WeatherFox Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Statement as of 3:58 AM EST on December 25, 2010 ... Winter Storm Watch in effect from Sunday afternoon through Monday afternoon... The National Weather Service in Upton has issued a Winter Storm Watch... which is in effect from Sunday afternoon through Monday afternoon. * Locations... northeast New Jersey... the lower Hudson Valley... and New York City. * Hazards... moderate to heavy snow with gusty winds. * Accumulations... between 6 and 8 inches. * Impacts... hazardous travel due to significant accumulations of snow on roads. Visibilities will be greatly diminished. Strong winds will make driving treacherous as well. * Timing... light snowfall may begin Sunday morning... with the heaviest snow falling late Sunday through early Monday. * Winds... northeast winds 20 to 25 mph with 30 mph gusts... turning north and increasing to 25 to 30 mph with 35 mph gusts Sunday night through early Monday. Winds turn northwest Monday afternoon. The strongest winds will be across New York City and near the coast. Precautionary/preparedness actions... A Winter Storm Watch means there is a potential for significant snow... sleet... or ice accumulations that may impact travel. Continue to monitor the latest forecasts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 is the RGEM a higher res then the GGEM? if so...wow that is pure gold and there is no reason the ggem should not be a huge hit at 12z if there is continuity between the two Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
simpsonsbuff Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 The images are gone from the SPC site, too. They do this sometimes. Not sure why. They should be back shortly. John, see my post above. The links do seem to be working, but don't seem to embed properly for whatever reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 This was from the 00z RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Over Long Island, the 48 hour liquid equivalent total precip is about 30 mm. About a foot of snow total. And there is more snow after that according to the snapshot maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 is the RGEM a higher res then the GGEM? if so...wow that is pure gold and there is no reason the ggem should not be a huge hit at 12z if there is continuity between the two When you get into RGEM range, disregard the GGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 I get all the images loaded just fine on Opera 11..... perhaps you guys dont have the plugins for it, but they look great Looks like HPC has us under 40% prob of 4 inches and 10% prob of 12 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 When you get into RGEM range, disregard the GGEM. that is true actually..We are within 48 hours now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 I get all the images loaded just fine on Opera 11..... perhaps you guys dont have the plugins for it, but they look great Looks like HPC has us under 40% prob of 4 inches and 10% prob of 12 inches More like 70%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Pure sex on the 06tz RGEM.... I didn't even know there was an 06z RGEM yep, plus another trick, they have precip charts for 6 hour increments but no links to them you have to change the url manually. For instance he 24 hour precip chart is this link http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/c71_100.gif You change the 71 to 72 in the link to get the 30 hour panel http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/c72_100.gif and so on, to go from 36 to 42 hours change the 73 to a 74 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 is the RGEM a higher res then the GGEM? if so...wow that is pure gold and there is no reason the ggem should not be a huge hit at 12z if there is continuity between the two yes the RGEM is the high res short range version of the GGEM Kinda like the NAM only better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 The 6z GFS is initialized and rolling in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 thats right 70% prob of 4" 10% prob of 12" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 SREF images should be working now. Enjoy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 they are all almost identical relatively speaking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 looks like through 12 the gfs a little more amplified. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ptb127 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 I can't find the 6z RGEM images... What Does it show back in E PA?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 I can't find the 6z RGEM images... What Does it show back in E PA?? http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/model_forecast/index_e.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 I can't find the 6z RGEM images... What Does it show back in E PA?? looks like atleast .2 but more to come post 48 prob. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Forky-- is it normal for those panels to almost look like duplicates of each other 48 hours out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Energy Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 they are all almost identical relatively speaking JESUS H! But Merry Christmas! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 6z gfs may be further west...the trof looks a good bit more amplified...sub 1008 west of jacksonville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 6z gfs may be further west...the trof looks a good bit more amplified...sub 1008 west of jacksonville. lol it gets better and better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 6z gfs may be further west...the trof looks a good bit more amplified...sub 1008 west of jacksonville. Tombo where u getting the GFS? NCEP is frozen at 6 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Energy Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 6z gfs may be further west...the trof looks a good bit more amplified...sub 1008 west of jacksonville. my worry from earlier is that the trend is FURTHER west and we have mixing issues somewhere. We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 yup, looks like another 25-50 miles west...hr 24 sub 1004 low just east of savannah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Energy Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 yup, looks like another 25-50 miles west...hr 24 sub 1004 low just east of savannah if the models cont this west trend the next 3 runs we are looking at less snow and more IP. lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 my worry from earlier is that the trend is FURTHER west and we have mixing issues somewhere. We'll see. If you seen the means of the ECM you would think that http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ecmwfens/00zecmwfens850mbTSLPNA048.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherweather Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 better west than east with nam where it is imo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 wow--hour 27 trough going neg and this thing is going to explode up the coast, maybe a tad west of 00z but still going to be a major major hit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.