Absolute Humidity Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Any chance this pulls a March 5, 2001? Huge Chance.... but in reverse :snowman: :snowman: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardlover Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Glenn's first call: 2-4" west of philly 3-6" philly south 6-10" east of trenton And, LMAO, ABC6 is still calling for C-1 Philly, 1-3" S&E. Nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Blizzard. The Euro was showing 70kt gusts on eastern LI the other day.....could you imagine that? It's possible with this one.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 6abc not jumping on board ... C-1" through PHL They probably need Accuweather's permission to up the totals and JB isn't in the office right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 You can almost see the concern on Lee Goldberg's face that those totals he has may be to conservative, but not a bad call to start. Here's Lee's map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atlas Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 You guys saw the RGEM right? Magnificent epic jump NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JCsnow17 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 any word on the ggem? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslotted Posted December 25, 2010 Author Share Posted December 25, 2010 They are awful. I doubt Melissa Magee even knows what a computer model is. 100% agree. Isn't Cecily Tynan their chief met? lol... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 The wind and waves are definitely a concern for coastal areas. A low bombing out like this will likely cause tremendous beach erosion and tidal flooding, plus wind damage from the weight of the snow plus the wind. 40-60mph wind is damaging enough, but this setup makes it much more so. Still at the WOW stage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Hey ptb, wake up! Santa left us a gift! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoeSeNJ Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Where is Adam Joseph? 100% agree. Isn't Cecily Tynan their chief met? lol... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonClaw Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Both the 0z GFS and 2z RUC made me crap myself. I need more "eggnog"! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeS Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Wow, what awesome news to come back to! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Christmas in 30 minutes, what a turn of events. Can the Euro come through on a day of giving? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prairie Dog Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Too bad Adam Joseph isn't working, he seems to be the only one who understands model runs, and able to put a forecast together on his own. Without mimicking what accumweahter feeds him. No way in hell Meliss M, strays from anything accuweahter feeds her. What a waste. 100% agree. Isn't Cecily Tynan their chief met? lol... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 The wind and waves are definitely a concern for coastal areas. A low bombing out like this will likely cause tremendous beach erosion and tidal flooding, plus wind damage from the weight of the snow plus the wind. 40-60mph wind is damaging enough, but this setup makes it much more so. Still at the WOW stage. I didnt look at the computer all day and just saw the GFS.....WOW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 You can almost see the concern on Lee Goldberg's face that those totals he has may be to conservative, but not a bad call to start. You can't just go from 1-3" to possibly 18"+, but I'm sure those totals get bumped up tomorrow morning. He's just likely outlining the probability that the storm comes much closer to the coast than thought earlier today, and setting up for an upgrade in the morning/afternoon. I wonder if blizzard watches are coming very shortly from Upton? This is definitely the kind of situation which can provide those kind of conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ptb127 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 If the GFS #'s are right then he'll be wrong low side especially west of philly Glenn's first call: 2-4" west of philly 3-6" philly south 6-10" east of trenton Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 I didnt look at the computer all day and just saw the GFS.....WOW. Yeah, seriously, WOW... what else can you think/say right now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jefflaw77 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 I know nobody cares about this, and nor do I really, but as stated on the general forum, the GFS depicts a MASSIVE warm up by new years eve... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 The 25/00z GGEM has initialized. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Any news from HPC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 John, What storm from the past does this upcoming event remind you of? nothing in the kocin book resembles this (just my two cents) EDIT-Closest is Jan 1996 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 GGEM way west and more amplified than it's 12z run through 24 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Any news from HPC? heard they are going to cloud seed so the storm dries up lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HSNN4 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Any news from HPC? I hope there not on suicide watch, LOL I tell something I been forecasting weather for over 20 years and haven't seen anythingl like the last 2 weeks model wise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 I know nobody cares about this, and nor do I really, but as stated on the general forum, the GFS depicts a MASSIVE warm up by new years eve... I was just thinking about it myself and realized I really couldn't give a damn. I live for the tracking, then obs long stares out the window, walking, and then admiring the final product on the ground. If it can stick around for a few days afterward that's great. It's better than having bare ground now and then warmup later either way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ARyan Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 You can't just go from 1-3" to possibly 18"+, but I'm sure those totals get bumped up tomorrow morning. He's just likely outlining the probability that the storm comes much closer to the coast than thought earlier today, and setting up for an upgrade in the morning/afternoon. I wonder if blizzard watches are coming very shortly from Upton? This is definitely the kind of situation which can provide those kind of conditions. I would think PHL, OKX, and BOX will go with Blizzard watches for coastal sections during the 4am update. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jefflaw77 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 nothing in the kocin book resembles this (just my two cents) So this truly is "unprecedented" Could that be why Kocin even chimed in with a "WOW" - as in wtf are these models depicting? "I have never seen anything like this" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 I know nobody cares about this, and nor do I really, but as stated on the general forum, the GFS depicts a MASSIVE warm up by new years eve... A pattern changing storm will do that! Its to be expected! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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