CoastalWx Posted August 31, 2023 Share Posted August 31, 2023 2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: It’s not coming back from its loop to the azores? LOL, I doubt it. If it did it would be stratus and a 15mph wind. Next. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 31, 2023 Share Posted August 31, 2023 33 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: LOL, I doubt it. If it did it would be stratus and a 15mph wind. Next. Yea, I don't get the intrigue...aside from perhaps being a meteorological novelty were it to make it here, which it won't. Its like bragging that you are finally dating the prom queen.....70 years later- 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 31, 2023 Share Posted August 31, 2023 32 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: LOL, I doubt it. If it did it would be stratus and a 15mph wind. Next. Exactly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 31, 2023 Share Posted August 31, 2023 I'm tracking it 2 1 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 31, 2023 Share Posted August 31, 2023 59 minutes ago, MJO812 said: I'm tracking it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 31, 2023 Share Posted August 31, 2023 8 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 31, 2023 Share Posted August 31, 2023 I won’t lie I’ll look casually but there are no expectations. The basin is going to provide plenty of other red meat the next two weeks. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted August 31, 2023 Share Posted August 31, 2023 Will be out on block island for two weeks starting this Saturday. So wouldn’t mind the surf. But keep the storm away it would just muddy things up. 30mph winds and clouds how exciting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 31, 2023 Share Posted August 31, 2023 2 hours ago, CoastalWx said: She gone. It’s coming 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 31, 2023 Share Posted August 31, 2023 Its going to be a 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 31, 2023 Share Posted August 31, 2023 A track from the east ain’t it if we want legit tropical. Either the euro has to haul it west before cooler waters or it’ll need to get suppressed to our south and slung NW. This is really just weenie hoping and praying and tracking, which is fine, but hopefully expectations are where they should be right now. Zero 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 31, 2023 Share Posted August 31, 2023 1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said: A track from the east ain’t it if we want legit tropical. Either the euro has to haul it west before cooler waters or it’ll need to get suppressed to our south and slung NW. This is really just weenie hoping and praying and tracking, which is fine, but hopefully expectations are where they should be right now. Zero The summer's back breaking cold front at the end of July which smacked the SST's down pretty much ended any likelihood for a solid cane to impact our area should one come up the coast. Exception being something accelerates northward from the Carolina's and is a 3/4 strength. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 31, 2023 Share Posted August 31, 2023 3 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: The summer's back breaking cold front at the end of July which smacked the SST's down pretty much ended any likelihood for a solid cane to impact our area should one come up the coast. Exception being something accelerates northward from the Carolina's and is a 3/4 strength. I actually think we’re ripe in that department. Look at the OHC too. It’s enough. A climo track implies a fast mover hugging the coast and the Gulf Stream so I think the real issue is not having a kicker trough. They’re lurking even when we don’t think they are. If we were developing an ideal sloppy seconds Idalia track, it would get trapped under the ridge and pushed westward back toward the Carolinas until a trough picks it up. Aside from that, real chances would come from homebrew in the western Caribbean or Bahamas. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted August 31, 2023 Share Posted August 31, 2023 The first southeast approaching tropical system would be a bit unprecedented so I doubt it happens for that reason alone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted August 31, 2023 Share Posted August 31, 2023 5 minutes ago, Cyclone-68 said: The first southeast approaching tropical system would be a bit unprecedented so I doubt it happens for that reason alone Henri 2021? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted August 31, 2023 Share Posted August 31, 2023 5 minutes ago, ma blizzard said: Henri 2021? Yeah you’re correct. Good call Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted August 31, 2023 Share Posted August 31, 2023 19 minutes ago, Cyclone-68 said: The first southeast approaching tropical system would be a bit unprecedented so I doubt it happens for that reason alone This thing would make Henri look like Katrina coming from that angle. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted August 31, 2023 Share Posted August 31, 2023 16 minutes ago, Cyclone-68 said: Yeah you’re correct. Good call You are right though - a legit hurricane hit from that angle would be unprecedented historically 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 31, 2023 Share Posted August 31, 2023 Gfs and cmc are west of 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 31, 2023 Share Posted August 31, 2023 1 hour ago, weatherwiz said: The summer's back breaking cold front at the end of July which smacked the SST's down pretty much ended any likelihood for a solid cane to impact our area should one come up the coast. Exception being something accelerates northward from the Carolina's and is a 3/4 strength. Oh so now you agree that cold front was the catalyst for the complete pattern flip. However I believe that a transient well timed pattern will easily let any tropical up here. A back break does not mean it's over tropical wise. Agree on SSTs but our great hits are by 35 mph moving cyclones and SSTs minimally affect those. Ask Newfoundland about that. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted August 31, 2023 Share Posted August 31, 2023 24 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Oh so now you agree that cold front was the catalyst for the complete pattern flip. However I believe that a transient well timed pattern will easily let any tropical up here. A back break does not mean it's over tropical wise. Agree on SSTs but our great hits are by 35 mph moving cyclones and SSTs minimally affect those. Ask Newfoundland about that. Agreed..anything else is basically a glorified nor’easter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXWX Posted August 31, 2023 Share Posted August 31, 2023 57 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Oh so now you agree that cold front was the catalyst for the complete pattern flip. However I believe that a transient well timed pattern will easily let any tropical up here. A back break does not mean it's over tropical wise. Agree on SSTs but our great hits are by 35 mph moving cyclones and SSTs minimally affect those. Ask Newfoundland about that. Sometimes the smarter we are the dumber we get! Looking at the SST profiles just south and east of SNE and using that as an "all clear" single is folly! And history bears that out. I don't think Sandy and the 1938 hurricane cared much about the SST. Newfoundland? hell, ask Nova Scotia about that... Almost all of our meaningful hits featured a fall-like pattern transition underway with a digging or negatively tilting trough approaching. For us, it is all about a fast northward moving system that goes from NC to SNE in 12 hours or less, be dammed the SST. We are never talking about a system crawling along at 15 to mph... That's not, nor ever will be how SNE does hurricanes... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 31, 2023 Share Posted August 31, 2023 She coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 31, 2023 Share Posted August 31, 2023 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: She coming Next frame of the Euro should fling her back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted August 31, 2023 Share Posted August 31, 2023 I’m planning on reseeding soon…hopefully we get some good soaking rains out of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted August 31, 2023 Share Posted August 31, 2023 9 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Next frame of the Euro should fling her back A 999mb low sitting off the coast of the cape. How exciting 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted August 31, 2023 Share Posted August 31, 2023 18 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: She coming We hope she goes .. gonna mess up the potential heat next week 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 31, 2023 Share Posted August 31, 2023 16 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Next frame of the Euro should fling her back She’s in our faces 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 31, 2023 Share Posted August 31, 2023 She gone 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted August 31, 2023 Share Posted August 31, 2023 It’s literally a turd that would do nothing but give us some rain and wind. 0z has about a 10mb stronger storm lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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