1965 - Holly, CO, was deluged with 11.08 inches of rain to establish a state 24 hour rainfall record. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather in the south central U.S. Thunderstorms in Kansas produced wind gusts to 76 mph at Lyons, and baseball size hail at Garden City. The Edwards Aquifer, which supplies water to San Antonio, TX, reached a record level of 699.2 feet following a record 18.43 inches of rain in thirty days. Torrential rains between the mid May and mid June sent 8.8 million acre feet of water down the rivers of southern Texas, the largest volume in 100 years of records. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Thunderstorms produced large hail and damaging winds in Georgia and the Carolinas. Thunderstorm winds gusted to 75 mph at Eden, NC. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Unseasonably cool air, responsible for 37 record lows in the central U.S. on the 15th and 16th, including a low of 33 degrees at Valentine NE on the 15th, overspread the eastern U.S. ending a three day seige of severe weather. (The National Weather Summary) 2009: A tornado leveled a house knocks down power poles and overturns about a dozen railroad cars in Aurora, Nebraska. The tornado is rated EF2, with winds between 111 and 135 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted June 17, 2023 Share Posted June 17, 2023 Why does it seem like they can't forecast the weather a day in advance anymore Looks like a beautiful weekend yet 24 hours ago it was supposed to be so so variably cloudy with a saturday shower chance 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 17, 2023 Share Posted June 17, 2023 53 minutes ago, WestBabylonWeather said: Forecast keeps getting drier and drier for today. Hoping to get a bike ride in near the beach Upton still has 60% chance of showers here yet most models show little to nothing 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted June 17, 2023 Share Posted June 17, 2023 Rainfall last 7 days. Not bad for majority of locations. Central and eastern L.I. probably wishing they did better. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 17, 2023 Author Share Posted June 17, 2023 56 minutes ago, MANDA said: Rainfall last 7 days. Not bad for majority of locations. Central and eastern L.I. probably wishing they did better. If we could get a repeat next week we'd be good but we don't have much of a chance of that 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted June 17, 2023 Share Posted June 17, 2023 3 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: If we could get a repeat next week we'd be good but we don't have much of a chance of that Yeah last night's Euro doesn't give us a rain chance until next sunday, and obviously that's way too far out there to be optimistic. I wish our area had gotten more rain this week considering next week looks dry. I wasn't thrilled with the 0.84" for the week here since the potential looked better. At least it was enough to help and gave me a break from watering for a week, but I wish we had gotten 1.50"+ like some other areas received. The ground is going to be very dry again by early next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted June 17, 2023 Share Posted June 17, 2023 tropics are heating up. hopefully we can get a system to shoot up here and deliver a good rain maker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted June 17, 2023 Share Posted June 17, 2023 .47 for the week, the ground is dry about 1" down depending on soil type and just damp under the trees. I need at least another inch, 3 more would be even better. I'm starting to wonder what the well is gonna be looking like soon... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted June 17, 2023 Share Posted June 17, 2023 I think there is still uncertainty beyond three or four days whether we get a good Bermuda HP to build or one with an upper low denting the western side of it. The models go back and forth this morning's runs so far more along the stronger HP again with perhaps at least a couple of 90+ days. But I'm not totally convinced yet. WX/PT 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted June 17, 2023 Share Posted June 17, 2023 WATCH THE MERMAID PARADE CONEY ISLAND: 1:42PM.................................. https://www.earthcam.com/usa/newyork/coneyisland/?cam=coneyisland You are looking at West 10th to West 15th on Surf Ave. I have 75 now with a peek a boo sun. Beach basically empty for this time of year. Breezy from the north here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted June 17, 2023 Share Posted June 17, 2023 Tired of these milky-gray smokey skies already. Almost everyday this June has either been cloudy or smokey. I think we've only had like one or two fully clear days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Picard Posted June 17, 2023 Share Posted June 17, 2023 Thundershower here with brief gusty winds and a little bit of hail (pea size). Didn't amount to much. 0.03" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 17, 2023 Author Share Posted June 17, 2023 Warning for somerset and Hunterdon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 17, 2023 Share Posted June 17, 2023 5 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Warning for somerset and Hunterdon I thought west of NYC was "skunked" as noted by another poster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted June 17, 2023 Share Posted June 17, 2023 Rumble of thunder here with showers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted June 17, 2023 Share Posted June 17, 2023 Wow loud thunder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted June 17, 2023 Share Posted June 17, 2023 Small hail here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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