June 2023 temperature forecast and summer maximum contests

[Roger Smith]

Predict the temperature anomaly (F deg) for these nine locations, relative to their 1991-2020 averages:

DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH ___ DEN _ PHX _ SEA 

and also add on your forecasts for their highest summer maximum readings (annual). 

Deadline 06z June 1st, with small late penalties (summer maximum contest will close mid-June if anyone wanted to enter later)

 

[Scotty Lightning]

DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH ___ DEN _ PHX _ SEA 

 1.0     1.0       1.0        1.0       1.5     1.5        1.0      1.5       0.5

 

103    101     99         98       104   109       94      119      90 

[hudsonvalley21]

DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH ___ DEN _ PHX _ SEA 

 0.4      0.7       0.6       1.3      1.8      1.0       1.4.      1.9      1.1

 

101        98        95       100    102    105       97      121      93

[so_whats_happening]

DCA 101 +1.1

NYC 101 +.8

BOS 98 +.8

ORD 101 +1.8

ATL 102 +0.5

IAH 100 -0.6

DEN 101 -0.2

PHX 112 -0.6

SEA 97 +1.5

Sorry for not joining the last few months been very busy and just keep missing deadline times.

[wxallannj]

DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH ___ DEN _ PHX _ SEA 

 1.0     0.8      1.0         0.2    -1.2     -2.0      -1.2    -0.5    2.2

 

98      98       97         94      98      102        101    116     97 

[Rhino16]

+0.9 _ +0.3 _ +0.4 __ +0.7 _ +0.7 _ +0.4 __ -0.3 _ -0.4 _ +0.7

105 _ 95 _ 98 __ 101 _ 106 _ 101 __ 99 _ 98 _ 96

[bkviking]

DCA   +0.7 100

NYC   +0.9 99

BOS   +0.5 98

ORD  +0.2 97

ATL   -0.2 97

IAH   +1..5 99

DEN  0.8 100

PHX  1.6 120

SEA  +1.4 95

[Terpeast]

DCA   -0.3 96

NYC   +0.8 97

BOS   +1.2 97

ORD  +1.0 95

ATL   -0.6 98

IAH   -1.6 102

DEN  +0.5 99

PHX  -0.8 117

SEA  +2.0 99

[donsutherland1]

DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH ___ DEN _ PHX _ SEA 

 -0.1    0.5      0.8        0.5     -0.5   -0.2       -3.2   -1.5     2.0

 

101     96       96         96      96    103          98      116    92

[Tom]

DCA   +1.1  99

NYC   +1.2  98

BOS   +0.8  97

ORD  +0.9  101

ATL   +0.4  99

IAH   +1.1  103

DEN  +0.4  97

PHX  +1.1  119

SEA  +1.1   97

[RodneyS]

DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH ___ DEN _ PHX _ SEA 

-0.3      0.1      -0.5       -0.5      0.0     0.8        -0.4     -2.1       0.7

 

98      96       95         96      96    102         99      117      92

[Roger Smith]

DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH ___ DEN _ PHX _ SEA 

+2.8 _+2.5 _+3.5 ___ +3.0 _ +1.5 _+0.7 ___+1.7 _ +0.3 _ +2.2

101 __ 102 __ 100 ____ 101 _ 102 _ 108 ___ 103 _ 119 _ 98

 

[wxdude64]

Present!

 

DCA:  +1.6

NYC:  +2.1

BOS:  +2.3

ORD:    +1.9

ATL:  -0.7

IAH:  +0.2

DEN:  -2.1

PHX:  -1.3

SEA:  +1.8

 

[Rjay]

DCA   +1.0.  101

NYC   +2.0.  98

BOS   +2.9.  99

ORD  +2.0.   98

ATL   +1.5.   101

IAH   +2.0.    105

DEN  0.0.   100

PHX  0.0.   119

SEA  +2.0.   97

[wxdude64]

On 6/1/2023 at 5:53 AM, wxdude64 said:

Present!

 

DCA:  +1.6

NYC:  +2.1

BOS:  +2.3

ORD:    +1.9

ATL:  -0.7

IAH:  +0.2

DEN:  -2.1

PHX:  -1.3

SEA:  +1.8

 

Adding temps

DCA: 100

NYC: 99

BOS: 101

ORD: 102

ATL: 100

IAH: 105

DEN: 104

PHX: 118

SEA: 96

[Roger Smith]

Well I truly dislike imposing any late penalties especially on hard working forum-asset posters, and I tried to contact RJay to avoid any significant bites but found message box full (I think) ... anyway, contact me if the penalty seems out of line (in the past few months I have basically been going with 1% per half day late which is more lenient than the older regime). In any case, here are tables of entries for both contests. I could also mention there's a tropical seasonal contest in the tropical forum, some of you are already entered in that, and deadline for it is June 5th 06z. 

Welcome Terpeast, I believe it's a first time entry in our contest.

I wish StormchaserChuck would enter all months as his average score is pretty good. Rhino16 joined up in March and has been entering each month. I also continue to hope we will see a resurgence of the contest participation to levels of yesteryear. But it is what it is, and I am happy to continue, I suspect some of you intimidate the potential entrants with your prowess (and some of us do not) ... 

 

(1) Table of forecasts for June 2023

 

FORECASTER _______________ DCA _NYC _BOS __ ORD _ATL _IAH ___ DEN _PHX _SEA

Roger Smith _________________ +2.8 _+2.5 _+3.5 __+3.0 _+1.5 _+0.7___+1.7 _+0.3 _+2.2

wxdude64 ___________________ +1.6 _+2.1 _+2.3 ___+1.9 _-0.7 _+0.2 __ -2.1 _ -1.3 _+1.8

Tom __________________________+1.1 _ +1.2 _ +0.8 __+0.9 _+0.4 _+1.1___+0.4 _+1.1 _+1.1

so_whats_happening ________ +1.1 _ +0.8 _+0.8 __+1.8 _+0.5 _-0.6 __ -0.2 _-0.6 _+1.5

RJay _______ (-2%) ___________+1.0 _+2.0 _+2.9 __+2.0 _+1.5 _+2.0 ___ 0.0 __0.0 _+2.0

Scotty Lightning _____________+1.0 _+1.0 _+1.0 __ +1.0 _ +1.5 _+1.5 __ +1.0 _+1.5 _+0.5

wxallannj _____________________+1.0 _ +0.8 _+1.0 __+0.2 _-1.2 _-2.0 __ -1.2 _-0.5 _+2.2

___ Consensus _______________ +1.0 _ +0.8 _+0.8 __+0.5_+0.4 _+0.8 __ 0.0 _-0.4_ +1.5

Rhino 16 _____________________ +0.9 _+0.3 _+0.4 __+0.7 _+0.7 _+0.4 __-0.3 _-0.4 _+0.7

BKViking _____________________+0.7 _+0.9 _+0.5 __+0.2 _-0.2 _+1.5 __+0.8 _+1.6 _+1.4

hudsonvalley21 ______________+0.7 _+0.4 _+0.6 __+1.3 _+1.8 _+1.0 __ +1.4 _+1.9 _+1.1

___ Normal ____________________ 0.0 __0.0 __ 0.0 ___ 0.0 __0.0 __0.0 ____0.0 __0.0 __0.0

DonSutherland1 _____________ -0.1 _ +0.5 _+0.8 __ +0.5 _-0.5 _-0.2 __-3.2 _-1.5 _+2.0

Terpeast _____________________-0.3 _+0.8 _+1.2 __ +1.0 _-0.6 _-1.6 __ +0.5 _-0.8 _+2.0

RodneyS _____________________-0.3 _+0.1 _-0.5 ___-0.5 __ 0.0 _+0.8 __-0.4 _-2.1 _+0.7

 

___ persistence (May 2023) __ -2.2 _ -0.5 _ +1.7 ___ +1.8 _ -0.9 _ -0.7 ____ +2.0 _ +1.3 _ +3.4

 

                                                         

_____________________

warmest and coldest forecasts are color coded ... Normal is colder for NYC, SEA.

Consensus is median (ranked 7) of 13 forecasts.

 

(2) Table of forecasts for Summer 2023 Maximum

 

FORECASTER _______________ DCA _NYC _BOS __ ORD _ATL _IAH __ DEN _PHX _SEA

Rhino 16 _____________________105 __ 95 __ 98 ____101 _ 106 _ 101 ___ 99 _ 118 __ 96

Scotty Lightning _____________103 _ 101 __ 99 ____ 98 _ 104 _ 109 ___ 94 _ 119 __ 90

Roger Smith _________________ 101 _ 102 _ 100 ___ 101 _ 102 _ 108 ___103 _ 119 __ 98

so_whats_happening ________ 101 __ 101 __ 98 ___ 101 _ 102 _ 100 __ 101 _ 122 __ 97

RJay _________________________ 101 __ 98 __ 99 ____ 98 _ 101 _ 105 ___100 _ 119 __ 97

hudsonvalley21 ______________ 101 __ 98 __ 95 ____100 _ 102 _ 105 ___ 97 _ 121 __ 93

DonSutherland1 ______________101 __ 96 __ 96 ____ 96 __ 96 _ 103 ___ 98 _ 116 __ 92

___ Consensus _______________ 100 __ 98 __ 98 ___ 98 _ 100 _ 103 ___ 99 _ 118 __ 95

wxdude64 ___________________ 100 __ 99 _ 101 ___102 _ 100 _ 105 ___104 _ 119 __ 96

BKViking _____________________ 100 __ 99 __ 98 ___ 97 __ 97 ___99 __ 100 _ 120 __ 95

Tom ___________________________ 99 __ 98 __ 97 ___101 __ 99 __ 103 ___97 _ 119 __ 97 

wxallannj ______________________98 __ 98 __ 97 ____ 94 __ 98 _ 102 __ 101 _ 116 __ 97

RodneyS ______________________98 __ 96 __ 95 ____ 96 __ 96 _ 102 ___ 99 _ 117 __ 92

Terpeast ______________________ 96 __ 97 __ 97 ____ 95 __ 98 _ 102 ___ 99 _ 117 __ 99

___________________

For this contest, consensus is mean of 13 forecasts. 

[Roger Smith]

After the first half of June, anomalies and projections ...

 

___________________________ DCA _NYC _BOS __ ORD _ATL _IAH ___ DEN _PHX _SEA

16th ___ (15d anom) _____ -1.6 _ -1.6 _ -2.5 ___ -0.2 _ -1.2 _ -1.0 ___ -4.9 _ -3.4 _ +1.0

16th ___ (p30d anom) ____-1.0 _ -1.0 _ -2.0 ___ +0.2 _ -1.0 _ -0.5___ -2.0 _ -1.5 __ 0.0

 

23rd __ (22d anom) _____ -2.7_  -2.2 _-3.3 ___ -0.5 _ -1.7 _ +1.0 ___ -4.4 _-2.5*_ -0.7

*est data for Phx on 21st, 22nd, msg data

23rd __ (p30d anom) ____ -2.0 _-2.0 _-2.5 ____ 0.0 _ -1.5 _ +2.0 ____-2.5 _ -1.5 _ -0.5

30th __ (final anoms) ____ -2.2 _ -2.0 _-2.1 ____+0.2 _-1.3 _ +2.1 ____-4.0 _-2.0* _ 0.0

summer max so far _______ 94 __ 91 __ 88 ____ 93 __ 92 __ 100 _____ 92 __ 112 __ 89

* data for 21st and 22nd (max temp only) are now included and I have adjusted scoring to the confirmed anomaly of -2.0 F.

 

(23rd) Looks just a bit warmer in general but not so much as to impact on current anomalies greatly. Provisional scoring to follow.

(30th - 1st overnight) Final anomalies are now posted. Scoring is updated.  

[Scotty Lightning]

Damn those Canada wildfires ruining my Northeast scores in the first half of the month.  

[Roger Smith]

 

Final scoring for June 2023

 

Max 60 rule applies for NYC but only for top score as all other raw scores are above or equal to minimum progression. 

* Late penalty adjustments in scores.

 

 

FORECASTER _______________DCA_NYC_BOS__east__ORD_ATL_IAH__cent _ c/e _ DEN_PHX_SEA__ west ___ TOTAL

 

RodneyS _____________________ 62 _ 60^_68 __ 190 __ 86 _ 74 _ 74 __ 234 __424 __ 28 _ 98_ 86 __ 212 _____ 636

DonSutherland1 ______________58 _ 50 _ 42 __ 150 __ 94 _ 84 _ 54 __ 232 __ 382 __ 84 _ 90 _ 60 __ 234 _____ 616

___ Normal ___________________ 56 _ 60 _ 58 __ 174 __ 96 _ 74 _ 58 __ 228 __ 402 __ 20 _ 60 _100 __ 180 _____ 582

Rhino 16 ______________________38 _ 54 _ 50 __ 142 __ 90 _ 60 _ 66 __ 216 __ 358 __ 26 _ 68 _ 86 __ 180 _____ 538

___ Consensus _______________ 36 _ 44 _ 42 __ 122 __ 94 _ 66 _ 74 __ 234 __ 356 __ 20 _ 68 _ 70 __ 158 _____ 514

wxallannj _____________________36 _ 44 _ 38 __ 118 __100 _ 98 _ 18 __ 216 __ 334 __ 44 _ 70 _ 56 __ 170 _____ 504

BKViking _____________________ 42 _ 42 _ 48 __ 132 __100_ 78 _ 88 __ 266 __ 398 __ 04 _ 28 _ 72 __ 104 _____ 502

Terpeast _____________________ 62 _ 44 _ 34 __ 140 __ 84 _ 86 _ 26 __ 196 __ 336 __ 10 _ 76 _ 60 __ 146 _____ 482

wxdude64 ___________________ 24 _ 18 _ 12 __ 054 __ 66 _ 88 _ 62 __ 216 __ 270 __ 62 _ 86 _ 64 __ 212 _____ 482

Tom __________________________34 _ 36 _ 42 __ 112 __ 86 _ 66 _ 80 __ 232 __ 344 __ 12 _ 38 _ 78 __ 128 _____ 472

so_whats_happening ________ 34 _ 44 _ 42 __ 120 ___68 _ 64 _ 46 __ 178 __ 298 __ 24 _ 72 _ 70 __ 166 _____ 464

Scotty Lightning _____________ 36 _ 40 _ 38 __ 114 __ 84 _ 44 _ 88 __ 216 __ 330 __ 00 _ 30 _ 90 __ 120 _____ 450

hudsonvalley21 _______________42 _ 52 _ 46 __ 140 __ 78 _ 38 _ 78 __ 194 __ 334 __ 00 _ 22 _ 78 __ 100 _____ 434

RJay _______ (-2%) ___________ 35*_20 _ 00 __ 055 __ 63*_ 43*_96*__202 __ 257 __ 20 _ 59*_ 59*__ 138 _____ 395

Roger Smith _________________ 00 _ 10 _ 00 __ 010 ___44 _ 44 _ 72 __ 160 __ 170 ___ 00 _ 54 _ 56 ___ 110 _____ 280

- - - - - -

___ Persistence ______________100 _ 70 _ 24 __ 194 __ 68 _ 92 _ 44 __ 204 __ 398 ___ 00 _ 34 _ 74 __ 108 _____ 506
 

^ max 60 scoring applies

_____________________

EXTREME FORECASTS

DCA (-2.2), NYC (-2.0), BOS (-2.1) RodneyS has three wins for coldest forecasts, sharing NYC with Terpeast. Normal also gets a win for NYC.

ORD (+0.2) wxallannj and BKViking share a win for second coldest forecasts, RodneyS takes a loss and Normal is credited with a win also.

ATL (-1.3) wxallannj (-1.2) takes a win with coldest forecast. 

IAH (+2.1) RJay has a win with warmest forecast (+2.0).

DEN (-4.0) DonSutherland1 has a win with coldest forecast (-3.2).

PHX (-2.0) RodneyS has a win with coldest forecast (-2.1).

SEA (0.0) Scotty Lightning (+0.5) and Normal took a win for coldest forecasts.

Summary _ RodneyS 4*-1, Normal 3-0, wxallannj 2*-0, RJay, Don, Terpeast*, BKViking*, Scotty all 1-0 (* one of total includes a tie, Normal does not record ties) 

All locations qualified and 8/9 for coldest forecast, 1/9 for warmest forecast. 

-------------------------------------------------

(actual forecasts)

FORECASTER _______________ DCA _NYC _BOS __ ORD _ATL _IAH ___ DEN _PHX _SEA

Roger Smith _________________ +2.8 _+2.5 _+3.5 __+3.0 _+1.5 _+0.7___+1.7 _+0.3 _+2.2

wxdude64 ___________________ +1.6 _+2.1 _+2.3 ___+1.9 _-0.7 _+0.2 __ -2.1 _ -1.3 _+1.8

Tom __________________________+1.1 _ +1.2 _ +0.8 __+0.9 _+0.4 _+1.1___+0.4 _+1.1 _+1.1

so_whats_happening ________ +1.1 _ +0.8 _+0.8 __+1.8 _+0.5 _-0.6 __ -0.2 _-0.6 _+1.5

RJay _______ (-2%) ___________+1.0 _+2.0 _+2.9 __+2.0 _+1.5 _+2.0 ___ 0.0 __0.0 _+2.0

Scotty Lightning _____________+1.0 _+1.0 _+1.0 __ +1.0 _ +1.5 _+1.5 __ +1.0 _+1.5 _+0.5

wxallannj _____________________+1.0 _ +0.8 _+1.0 __+0.2 _-1.2 _-2.0 __ -1.2 _-0.5 _+2.2

___ Consensus _______________ +1.0 _ +0.8 _+0.8 __+0.5_+0.4 _+0.8 __ 0.0 _-0.4_ +1.5

Rhino 16 _____________________ +0.9 _+0.3 _+0.4 __+0.7 _+0.7 _+0.4 __-0.3 _-0.4 _+0.7

BKViking _____________________+0.7 _+0.9 _+0.5 __+0.2 _-0.2 _+1.5 __+0.8 _+1.6 _+1.4

hudsonvalley21 ______________+0.7 _+0.4 _+0.6 __+1.3 _+1.8 _+1.0 __ +1.4 _+1.9 _+1.1

___ Normal ____________________ 0.0 __0.0 __ 0.0 ___ 0.0 __0.0 __0.0 ____0.0 __0.0 __0.0

DonSutherland1 _____________ -0.1 _ +0.5 _+0.8 __ +0.5 _-0.5 _-0.2 __-3.2 _-1.5 _+2.0

Terpeast _____________________-0.3 _+0.8 _+1.2 __ +1.0 _-0.6 _-1.6 __ +0.5 _-0.8 _+2.0

RodneyS _____________________-0.3 _+0.1 _-0.5 ___-0.5 __ 0.0 _+0.8 __-0.4 _-2.1 _+0.7

_____________________

[Roger Smith]

=== === <<<< ---- ANNUAL SCORING for JAN-JUN 2023 ---- >>>> === ===

 

Best scores for the nine locations are shown with red highlight, best totals for regions in bold. 

Scoring now closer with Don moving into lead, RJay falls back to second, wxallannj and hudsonvalley21 exchange 3rd and 4th with RodneyS moving ahead of wxdude64 into fifth.

 

FORECASTER ______________ DCA_NYC_BOS__east__ORD_ATL_IAH__cent ___ c/e___ DEN_ PHX_ SEA __ west __ TOTALS

 

DonSutherland1 ___________ 346 _314 _ 356 __1016 __410 _434 _398 __1242 __2258 __359 _386_442 __1187 ____3445

RJay _______________________348 _344 _ 335 __1027 __459 _368 _380__ 1207 __2234 __315 _355 _443 __1113 ____3347

wxallannj __________________ 333 _346 _359 __1038__469 _402 _340__1211 __ 2249 __329 _388 _330 __1047 ____3296

___ Consensus _____________309 _318 _ 367 __994 __ 423 _348 _377 __1148 __2142 _ 325 _370 _430 __1125 ____3267

hudsonvalley21 ____________313 _322 _ 381 __1016 __ 434 _351 _371 __ 1156 __2172 __292 _338 _437 __1067 ____3239

RodneyS __________________ 316 _314 _346 __ 976 __ 281 _343 _392 __1016 __1992 _ 395 _ 386 _426 __1207____ 3199

wxdude64 _________________324 _321 _324 __ 969 __ 319 _384 _322 __1025 __1994 __395 _332 _406 __1133 ____3127

BKViking ___________________318 _314 _351 __ 983 __393 _340 _375 __1108 __ 2091 __291 _ 276 _ 312 __ 879 ____2970

Scotty Lightning ___________249 _276 _328 __ 853 __373 _279 _358 __1010 __1863 __266 _264 _344 __ 874 ____2737

Roger Smith _______________ 268 _236 _264 __ 768 __285 _253 _346 __ 884 __1652 __275 _302 _430 __1007____2659

... pro-rated scores are added in brackets for all below this point in the table ... 

Tom (5/6) __________________259 _266 _289 __ 814 __262 _294 _350 __ 906 __1720 __288 _300 _345 __ 933 _____2653 (3184)

___ Normal _________________204 _236 _268 __ 708 __316 _302 _300 __ 918 __1626 __298 _ 310 _344 __952 ____ 2578

Rhino16 (4/6) ______________212 _228 _250 ___ 690 ___310 _288 _216 ___814 __1504 __209 _212 _288 __ 709 ____ 2213 (3320)

Stormchaser Chuck (3/6) __201 _238 _196 ___ 635 ___257 _132 _146 ___535 __ 1170 __238 _240 _238 __ 716 ____1886 (3772)

so_whats_happening (3/6) _124 _126 _ 180 ___ 430 __ 169 _105 _180 ___ 454 ___884 __122 __168 _218 __ 508 ____1392 (2784)

Terpeast (1/6) ______________ 62 _ 44 _ 34 ____ 140 ___84 _ 86 _ 26 ____ 196 ___ 336 __ 10 __ 76 __ 60 __ 146 ____ 482 (2892)

rainsucks (1/6) _____________ 42 __32 _ 36 ____ 110 ___ 00 _ 66 _ 48 ____ 114 ___ 224 __ 50 __ 98 __ 84 __ 232 ____ 456 (2736)

 

Persistence ________________243 _224 _316 __ 783 ___ 280 _ 311 _ 334 __ 925 ___ 1708 __ 148 _ 344 _ 298 __ 790 ____ 2498  

_______________________________________________________

 

 

 

Best Forecasts

 

* shared with one other forecaster for one month (does not apply to Consensus or Normal, if they qualify, so does the high forecaster score whether tied or not)

 

 

FORECASTER ____________ DCA_NYC_BOS__east__ORD_ATL_IAH__cent_ c/e__ DEN_PHX_SEA__west __ Months

 

DonSutherland1 ___________ 0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ____ 2*____2*____0____ 2 ___ 1 ___ 1 ___ 2 ___ 2*___1 ____2 _ Jan,Mar

RJay _______________________ 1 ____ 2 ____ 1 ____2 ____ 1*___2**____2 ___ 1 ___ 1 ___ 0 ___ 1* ___ 1 ___0 ____0 

wxallannj __________________ 0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ____2**___1 ____0 ___ 1 ___ 1 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____ 1* _ May (t)

___ Consensus ____________ 0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____0 ____0 ___ 0 ___ 1 ___ 0 ___ 1 ___ 1 ___ 0 ____ 1 __ May

hudsonvalley21 ____________0 ____ 1 ____ 1 ___ 0 ____ 0^____0 ____1* ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 1 ____ 1* _ May (t)

RodneyS __________________2*____ 1 ____ 1 ___ 2 ____ 0 ____ 1 ____0 ___ 0 ___ 1 ___ 2 ___ 2 ___ 1* ___ 3 ____1 _ Jun

wxdude64 _________________0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____1 ____0 ___ 0 ___ 1 ___ 1 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____ 1 _ Apr

BKViking __________________ 0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ____ 1*____ 0 ____0 ___ 1 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 1* ___0 ___ 0 ____0

Scotty Lightning ___________1 ____ 1 _____ 1 ____ 1 ____ 0 ____0 ____0 ___ 0 ___ 1 ___ 0 ___ 1* ___1 ___ 0 ____0

Roger Smith _______________ 0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ____ 1*____0 ____1 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 1 ___ 0 ____0 

Tom (5/6) _________________ 0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____0 ____2*___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____0

___ Normal _________________0 ____ 2 ____ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____0 ____ 1 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 1 ___ 0 ___ 1 ___ 0 ___ 0

Rhino16 (4/6) ______________ 0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____0 ____0 ___ 1 ___ 0 ___ 1 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____0

Stormchaser Chuck (3/6) __2 ____ 1 ____ 1 ___ 1 ____ 2 ____ 1* ____ 1 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 1 ___ 0 ___ 1 ___ 1 ____1 _ Feb

so_whats_happening (3/6) _0 ____ 0 ____ 1 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____0 ____0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____0

Terpeast (1/6) _____________ 1*____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____0

rainsucks (1/6) ____________ 0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 1*___ 0 ___ 0 ____0

 

(hudsonvalley21 has a tied top score for ORD (Mar) before 1 pt reduced by penalty). Shown as 0^

-----------------------------------------

 

EXTREME FORECAST SUMMARY

 

So far, 47 of 54 forecasts qualify, 26 of them for warmest, and 21 for coldest ... Jan 6-2, Feb 5-3, Mar 6-3, Apr 5-3, May 3-2, June 1-8 ...

11 of 47 involve a loss where a second ranked forecast has high score. Two of those ten are a shared loss. 

 

FORECASTER _______ Jan _ Feb _ Mar _Apr _May _ Jun ___ TOTALS _ (adjusted for ties)

RJay _________________ 5-0 _ 2-1 _ 2-0 _ 1*-0_ 0-0 _ 1-0 __ 11-1 ______10.5 - 1.0

StormchaserChuck __ -- --_ 5-1 _ -- --_ 2-2 _ 2-0 _ --- __ 9-3 ______ 8.5 - 3.0

RodneyS _____________1-0 _ 1-0 _ 1-0 _ 1-0 __ 1-0 _ 4*-1 __ 9-1 ______ 8.5 - 0

DonSutherland ______ 2-0 _ 1-0 _ 3*-1 _ 1-0 _ 0-0 _ 1-0 __ 8-1 ______ 7.5 - 1.0

Scotty Lightning _____ 0-0 _ 0-0 _ 3-1 _ 0-1* _ 0-0 _ 1-0 __4-2 ______ 4.0 - 1.5

___ Normal ___________ 0-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-1 _ 1-0 _ 0-0 _ 3-0 __ 4-1 _______ 4.0 - 1.0

Roger Smith _________ 1-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 _ 1*-0 _ 1-1*_ 0-0 __ 3-1 ______ 2.5 - 0.5

hudsonvalley21 ______ 0-0 _ 0-0 _ 1*-0 _1-0 _ 1*-0 _ 0-0__ 3-0 ______ 2.0 - 0

wxallannj ____________ 0-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 _ 1*-1* 0-1* _ 2*-0__3-2 ______ 2.0 - 1.0

Tom __________________0-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 _ 1-0 _ 1*-0_  0-0 __ 2-0 ______ 1.5 - 0

wxdude64 ___________1-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 __ 0-0 ___1-0 _______ 1.0 - 0

rainsucks _____________ -- --_-- --_-- --_1*-0 _ -- - _ ---- __ 1-0 ______ 0.5 - 0

BKViking _____________ 0-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 _0-0 _ 0-0 _ 1*-0 __ 1-0 ______ 0.5 - 0

Terpeast _____________ -- --_-- --_-- --_ -- --_ -- - _ 1*-0 __ 1-0 ______ 0.5 - 0

so_whats_happening _0-0 _0-1 _ -- --_ -- -- _ -- - _ 0-0 __ 0-1 _______ 0.0 - 1

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