tombo82685 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 hr 42 sub 988 bout 75-100 miles east of orf...mod precip phl to dc...lgt to mod precip into nyc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Jims Videos Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Tom Clark was honkin at this one for the Jersey Shore to me last week--on wednesday--I'll be tuning in to my station's first look @ 11 to see what they are saying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 A little stronger more amplified than 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ARyan Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Talk about a rollercoaster ride. Haven't been around much between work, a 36-hour poker jag in AC yesterday (I won $500, woohoo!) and our drive down to Charlotte today to spend Christmas with Mom and my sister's family, so I haven't been able to follow this one closely. However, I just spent much of the past hour trying to catch up on the last day or two and it reads like what Robert Ludlum would've written if he were a met, lol. If there ends up being a decent snowstorm, after all, from Philly to NYC (and elsewhere), someone needs to write this all up and try to explain what exactly happened and why - and maybe use that to correct some obvious biases/errors in almost every model that runs. I know model error bars obviously decrease as we get closer to an event, especially within 36 hours, so if we get model consensus on tonight's 00Z runs, then I guess we'll have to start taking this threat seriously. The only bad thing, for me, is that if it does pan out, I'll miss it, which will be really annoying. Bit early for post mortum analysis...but my best guess is issues with lack of upper air obs out west. That screwed up the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 hr 45 sub 984 about 75 miles east of mouth of del bay ..starting to get captured...hvy precip dc-nyc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Tom Clark was honkin at this one for the Jersey Shore to me last week--on wednesday--I'll be tuning in to my station's first look @ 11 to see what they are saying. isnt kurt aaron on tonight though? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Folks.... It's another big hit. I'll leave it at that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 There's nobody here but me, so I might be able to do a quick webcast update after the news. Glenn Glenn, Glad you're posting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 hr 48 sub 980 50-75 miles east of cape may...captured...balt to nyc obliterated Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ptb127 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 isnt kurt aaron on tonight though? Still looks like a miss for our area though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BL03 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Wowwie, I can't believe this. A Christmas Miracle if there ever was one!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Euripides Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Wow, with the majority of stores closed for Christmas day and the forecast changing into a huge snowstorm. Sunday will be choas at the food stores. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radders Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Oh my at hour 51 - NYC gets absolutely smoked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Crippling snows for NYC and parts of NJ Sunday afternoon on the GFS..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 hr 51 sub 980 50 miles east of toms river nj...all i have to say is good lord....lol hvy precip continues to pound phl and nyc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 You guys will all like these maps. Even Philly gets nailed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 GFS just might score a coup! UKMET came way west too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radders Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Can I get a repeat at 54? LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 hr 54 sub 976 75-100 miles east of toms river nj phl and nyc still getting hit hard qpf phl 1.25-1.5 nyc 1.25-1.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Geez.. It's better than 18z too. Gotta take my dog out back. Enjoy the maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BL03 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 wow it is close to stalling! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 978mb low is rotting south of Long Island at 51 hrs MERRY CHRISTMAS!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 I'm just like...speechless...right now. I can't believe these maps and this outcome, and this might ACTUALLY come to fruition. Weenieness, excitement, happiness in it's most awesome form, all over white frozen droplets that fall out of the sky. Sad, huh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matt Hammer Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Awesome picture to use! hahah What a difference a day makes, huh?! This is why we cannot, especially as of recently, throw totals around too early! Hope this holds for the next run. Not making predictions until one more solid run... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 976mb at 70W 39N at 54 hours on the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 hr 45 sub 984 about 75 miles east of mouth of del bay ..starting to get captured...hvy precip dc-nyc Tis might get pulled a bit more northward instead of heading n/e Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 are they gonna throw this dam run out too? Its time to get serious i think now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 hr 57 sub 976 50 miles sw of the bm...dc to nyc still getting hit hard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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