WeatherHappens Posted October 4, 2023 Share Posted October 4, 2023 And further east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted October 4, 2023 Share Posted October 4, 2023 3 hours ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: That wasn’t a New England landfall look At the wiki page https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_New_England_hurricanes and Sandy was a big anomaly Yeah "most" big hits were peak hurricane season. The later ones into October tend not to be 100% tropical, 1804 1869 I'm guessing were hybrid or ET 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 5, 2023 Share Posted October 5, 2023 5 hours ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: That wasn’t a New England landfall look At the wiki page https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_New_England_hurricanes and Sandy was a big anomaly Ahh ok….didn’t realize it was just New England landfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NW_of_GYX Posted October 5, 2023 Share Posted October 5, 2023 Koinu is hammering Taiwan:https://x.com/collingrosswx/status/1709732722887815290?s=46&t=U4LztOI79hkc3bILWv8jEg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 5, 2023 Share Posted October 5, 2023 At least the bulk of whats left of Philippe looks to fall overnight from 0z-12z Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted October 6, 2023 Share Posted October 6, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted October 12, 2023 Share Posted October 12, 2023 Euro gone wild Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted October 12, 2023 Share Posted October 12, 2023 4 hours ago, ineedsnow said: Euro gone wild Need a cane by 10/20 lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 25, 2023 Share Posted October 25, 2023 Nothing near here, but a spectacular intensity forecast fail for Hurricane Otis in the EPAC. Not sure I’ve seen anything like it. From barely recognized on globals yesterday to a cat 5 forecasted. Even NHC caught with pants down. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted October 25, 2023 Share Posted October 25, 2023 10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Nothing near here, but a spectacular intensity forecast fail for Hurricane Otis in the EPAC. Not sure I’ve seen anything like it. From barely recognized on globals yesterday to a cat 5 forecasted. Even NHC caught with pants down. actually just looked at this storm and was kind of shocked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 25, 2023 Share Posted October 25, 2023 1 minute ago, ineedsnow said: actually just looked at this storm and was kind of shocked All time forecast fail. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted October 25, 2023 Share Posted October 25, 2023 @CoastalWx lol 1st was 6z today second is 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 25, 2023 Share Posted October 25, 2023 1 minute ago, ineedsnow said: @CoastalWx lol 1st was 6z today second is 0z Never seen anything like it. And it sped up too I think. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 25, 2023 Share Posted October 25, 2023 Josh is missing a cat 5. He must be raging. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted October 25, 2023 Share Posted October 25, 2023 Where the hell did this come from? Just hearing about it now, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted October 25, 2023 Share Posted October 25, 2023 49 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Nothing near here, but a spectacular intensity forecast fail for Hurricane Otis in the EPAC. Not sure I’ve seen anything like it. From barely recognized on globals yesterday to a cat 5 forecasted. Even NHC caught with pants down. I was just coming in to post. It’s all time RI in that part of the basin and an all time bust. Broke the RI record from Patricia and the 24 hour forecast from models were dangerously horrific. 33 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Josh is missing a cat 5. He must be raging. I know from personal experience that the ones you miss haunt you as much if not more than the joy that comes with the successful chases. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted October 25, 2023 Share Posted October 25, 2023 Wow Hurricane Otis Discussion Number 12 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP182023 1000 PM CDT Tue Oct 24 2023 A nightmare scenario is unfolding for southern Mexico this evening with rapidly intensifying Otis approaching the coastline. Satellite images show that Otis has continued to intensify, with Dvorak Data-T estimates between 130-145 kt during the past few hours. The initial wind speed is set to 140 kt as a blend of these values, making Otis a Category 5 hurricane. Otis has explosively intensified 95 kt during the past 24 hours, a mark only exceeded in modern times by Patricia in 2015. Otis should maintain category 5 status before the hurricane makes landfall near the Acapulco area overnight or early on Wednesday. The only significant change to mention to the track forecast is that it has been shifted to the right due to a recent wobble to the east and the latest model trends, and a general north-northwest motion at about 8 kt is anticipated through landfall. Rapid weakening is anticipated after landfall, and Otis should dissipate tomorrow night over the higher terrain of Mexico. This is an extremely serious situation for the Acapulco metropolitan area with the core of the destructive hurricane likely to come near or over that large city early on Wednesday. There are no hurricanes on record even close to this intensity for this part of Mexico. Key Messages: 1. Otis is forecast to be a potentially catastrophic Category 5 hurricane when it reaches the southern coast of Mexico early Wednesday. Life-threatening hurricane-force winds are expected in portions of the Hurricane Warning area with catastrophic damage expected. 2. A potentially catastrophic storm surge is expected to produce life-threatening coastal flooding near and to the east of where the center makes landfall. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. 3. Heavy rains from Otis will continue to impact areas of southwest Mexico this week. This rainfall will produce flash and urban flooding, along with mudslides in areas of higher terrain. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 25/0300Z 16.1N 99.7W 140 KT 160 MPH 12H 25/1200Z 17.3N 100.1W 105 KT 120 MPH...INLAND 24H 26/0000Z 18.0N 100.5W 45 KT 50 MPH...INLAND 36H 26/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Blake 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted October 25, 2023 Share Posted October 25, 2023 That’s some really strong wording by the NHC. Otis must of eaten his wheaties this morning my god what an evolution. Now just saying, but imagine if this happened somewhere in North America lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted October 25, 2023 Share Posted October 25, 2023 2 hours ago, Sn0waddict said: That’s some really strong wording by the NHC. Otis must of eaten his wheaties this morning my god what an evolution. Now just saying, but imagine if this happened somewhere in North America lol Mexico is in North America 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted October 25, 2023 Share Posted October 25, 2023 5 hours ago, psv88 said: Mexico is in North America *United States. Woops. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 Tropical is my truest passion, and this year I had my best peak season forecast yet. A few slop storms got me (RINA), but where it mattered, calling out H and MH and the overall progression, I ended up doing an excellent job. WxWatcher007 Peak Season Forecast (Aug 20-Oct 20) Named Storms: 13 (15) Hurricanes: 6 (6) Major Hurricanes: 3 (3) Emily, Franklin (MH), Gert, Harold, Idalia (MH), Jose, Katia, Lee (MH), Margot (H), Nigel (H), Ophelia, Philippe, Rina, Sean, Tammy (H) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 24 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Tropical is my truest passion, and this year I had my best peak season forecast yet. A few slop storms got me (RINA), but where it mattered, calling out H and MH and the overall progression, I ended up doing an excellent job. WxWatcher007 Peak Season Forecast (Aug 20-Oct 20) Named Storms: 13 (15) Hurricanes: 6 (6) Major Hurricanes: 3 (3) Emily, Franklin (MH), Gert, Harold, Idalia (MH), Jose, Katia, Lee (MH), Margot (H), Nigel (H), Ophelia, Philippe, Rina, Sean, Tammy (H) well done! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 my record (last 3 years I've posted numbers) flaunt 2013 #1, 2022 #2, 2023 T-6th I'm already looking forward to next season! Though it could be relatively "chill" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 4, 2023 Share Posted December 4, 2023 On 11/30/2023 at 4:52 PM, WxWatcher007 said: Tropical is my truest passion, and this year I had my best peak season forecast yet. A few slop storms got me (RINA), but where it mattered, calling out H and MH and the overall progression, I ended up doing an excellent job. WxWatcher007 Peak Season Forecast (Aug 20-Oct 20) Named Storms: 13 (15) Hurricanes: 6 (6) Major Hurricanes: 3 (3) Emily, Franklin (MH), Gert, Harold, Idalia (MH), Jose, Katia, Lee (MH), Margot (H), Nigel (H), Ophelia, Philippe, Rina, Sean, Tammy (H) Enjoyed that you chased . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted December 4, 2023 Share Posted December 4, 2023 17 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Enjoyed that you chased . Yeah I’m glad I went. Never know which storm is the storm of the season. Ended up in the right spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 4, 2023 Share Posted December 4, 2023 7 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Yeah I’m glad I went. Never know which storm is the storm of the season. Ended up in the right spot. It so tricky chasing good tropical . It’s pricier and it’s kinda like ..harder to enjoy a good event because many places close down for a cane and then the aftermath is very dicey . I went to Fl for Dorian and it got stuck in Bahamas and still all the decent hotels in S Fl were closed ..until you went well inland and it wasn’t even forecast to hit at that point 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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