tombo82685 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 suny mm5 at hr 48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslotted Posted December 25, 2010 Author Share Posted December 25, 2010 SUNY MM5 let's hope the Euro looks something like this and the GFS... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David Reimer Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 New 'blog' update tonight. He's pretty much speechless. http://www.nbcphilad...-112445454.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 After viewing MM5, we need a mother of god post from earthlight. Incredible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 I seriously can't believe the progression of this overall storm..from EURO SUPER BOMB 6 days in a row, to 400 miles OTS with all models lately, and now back to this.... totally unreal. I would not want to be a Forecaster this week. This seriously has to be a great case study when all is said and done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 HOLY **** i've been gone almost all day. This is the best ****ing gift I possibly could ask for. WOW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jasonli18t Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Are there any temperature issues being introduced for long island or the jersey shore? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Don't measure your snow before it falls, guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslotted Posted December 25, 2010 Author Share Posted December 25, 2010 After viewing MM5, we need a mother of god post from earthlight. Incredible. Yeah or like, 'what hath God wrought' or something lol... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 0z JMA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Don't measure your snow before it falls, guys. THIS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rib Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 I'm not sure if it was discussed but the 21z RSM is a hit too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Total Precip JMA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonClaw Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 0z JMA. [insert JMA here] Coup! Coup! Coup! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 suny mm5 at hr 48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bluescat1 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Glenn just posted update. http://www.nbcphilad...-112445454.html He is a great met, and has explained the set up right on the money. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LocoAko Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Just FWIW (and that's a big FWIW), the 00Z GFS gives KSWF (Newburgh, NY) 31.2" in 24 hours, 11.0" of which falls in a 3 hour period. (And that wasn't even the 'zone omega' algorithm, which when takin the forecasted omega into account, calculated nearly 50.0" ). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Around what time is the Euro out to about 48 hours? I'm struggling to stay up, wondering how much longer I have to last. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boreal Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Around what time is the Euro out to about 48 hours? I'm struggling to stay up, wondering how much longer I have to last. 30-40 mins and ur good to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Amazing. GFS and JMA for the win. Total Precip JMA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RutgersWx92 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 I am pretty much speechless at this point. After completely giving up on this storm after yesterday's 12z runs, I have to say that I have never seen such an amazing turnaround on the models since I began following them. Just incredible and exhilarating to say the least, and it will make me much more reluctant to be so quick to give up on future storms. Merry Christmas to everyone, and here's hoping that by this time in two days we'll all be getting buried. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radders Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Just FWIW (and that's a big FWIW), the 00Z GFS gives KSWF (Newburgh, NY) 31.2" in 24 hours, 11.0" of which falls in a 3 hour period. (And that wasn't even the 'zone omega' algorithm, which when takin the forecasted omega into account, calculated nearly 50.0" ). Hey - Can you post KPOU totals in the BUFKIT thread... Curious to see now you have mentioned KSWF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Around what time is the Euro out to about 48 hours? I'm struggling to stay up, wondering how much longer I have to last. About 1:05a.m. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jmister Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Saw your blog Glenn, very well said. I explained this to my friends and relatives as well. This goes to show you that our models are far from perfect. As inconvenient as that seems now, it should be encouraging to aspiring/beginner meteorologists (such as myself) to know that there is still plenty of need to better understand certain physical processes in cyclogenesis and modeling. What a nice xmas present! (even though I am Jewish haha) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 He is a great met, and has explained the set up right on the money. Next time your friends and family ask you, 'how much, and when does it start', and then give you crap about why cant you give them a simple answer, just play Glen's video.. its a keeper! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 At what point do we stop looking at these models and go to purenowcastimg? I know NAM is considered the better "now" model by many, but when do the GFS, euro et al become pointless die to timing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 At what point do we stop looking at these models and go to purenowcastimg? I know NAM is considered the better "now" model by many, but when do the GFS, euro et al become pointless die to timing? Never. Models get better and better as we get closer. Nothing is more accurate then a 0-6 hour model. Especially euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goombatommy Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 I will say this though - a lot of mets including Mt. Holly are still playing very conservative. WFMZ 69 (ABE) is saying the OTS is more likely; as is 6ABC PHL. Hopefully the next Euro run sways their minds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 clown maps from 0z gfs lol...is that 20"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 bufkit for phl is 26.5 http://www.meteor.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/bufkit/data/cobb_gfs/gfs3_kphl.dat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.