Newman Posted September 8, 2023 Share Posted September 8, 2023 And the GEFS have quite a strong SW lean down in the Bahamas compared to the 18z run previously 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted September 8, 2023 Share Posted September 8, 2023 There are some big time western members on the 0z GEFS. Legit one tries to skirt North Carolina. Can't call anything a trend yet with regards to MSLP position really, but you can sure see the ridge over far eastern Canada (around Nova Scotia, Newfoundland, etc) trending stronger on the GEFS each subsequent run. Will be interested to see the spaghetti tracks for the ensembles Also to note, some of the more southwest ensemble members are there because of timing differences. There's a few members that get Lee essentially "stuck" in the northern Bahamas until the ridge moves out and it goes OTS. So a more W or SW member doesn't necessarily equate to a NE hit. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 8, 2023 Share Posted September 8, 2023 Lopsided sheared storm at our latitude on all models. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXWX Posted September 8, 2023 Share Posted September 8, 2023 4 hours ago, WinterWolf said: Ya…it’s all hype there. If it gets passed 70 west, then he may be on to something…until then it’s just talk. When it misses to the east, he will say "at least my idea had merit!" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 8, 2023 Share Posted September 8, 2023 Good bye and good luck 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted September 8, 2023 Share Posted September 8, 2023 59 minutes ago, FXWX said: When it misses to the east, he will say "at least my idea had merit!" Just a prelude to winter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted September 8, 2023 Share Posted September 8, 2023 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 08/0900Z 17.8N 53.5W 145 KT 165 MPH 12H 08/1800Z 18.6N 55.1W 155 KT 180 MPH 24H 09/0600Z 19.6N 57.1W 150 KT 175 MPH 36H 09/1800Z 20.5N 58.8W 145 KT 165 MPH 48H 10/0600Z 21.2N 60.2W 145 KT 165 MPH 60H 10/1800Z 21.9N 61.5W 140 KT 160 MPH 72H 11/0600Z 22.4N 62.7W 135 KT 155 MPH 96H 12/0600Z 23.3N 65.1W 130 KT 150 MPH 120H 13/0600Z 24.4N 67.1W 120 KT 140 MPH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 8, 2023 Share Posted September 8, 2023 Game on https://x.com/jimcantore/status/1700068667453526509?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 8, 2023 Share Posted September 8, 2023 This thing gets kicked out pretty quick on the euro guidance. Oh well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 8, 2023 Share Posted September 8, 2023 Some nice hits EPS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 8, 2023 Share Posted September 8, 2023 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Some nice hits EPS Not really 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 8, 2023 Share Posted September 8, 2023 I still think there’s just too much going on for him to get close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted September 8, 2023 Share Posted September 8, 2023 Game over. Hopefully Canada gets wiped anyway 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 8, 2023 Share Posted September 8, 2023 14 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Not really Too big of a change on the euro to take it seriously right now. Gfs and cmc shifted west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted September 8, 2023 Share Posted September 8, 2023 Nice to see some consensus. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted September 8, 2023 Share Posted September 8, 2023 Don't worry folks, the Daily Mail is on it to keep the hype in check: https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-12494853/hurricane-lee-category-5-path-Boston-new-york.html 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 8, 2023 Share Posted September 8, 2023 Gfs went towards the euro with less ridging on top. Uggh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 8, 2023 Share Posted September 8, 2023 Onto winter 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted September 8, 2023 Share Posted September 8, 2023 10 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Gfs went towards the euro with less ridging on top. Uggh Not sure why you'd be rooting for a cane hit, it's not like a snowstorm. It would be fun for like 2hrs and then you'd have to worry about your house floating away and having to dodge massive trees & power lines. Give me that massive swell action and I'm good. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted September 8, 2023 Share Posted September 8, 2023 7 hours ago, WinterWolf said: What are you warning them about Ant? Lol. I mean there’s more than an 85% chance it never even gets all that close to the east coast? 2 Feet of snow... with drifts to 8 Feet. Got to get the early practice 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted September 8, 2023 Share Posted September 8, 2023 She gone. On to Stein! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 8, 2023 Share Posted September 8, 2023 All you can do is try to tell ‘em. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted September 8, 2023 Share Posted September 8, 2023 1 hour ago, klw said: Don't worry folks, the Daily Mail is on it to keep the hype in check: https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-12494853/hurricane-lee-category-5-path-Boston-new-york.html A direct hit on Boston? What a disgrace. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted September 8, 2023 Share Posted September 8, 2023 I'm glad that the prospects of it hitting the Northeast are less. But like everyone, here, there is a strange excitement with a storm like this getting close to the east coast. But I don't want the damage, flooding, and power outages that comes with a storm like this 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 8, 2023 Share Posted September 8, 2023 No changes https://x.com/eweather13/status/1700107309790249289?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 8, 2023 Share Posted September 8, 2023 Beer? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 8, 2023 Share Posted September 8, 2023 So depressing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted September 8, 2023 Share Posted September 8, 2023 This is 7 to 8 days away still and it's not that far off.. how anyone could be giving up on this is beyond me 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 8, 2023 Share Posted September 8, 2023 This happens almost every year. You want a cane put it in the Bahamas rapidly intensifying with an anomalous Jet venting it to the Northwest flying straight up the coast in 36 hrs. It's fun to fantasize but reality was from the get go there is way way too much shear for this to come west. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 8, 2023 Share Posted September 8, 2023 5 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: This is 7 to 8 days away still and it's not that far off.. how anyone could be giving up on this is beyond me Look closely at all the factors for a SNE cane hit, then look at the upper air pattern, basically impossible 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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