dryslotted Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Hope it's cool if I kick one off. In the spirit of Christmas, here's to being wiped off the map by the GFS/EURO... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof09 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Hope it's cool if I kick one off. In the spirit of Christmas, here' to being wiped off the map by the GFS/EURO... true that my friend, never thought id say this but i hope this is the one time that euro gets knocked off its bar stool haha. 0z model run is going to be especially crucial to put to sleep alot of these " initiation errors" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslotted Posted December 25, 2010 Author Share Posted December 25, 2010 Glenn just about speechless with the 10pm update on an affiliate lol... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Can we get an admin to lock the other thread and send pol here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherweather Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 rgem west as per 00z model thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Somebody hold me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Glenn going with track 2... snow for many, heavy stuff right off the coast of NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 48 hour RGEM: BOOM! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
56er Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 I can't wait for Part VII. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 I've had it with these models, this better be a consensus, if the 00Z GFS comes in out to sea I might need to be put in the insanity ward...00Z NAM at Tau 48 is way too constricted with its precip shield on the W side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Glenn going with track 2... snow for many, heavy stuff right off the coast of NJ What is track 1? Sorry, haven't been watching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 hr 48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 4DVAR and Canadian have caved to the GFS. HPC is not going to be having a very good night tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 If the RGEM says it, I believe it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 :snowman: :snowman: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslotted Posted December 25, 2010 Author Share Posted December 25, 2010 Somebody hold me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jefflaw77 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 I can't read that map- my eyes don't work that well... However, based on your comment, things are going well for NYC? Somebody hold me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jimmosk Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Since there still appears to be confusion about what the initialization errors at 12z were, and since I didn't get answers to parts B and C of this earlier post, I'm repeating it here: These were the errors that caused the 12Z GFS to be discarded: 12Z NAM RAOB RECAP... BRW/70026 - 10142 GUM/91212 - 10142 NCC/78988 - 10142 YNN/78073 - 10142 ZED/71126 - MISSING TTAA/BB ASY/70414 - 10145 KCR/78384 - PURGED ALL HGTS AND TEMPS GYM/76256 - PURGED REPORT...TWIN REPORT (10142 = Ground equipment failure; 10145 = Bad weather conditions, no launch) My questions are, can someone tell us: a) how important these radiosonde locations are for accurately modeling this situation, b ) when and if replacement radiosondes would be sent up, and c) which models other than the 12Z GFS would be affected by these errors? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RowanBrandon Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Fox 29 in Philly just had perhaps one of the worst forecasts I have ever seen. They used a taped forecast from earlier in the day and said we "dodged a bullet" with this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 What is track 1? Sorry, haven't been watching. LOL... I think track 1 was heavy snow for many... 2 just off the coast....3 a miss... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Look at the 'S'-shape on the 1000-500 mb thicknesses just off the East Coast at Hour 48 of the RGEM, classic storm signature. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bkviking Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Man, checked in here figuring post Christmas eve doldrums setting in and voilà! a new bolster of hope. I'm eastern Long Island so luck has a funny way of working for us out here for years snow wise mlbut these shifts in the models offer some true hope for our whole area. Cheers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LocoAko Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 00Z NAM BUFKIT Snowfall Totals EWR: 8.8" LGA: 13.4" JFK: 14.4" PHL: 4.5" TTN: 6.8" HPN: 10.5" ILG: 2.2" Any other requests? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslotted Posted December 25, 2010 Author Share Posted December 25, 2010 LOL... I think track 1 was heavy snow for many... 2 just off the coast....3 a miss... Yeah, Glenn's not going to play his full hand on an affiliate update, he'll save that for 11 on NBC10. Still, '#2' was a 'snowy' solution for PHL, leaving some ambiguity for the later runs IIRC... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
56er Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Request for ACY 00Z NAM BUFKIT Snowfall Totals EWR: 8.8" LGA: 13.4" JFK: 14.4" PHL: 4.5" TTN: 6.8" HPN: 10.5" ILG: 2.2" Any other requests? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jefflaw77 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Islip, NY and perhaps Westhampton or Montauk, NY 00Z NAM BUFKIT Snowfall Totals EWR: 8.8" LGA: 13.4" JFK: 14.4" PHL: 4.5" TTN: 6.8" HPN: 10.5" ILG: 2.2" Any other requests? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 I've had it with these models, this better be a consensus, if the 00Z GFS comes in out to sea I might need to be put in the insanity ward...00Z NAM at Tau 48 is way too constricted with its precip shield on the W side. a man after my own mind...I had mentioned that a while ago- the surface didnt seem to match the mid/upper levels Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RowanBrandon Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 00Z NAM BUFKIT Snowfall Totals EWR: 8.8" LGA: 13.4" JFK: 14.4" PHL: 4.5" TTN: 6.8" HPN: 10.5" ILG: 2.2" Any other requests? MIV, ACY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 The RGEM is likely a GFS solution. It's northwest of the NAM...already .4+ has fallen as of 48 hrs and the surface low is still tucking northwest with the CCB still developing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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