yoda Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 lmao I thought you were in your 20s or 30s 24. I am home for the holidays Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 24. I am home for the holidays Merry xmas man! Looks like the NAM is west-- we might be opening up some presents today-- at 6z, 12z and 18z to be exact Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Merry xmas man! Looks like the NAM is west-- we might be opening up some presents today-- at 6z, 12z and 18z to be exact Same to you as well! Indeed I hope so for both of us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 This is possibly the best Christmas eve ever. Developing consensus, what more can you ask for? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Winter Storm Watch just issued for the LWX CWA. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 309 AM EST SAT DEC 25 2010 DCZ001-MDZ006-007-009>011-013-014-016>018-VAZ052>057-251615- /O.NEW.KLWX.WS.A.0010.101226T1100Z-101227T1100Z/ DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA-NORTHERN BALTIMORE-HARFORD-MONTGOMERY-HOWARD- SOUTHERN BALTIMORE-PRINCE GEORGES-ANNE ARUNDEL-CHARLES-ST. MARYS- CALVERT-PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK-FAIRFAX- ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA-STAFFORD-SPOTSYLVANIA- KING GEORGE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WASHINGTON...GAITHERSBURG...COLUMBIA... BALTIMORE...ANNAPOLIS...WALDORF...ST MARYS CITY...MANASSAS... MANASSAS PARK...FAIRFAX...ALEXANDRIA...FALLS CHURCH... FREDERICKSBURG 309 AM EST SAT DEC 25 2010 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. * PRECIPITATION TYPE...SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...POSSIBILITY OF 5 OR MORE INCHES. * TIMING...SPREADING IN SUNDAY MORNING FROM SOUTH TO NORTH. ENDING LATE SUNDAY NIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THE PEAK PERIOD OF SNOWFALL WILL BE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. * TEMPERATURES...HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER 30S SUNDAY AND MONDAY. LOW TEMPERATURES SUNDAY NIGHT IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. * WINDS...NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH SUNDAY MORNING...INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON. NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH SUNDAY NIGHT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Is it just me... or does the 30hr h7 map look weird on the 6z NAM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 If the storm stays on track, what will be the max winds for Phil - NY? (approx) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAT5ANDREW Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 JAN 25th 2000 would have been the king of all comebacks but that ended up being the king of all dryslots here.We went to less than an inch predicted on late MON afternoon to over a foot predicted late on that Monday night and early Tues morning.The dryslot raced northward and turned a 2.5 inch per hour whiteout into nothing in a 10 minute period.we ended up with 6 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 SREFs....going up... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 06z NAM Hour 48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 As I have said before, I wouldn't put much trust in the NAM in this pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 HPC upped their Day two QPF maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 8-16 inches with blizzard conditions. That's my thinking right now for NJ. Note these are my own thoughts which have nothing to do with an official government product or outlook. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 8-16 inches with blizzard conditions. That's my thinking right now for NJ. Note these are my own thoughts and have nothing to do with an official government product or outlook. The key is whether to issue blizzard watches because the general public here think blizzard means obscene snowfall amounts, not snow with very windy conditions. It seems the wind conditions are a cinch, but whether the snowfall is high enough to merit the issuance of the blizzard watch given the public perception of what a blizzard actually means is the question. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 0z euro ens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 it appears upton is going with watches.... .OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...CT...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR CTZ005>012.NY...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179.NJ...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR NJZ002-004-006-103>108.MARINE...GALE WATCH FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR ANZ330-335-338-340-345-350-353-355. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 it appears upton is going with watches.... .OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...CT...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR CTZ005>012.NY...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179.NJ...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR NJZ002-004-006-103>108.MARINE...GALE WATCH FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR ANZ330-335-338-340-345-350-353-355. LWX issued watches so its probably guaranteed PHI does too. But I can't speak for them personally, I don't work there and am not working right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 The key is whether to issue blizzard watches because the general public here think blizzard means obscene snowfall amounts, not snow with very windy conditions. It seems the wind conditions are a cinch, but whether the snowfall is high enough to merit the issuance of the blizzard watch given the public perception of what a blizzard actually means is the question. In D.C., on Feb. 10, the city and immediate suburbs only ended up with about 10 inches or snow (really peanuts after the Feb. 6 storm). But LWX still issued blizzard warnings that day, and I'm pretty sure no member of the public could fault them for it. Anyone who stepped outside could tell conditions were far more severe than the earlier two storms last winter, despite there being far less snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 The key is whether to issue blizzard watches because the general public here think blizzard means obscene snowfall amounts, not snow with very windy conditions. It seems the wind conditions are a cinch, but whether the snowfall is high enough to merit the issuance of the blizzard watch given the public perception of what a blizzard actually means is the question. Professionally, I wouldn't go that far yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 As I have said before, I wouldn't put much trust in the NAM in this pattern. The NAM appears to be doing what I find it often does, not throwing enough precipitation back into the cold side of a low pressure area...or I should phrase that better...its not so much the amounts but the distance to the cold side of the storm it fails to throw precip back to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
simpsonsbuff Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 The ETA5 is inland, haha. Classic ETA5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 The NAM appears to be doing what I find it often does, not throwing enough precipitation back into the cold side of a low pressure area...or I should phrase that better...its not so much the amounts but the distance to the cold side of the storm it fails to throw precip back to. Yeah hopefully it's that typical error. The NAM solution would suck for me here in north-central Jersey. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherweather Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 lol watches up in maine before new jersey Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 8-16 inches with blizzard conditions. That's my thinking right now for NJ. Note these are my own thoughts which have nothing to do with an official government product or outlook. Looks like youre onboard Ray What would you say for here? Im 25 miles SE of NYC and about 5 miles east of JFK And how strong will the winds be? With the low stalling or slowing down do you see steady snow through the day Monday-- IOW maybe 30 hours of steady snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 358 AM EST SAT DEC 25 2010 ...A MAJOR WINTER STORM MAY IMPACT THE REGION SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON... NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-176-178-251700- /O.NEW.KOKX.WS.A.0005.101226T1800Z-101227T1800Z/ WESTERN PASSAIC-EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-WESTERN BERGEN- EASTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION- EASTERN UNION-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER- SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX- RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHERN QUEENS- SOUTHERN QUEENS- 358 AM EST SAT DEC 25 2010 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. * LOCATIONS...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY...THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY...AND NEW YORK CITY. * HAZARDS...MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WITH GUSTY WINDS. * ACCUMULATIONS...BETWEEN 6 AND 8 INCHES. * IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL DUE TO SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW ON ROADS. VISIBILITIES WILL BE GREATLY DIMINISHED. STRONG WINDS WILL MAKE DRIVING TREACHEROUS AS WELL. * TIMING...LIGHT SNOWFALL MAY BEGIN SUNDAY MORNING...WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOW FALLING LATE SUNDAY THROUGH EARLY MONDAY. * WINDS...NORTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH WITH 30 MPH GUSTS...TURNING NORTH AND INCREASING TO 25 TO 30 MPH WITH 35 MPH GUSTS SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY. WINDS TURN NORTHWEST MONDAY AFTERNOON. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE ACROSS NEW YORK CITY AND NEAR THE COAST. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherweather Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 nice i wonder what totals mount holly is gonna throw out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
simpsonsbuff Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 358 AM EST SAT DEC 25 2010 ...A MAJOR WINTER STORM MAY IMPACT THE REGION SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON... NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-176-178-251700- /O.NEW.KOKX.WS.A.0005.101226T1800Z-101227T1800Z/ WESTERN PASSAIC-EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-WESTERN BERGEN- EASTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION- EASTERN UNION-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER- SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX- RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHERN QUEENS- SOUTHERN QUEENS- 358 AM EST SAT DEC 25 2010 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. * LOCATIONS...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY...THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY...AND NEW YORK CITY. * HAZARDS...MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WITH GUSTY WINDS. * ACCUMULATIONS...BETWEEN 6 AND 8 INCHES. * IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL DUE TO SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW ON ROADS. VISIBILITIES WILL BE GREATLY DIMINISHED. STRONG WINDS WILL MAKE DRIVING TREACHEROUS AS WELL. * TIMING...LIGHT SNOWFALL MAY BEGIN SUNDAY MORNING...WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOW FALLING LATE SUNDAY THROUGH EARLY MONDAY. * WINDS...NORTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH WITH 30 MPH GUSTS...TURNING NORTH AND INCREASING TO 25 TO 30 MPH WITH 35 MPH GUSTS SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY. WINDS TURN NORTHWEST MONDAY AFTERNOON. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE ACROSS NEW YORK CITY AND NEAR THE COAST. same for e li/conn, but 6 to 9 and more locally. They'll be playing catchup (I think), but this is a nice conservative first step after having "light snow" last forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Looks like youre onboard Ray What would you say for here? Im 25 miles SE of NYC and about 5 miles east of JFK And how strong will the winds be? With the low stalling or slowing down do you see steady snow through the day Monday-- IOW maybe 30 hours of steady snow? I'll be restricting most of my speculation to my current location. Sorry, Alex ;-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.