MJO812 Posted September 11, 2023 Share Posted September 11, 2023 0z hurricane models are way offshore. 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted September 11, 2023 Share Posted September 11, 2023 On 9/11/2023 at 1:14 AM, MJO812 said: 0z hurricane models are way offshore. Expand they actually got closer compared to 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 11, 2023 Share Posted September 11, 2023 On 9/11/2023 at 1:18 AM, ineedsnow said: they actually got closer compared to 18z Expand They are still way offshore. Time is running out. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 11, 2023 Share Posted September 11, 2023 On 9/11/2023 at 1:11 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: There’s a-lot of pent up major cane fetish radiating around here. Expand It’s going to stay bottled up because a major cane is not coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted September 11, 2023 Share Posted September 11, 2023 On 9/11/2023 at 1:18 AM, MJO812 said: They are still way offshore. Time is running out. Expand idk looks better to me.. EPS out soon 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted September 11, 2023 Share Posted September 11, 2023 look at all these left turning tracks 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted September 11, 2023 Share Posted September 11, 2023 "0z hurricane models are way offshore. " "they actually got closer compared to 18z " American Weather - for when you life depends on it. 2 19 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted September 11, 2023 Share Posted September 11, 2023 On 9/11/2023 at 1:21 AM, ineedsnow said: look at all these left turning tracks Expand That’s one way to look at it. The other is to look at all those right of mean tracks. 2 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 11, 2023 Share Posted September 11, 2023 Like I said. Team Meh & Team Hit. 2 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted September 11, 2023 Share Posted September 11, 2023 On 9/11/2023 at 1:56 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: That’s one way to look at it. The other is to look at all those right of mean tracks. Expand Lots of mediocre water temps for tropical with that EPS track due north at 67 W. Misses out on the nice warm temps of the east coast of the US and the Gulf Stream until it hits 38 N... probably weakens more than modeled as it goes over those cooler temps. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Childude645 Posted September 11, 2023 Share Posted September 11, 2023 eyes reforming... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Childude645 Posted September 11, 2023 Share Posted September 11, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted September 11, 2023 Share Posted September 11, 2023 The first pings of LEE swell are being picked up from bouys in the S and E New England waters. From Jeffreys ledge bouy (East of NH) to Nantucket bouy to Block island bouy . 13-14 second period from the SE currently couple foot swell . These will build all week . I find it cool how the ocean can pick up the energy from distant lee even some 1800 miles away . 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Childude645 Posted September 11, 2023 Share Posted September 11, 2023 On 9/11/2023 at 3:38 AM, STILL N OF PIKE said: The first pings of LEE swell are being picked up from bouys in the S and E New England waters. From Jeffreys ledge bouy (East of NH) to Nantucket bouy to Block island bouy . 13-14 second period from the SE currently couple foot swell . These will build all week . I find it cool how the ocean can pick up the energy from distant lee even some 1800 miles away . Expand that is super interesting! I was just looking at https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=41001 East Hatteras buoy seeing first swells here, expecting larger surf picking up tomorrow from block island to nantucket 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted September 11, 2023 Share Posted September 11, 2023 0z GFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted September 11, 2023 Share Posted September 11, 2023 On 9/11/2023 at 4:08 AM, ineedsnow said: 0z GFS Expand First trough pulls out nice and early it gets tugged back nw to about 50 miles East of ACK. The second trough in upper mid west sat am was *much shallower*/progressive and didn’t drop down like 18z or this probably would have gone to block island 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCHurricane Posted September 11, 2023 Share Posted September 11, 2023 00z GFS has winds gusting at least +55mph out of the north throughout Cape Cod for over 24 hours. At it's peak gusting 75-90mph for +12 hours. Trying to find a trustworthy archive for wind data, but I would have to believe these would be the strongest prolonged sustained winds experienced since Bob in 1991. Toss in one of our wettest summers on record (using Boston data as proxy), full foliage, and a lack of meaningful pruning by mother nature in +30 years, and this would be a borderline disastrous outcome for north facing coastlines from Boston points south, and all of Cape Cod. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted September 11, 2023 Share Posted September 11, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted September 11, 2023 Share Posted September 11, 2023 Increasing support for the trough interaction tugging this northwest Actually very good consensus between 0z Euro and GFS... tracks 50-100 miles off outer Cape, landfall in Bay of Fundy Looks like maybe 1 member of 0z GEFS is OTS, the rest landfall mostly in Maine or Canada Actually expected more media hype about this by now 0z Euro: 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 11, 2023 Share Posted September 11, 2023 On 9/11/2023 at 8:10 AM, wxsniss said: Increasing support for the trough interaction tugging this northwest Actually very good consensus between 0z Euro and GFS... tracks 50-100 miles off outer Cape, landfall in Bay of Fundy Looks like maybe 1 member of 0z GEFS is OTS, the rest landfall mostly in Maine or Canada Actually expected more media hype about this by now 0z Euro: Expand 850 winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 11, 2023 Share Posted September 11, 2023 Well we now all can admit it’s coming. Question is how far west .. RI, E CT, RI? 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 11, 2023 Share Posted September 11, 2023 On 9/11/2023 at 9:43 AM, Damage In Tolland said: Well we now all can admit it’s coming. Question is how far west .. RI, E CT, RI? Expand Gfs is slightly east but New England should keep a close eye Enjoy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteLawns Posted September 11, 2023 Share Posted September 11, 2023 On 9/11/2023 at 10:09 AM, MJO812 said: Gfs is slightly east but New England should keep a close eye Enjoy Expand Looks like it landfalls in Maine 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted September 11, 2023 Share Posted September 11, 2023 On 9/11/2023 at 9:43 AM, Damage In Tolland said: Well we now all can admit it’s coming. Question is how far west .. RI, E CT, RI? Expand 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted September 11, 2023 Share Posted September 11, 2023 way offshore 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted September 11, 2023 Share Posted September 11, 2023 models seem to be consolidating on a glancing blow with TS winds and rain along the coast and Cape Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted September 11, 2023 Share Posted September 11, 2023 On 9/11/2023 at 9:43 AM, Damage In Tolland said: Well we now all can admit it’s coming. Question is how far west .. RI, E CT, RI? Expand 00z eps only has a couple SNE landfalls 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted September 11, 2023 Share Posted September 11, 2023 On 9/11/2023 at 10:09 AM, MJO812 said: Gfs is slightly east but New England should keep a close eye Enjoy Expand 6z with a good jog east. With the second shortwave digging into the GL, after the first one drops dews on Thursday that bring the COC, it can only go so far west. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted September 11, 2023 Share Posted September 11, 2023 On 9/11/2023 at 9:43 AM, Damage In Tolland said: Well we now all can admit it’s coming. Question is how far west .. RI, E CT, RI? Expand You forgot to mention Boise... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted September 11, 2023 Share Posted September 11, 2023 Glad to see the jog east. I was starting to worry about p-type issues. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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