tombo82685 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 hr 27 sub 1000 low looks to track over cape fear and to the west of hse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Energy Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 If you seen the means of the ECM you would think that http://raleighwx.ame...mbTSLPNA048.gif havnt seen seen. no, but just a hunch overall. i should look at that. lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Tombo where u getting the GFS? NCEP is frozen at 6 hrs the site i get the euro from Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 if the models cont this west trend the next 3 runs we are looking at less snow and more IP. lol. this type of storm usually has the r/s line immediately west of the low center... it would have to practically come onshore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 if the models cont this west trend the next 3 runs we are looking at less snow and more IP. lol. for where NYC or Philly? I would think immediate coast perhaps with a more west trend...Philly I would think is safe unless it really trends west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 if the models cont this west trend the next 3 runs we are looking at less snow and more IP. lol. which nonweather enthusiasts will report as "hail"! lol this is my favorite time on here, the board is flying right now! It lags so slow during the day and early evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 if the models cont this west trend the next 3 runs we are looking at less snow and more IP. lol. if u look at the ridge axis on h5 its a little further west also in the rockies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 this type of storm usually has the r/s line immediately west of the low center... it would have to practically come onshore like the millenium storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Energy Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 any time you have strong -tilt, you get good west trend. if that happens, it may cause major issues for snowfall totals. just sayin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 hr 30 sub 1000 low over cape fear or maybe 10 miles east of it...lgt precip up to phl... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Tombo where u getting the GFS? NCEP is frozen at 6 hrs Raleighwx seems to be updating http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/06zgfs.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 if the models cont this west trend the next 3 runs we are looking at less snow and more IP. lol. and the folks in Hazleton will be jackpotting instead. You don't want too much more of a west trend with this puppy... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 the site i get the euro from you are like the 3rd person to reference that "site" without saying by name, is there some issue with saying SV here or something? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 hr 33 sub 996 over hse...lgt precip into nyc...phl bout to get into some mod precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 you are like the 3rd person to reference that "site" without saying by name, is there some issue with saying SV here or something? yea i thought you wern't allowed to cause of the stuff that went down...but yea i get it at sv Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 06Z UKMET takes it between Cape Cod and benchmark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 hr 36 has a 988 about 50-75 miles east of orf....looks to be west of the 6z by 25-50 miles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 06Z UKMET takes it between Cape Cod and benchmark. that seems to be the consensus lol. Just inside the BM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 that seems to be the consensus lol. Just inside the BM Be careful, the UKMET always plays catchup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 hr 39 sub 984 bout to get captured... 50 miles east of lewes del... hvy snow dc-phl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Energy Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 im listening to the xmas story on tbs while watching this. ralphie just said "oh F" while out changing the tire with his dad. now watching the models. good stuff. lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 yea i thought you wern't allowed to cause of the stuff that went down...but yea i get it at sv I didnt even know "stuff" went down lol I usually stay out of it. GFS looks unreal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 hr 42 sub 984 50 miles east of cape may se pa is getting raked... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 980 mb just to the SE of AC...Heavy heavy snow DC-NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 hr 45 sub 980 stalled 50 miles east of cape may...wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 hr 45 sub 980 stalled 50 miles east of cape may...wow Keep it there-- perfect place lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 actually it may be 25 miles...wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 lol hr 48 low still there holy shnikies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 This could very well be the best Christmas ever Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jefflaw77 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 this is the mm5 at 48 hour of it's 00z package - it would appear as though it's identical based upon your post.. http://cheget.msrc.sunysb.edu/mm5rt_data/2010122500/images_d1/slp.48.0000.gif hr 45 sub 980 stalled 50 miles east of cape may...wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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