UnitedWx Posted September 18, 2023 Share Posted September 18, 2023 On 9/17/2023 at 7:07 AM, Ginx snewx said: Dud season, Hurricane forecasts fail. On to winter forecast fail FYP Farmers Almanac FTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted September 18, 2023 Share Posted September 18, 2023 NHC with a lemon off the southeast coast for the homebrew that the GFS spins up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted September 18, 2023 Share Posted September 18, 2023 2 hours ago, Chrisrotary12 said: NHC with a lemon off the southeast coast for the homebrew that the GFS spins up. If it develops a tad further East it maybe worth following 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted September 18, 2023 Share Posted September 18, 2023 expectations are very very low, hopefully it bombs and hits the Carolinas I guess. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted September 19, 2023 Share Posted September 19, 2023 5 hours ago, Chrisrotary12 said: NHC with a lemon off the southeast coast for the homebrew that the GFS spins up. Didn’t Don(WxWatcher) show that yesterday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 19, 2023 Share Posted September 19, 2023 2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Didn’t Don(WxWatcher) show that yesterday? In the other thread I think. The signal has been there for days. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted September 19, 2023 Share Posted September 19, 2023 15 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: In the other thread I think. The signal has been there for days. Oh ok…I knew I saw it somewhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted September 19, 2023 Share Posted September 19, 2023 6z GFS trying to get something close by.. but gets kicked out to sea Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metagraphica Posted September 19, 2023 Share Posted September 19, 2023 Obviously fish food, but Nigel is a fun looking storm. Eye is bigger than Rhode Island now. Would be interesting see how this board would react if we had something that looked like this about 50 miles east of Hatteras and chugging north. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted September 19, 2023 Share Posted September 19, 2023 1 hour ago, metagraphica said: Obviously fish food, but Nigel is a fun looking storm. Eye is bigger than Rhode Island now. Would be interesting see how this board would react if we had something that looked like this about 50 miles east of Hatteras and chugging north. Everybody would be giddy…And don’t believe anything to the contrary. But that’s just a fantasy anyway, so no need to even entertain such folly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 19, 2023 Share Posted September 19, 2023 It would be meh’ed from Hatteras to dissipation 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted September 19, 2023 Share Posted September 19, 2023 I don’t suppose that area way out in the eastern Atlantic could have a future here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted September 19, 2023 Share Posted September 19, 2023 2 minutes ago, Cyclone-68 said: I don’t suppose that area way out in the eastern Atlantic could have a future here? That area may last about as long as Aaron Rodgers did in game 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 19, 2023 Share Posted September 19, 2023 20 minutes ago, Cyclone-68 said: I don’t suppose that area way out in the eastern Atlantic could have a future here? No. Homebrew is the only option for the east coast as MDR season winds down. May have opportunities in before Oct 20. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted September 20, 2023 Share Posted September 20, 2023 GFS and Euro continue to generate something off the Florida coast and kick it north-northeast up the coast. Supported in the ensembles as well. Doesn't look like it gets too organized yet. Something to watch since it's so close by... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 20, 2023 Share Posted September 20, 2023 Completely out of left field ... I was just talking to a neighbor about autumn's onset and when the colors will arrive. The oldest tree on the block is this small-leaf sugar maple that's like nearly 100 foot with nice symmetric canopy, having a diameter some 70 feet. Huge. It's just ever so slightly tinge-ing on the top edges. Despite that size... a tree guy ( on the property for another issue ) was saying a while ago, 'despite that size ... most trees in the area that are that big are actually not more than 80 or 90 years old - because of ... 1938.' Heh, I always thought that big sucker had to be one of those 250 year old guys. Anyway, when I mentioned 1938, she said "...Took the roof of my house." Guess she inherited it from her grandparents. 'Took the roof off' Hmm so Ayer Massachusetts is something like a 100 miles N of the south shore of SNE, in the heart of the Nashoba Valley, no less. I think the elevation at town hall is all of 220' above sea level. That's pretty cool to think that the wind was capable of peelin' roofs this far away from a landfall some 100 miles a-yonder. An homage [probably] to how fast while most importantly ...still powerful it was when it careened onshore LI, yet still possessing enough power to saw trees in half and impart building/structural major impacts up this way. To me it really underscores the assumption of safety fallacy around here ... Because the "structure" of civility, codependency on multiple facets, is quite apples to oranges comparing 1938 to modernity. It's almost like less development back then, makes the magnitude incomparable - there's vastly more to lose, now. 'Magine a 1938 redux + some amount of CC-attribution quotient ? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 20, 2023 Share Posted September 20, 2023 3 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said: Completely out of left field ... I was just talking to a neighbor about autumn's onset and when the colors will arrive. The oldest tree on the block is this small-leaf sugar maple that's like nearly 100 foot with nice symmetric canopy, having a diameter some 70 feet. Huge. It's just ever so slightly tinge-ing on the top edges. Despite that size... a tree guy ( on the property for another issue ) was saying a while ago, 'despite that size ... most trees in the area that are that big are actually not more than 80 or 90 years old - because of ... 1938.' Heh, I always thought that big sucker had to be one of those 250 year old guys. Anyway, when I mentioned 1938, she said "...Took the roof of my house." Guess she inherited it from her grandparents. 'Took the roof off' Hmm so Ayer Massachusetts is something like a 100 miles N of the south shore of SNE, in the heart of the Nashoba Valley, no less. I think the elevation at town hall is all of 220' above sea level. That's pretty cool to think that the wind was capable of peelin' roofs this far away from a landfall some 100 miles a-yonder. An homage [probably] to how fast while most importantly ...still powerful it was when it careened onshore LI, yet still possessing enough power to saw trees in half and impart building/structural major impacts up this way. To me it really underscores the assumption of safety around here ... Because the "structure" of civility, codependency on multiple facets, is quite apples to oranges comparing 1938 to modernity. It's almost like less development back then, makes the magnitude incomparable - there's vastly more to lose, now. 'Magine a 1938 redux + some amount of CC-attribution quotient ? Most trees in New England started in the 20s after deforestation. The rogue gnarly looking trees you see in fields are the oldest around. Farmers used them as wind throws to protect structures. 1938 lumber supplied the entire nation during the war. Millions and millions of board feet as far away as Northern VT. It truly was a Wind to Shake the World. My relatives had no idea 86 years ago today that tomorrow would threaten their lives and take the lives of friends and relatives in a heartbeat. I surveyed the debris line across the coastal pond from the ocean. Debris was found 25 plus feet above sea level. Picture that 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted September 20, 2023 Share Posted September 20, 2023 yes please 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted September 20, 2023 Share Posted September 20, 2023 Yes! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted September 20, 2023 Share Posted September 20, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted September 20, 2023 Share Posted September 20, 2023 This one will end up in Nova Scotia again. Just you wait and see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted September 20, 2023 Share Posted September 20, 2023 18 minutes ago, Cyclone-68 said: This one will end up in Nova Scotia again. Just you wait and see Or Jersey…. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 20, 2023 Share Posted September 20, 2023 Here we go! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Normandy Posted September 20, 2023 Share Posted September 20, 2023 Now THIS is a setup that can crush yall 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted September 21, 2023 Share Posted September 21, 2023 No... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 21, 2023 Share Posted September 21, 2023 17 minutes ago, UnitedWx said: No... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted September 21, 2023 Share Posted September 21, 2023 17 hours ago, ineedsnow said: yes please Yipee... more rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted September 21, 2023 Share Posted September 21, 2023 GFS still insisting that something forms off southeast coast but because we can't even do subtropical well, it never makes it to our latitude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted September 21, 2023 Share Posted September 21, 2023 Hr 360? lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 21, 2023 Share Posted September 21, 2023 30 minutes ago, dryslot said: Hr 360? lol. It’s homebrew/hybrid or nothing at all. MDR season is done as far as NE is concerned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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