ineedsnow Posted September 4, 2023 Share Posted September 4, 2023 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted September 4, 2023 Share Posted September 4, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted September 4, 2023 Share Posted September 4, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted September 4, 2023 Share Posted September 4, 2023 That high over SE Canada is even stronger today than it was yesterday by 3mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted September 4, 2023 Share Posted September 4, 2023 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted September 4, 2023 Share Posted September 4, 2023 She close wax up the boggie board for 25 footers 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 4, 2023 Share Posted September 4, 2023 Congrats Nova Scotia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted September 4, 2023 Share Posted September 4, 2023 3 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: She close wax up the boggie board for 25 footers Salisbury Beach closed this afternoon for swimming.. waves plus rip currents Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted September 4, 2023 Share Posted September 4, 2023 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Congrats Nova Scotia. meh 10 days out anything could happen 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 4, 2023 Share Posted September 4, 2023 5 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: That high over SE Canada is even stronger today than it was yesterday by 3mb. The high is important, but to @FXWX’s point, the door doesn’t really open without a GL negative or cutoff trough. That’s the key. A far less likely way would be to eliminate the troughing and get two ridges—one over the CONUS and a big WAR and steer future Lee around the periphery of the WAR. Seems unlikely though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXWX Posted September 4, 2023 Share Posted September 4, 2023 2 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: The high is important, but to @FXWX’s point, the door doesn’t really open without a GL negative or cutoff trough. That’s the key. A far less likely way would be to eliminate the troughing and get two ridges—one over the CONUS and a big WAR and steer future Lee around the periphery of the WAR. Seems unlikely though. A stronger high may serve to slow the system, possibly even stall it a bit. In past similar situations, a slowing/blocked or stalling setup could increase the threat to the Carolinas; maybe hold it southeast of the Carolinas until a bigger trough comes along to grab it. Not 100% out of the question that a strong high wouldn't direct it into the Carolinas and whatever remains comes northeast as a blustery tropical rain event. Not very likely but on the list of possibilities if the high goes crazy. Even if the high becomes a blocker, you still need the type of MW trough I've talked about to get SNE in trouble otherwise it becomes Carolina hit and rains itself over TN/OH. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted September 4, 2023 Share Posted September 4, 2023 15 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: The high is important, but to @FXWX’s point, the door doesn’t really open without a GL negative or cutoff trough. That’s the key. A far less likely way would be to eliminate the troughing and get two ridges—one over the CONUS and a big WAR and steer future Lee around the periphery of the WAR. Seems unlikely though. The former is being illustrated by the CMC/GFS actually today. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted September 4, 2023 Share Posted September 4, 2023 36 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Congrats Nova Scotia. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted September 4, 2023 Share Posted September 4, 2023 Knowing recent history this thing will likely stall between Carolinas and Bermuda. Lol Then drift harmlessly out to sea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted September 4, 2023 Share Posted September 4, 2023 39 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Salisbury Beach closed this afternoon for swimming.. waves plus rip currents Weak sauce . Lifeguards didn’t want the risk of having to rescue someone with hundreds of people there . Waves were good (I was at Hampton less than 10 miles away) but that is soft as jelly on Labor Day With waves about 3-4’. You typically just have lifeguards set up two flags outside where a rip current is present (they are persistent and easily identifiable) and don’t allow swimming between them and a day like today where the surface of the water is semi glassy .. you just look for the ripples along the surface of the water that run out toward and past the surf break zone (usually at a slight angle ) . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted September 4, 2023 Share Posted September 4, 2023 42 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: That high is starting to go bonkers…1033 now and dropping down to the south and East…. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted September 4, 2023 Share Posted September 4, 2023 If the trough tilted negative could that also speed up the Northerly speed of system when it’s off Mid Atlantic . We need that trucking at 30mph 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted September 4, 2023 Share Posted September 4, 2023 What's the return period for Atlantic Canada canes? Seems like they do better than down here for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 4, 2023 Share Posted September 4, 2023 1 hour ago, ineedsnow said: meh 10 days out anything could happen Don’t do it 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted September 4, 2023 Share Posted September 4, 2023 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Don’t do it I dont care either way.. if it hits I chase.. if not I vacation in Florida lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted September 5, 2023 Share Posted September 5, 2023 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Congrats Nova Scotia. again and again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted September 5, 2023 Share Posted September 5, 2023 it's about time Southeast Canada got crushed by a hurricane Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted September 5, 2023 Share Posted September 5, 2023 46 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Knowing recent history this thing will likely stall between Carolinas and Bermuda. Lol Then drift harmlessly out to sea. recent history says it has potential. lol https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Fiona Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 5, 2023 Share Posted September 5, 2023 22 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Don’t do it Suggest you invest . Shabbs is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 5, 2023 Share Posted September 5, 2023 48 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: That high is starting to go bonkers…1033 now and dropping down to the south and East…. Scooter not getting it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 5, 2023 Share Posted September 5, 2023 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Scooter not getting it We hope but wake me up a week from now. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted September 5, 2023 Share Posted September 5, 2023 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: We hope but wake me up a week from now. Was OP the furthest west of ensemble members . On pivotal I see one Member where OP was the rest well East Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 5, 2023 Share Posted September 5, 2023 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: Was OP the furthest west of ensemble members Looked like it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted September 5, 2023 Share Posted September 5, 2023 Let’s keep the trends with GL trough digging more SW and and SE Canadian ridging Somewhat consistent and or growing . Keep things fun 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted September 5, 2023 Share Posted September 5, 2023 38 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Let’s keep the trends with GL trough digging more SW and and SE Canadian ridging Somewhat consistent and or growing . Keep things fun Agreed. Be nice to have some type of threat to get a little excited about. But ya, it’s very early still…thing ain’t even a depression yet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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