bristolri_wx Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 Trying to figure out why 12z Euro op was so much farther west of the 00z (been out all day catching up now)... seems like the only big difference is interaction with a short wave digging SE out of Canada pulls Lee NW. So I guess that seems to be a key piece of the puzzle to keep an eye on, and we all know how great the models are forecasting Canadian waves of low pressure 7 or 8 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJsnow89 Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 0z GFS landfalls near Canada. Euro is on its own 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hurricaneman Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 If the ensembles show divergent scenarios the we still have no idea we’ll see what the ensembles show Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 ICON and GGEM (eh, i know) into Nova Scotia 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tiger_deF Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 GFS bringing round 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 Just now, Torch Tiger said: ICON and GGEM into Nova Scotia Dartmouth-Halifax has been the target for days. I have family members there, so if it hits, I hope core is off the coast. Halifax Harbor is most likely getting a surge no matter what. If it come in SW of Halifax it will be ugly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 Pretty incredible how consistent the GFS has been with Lee regarding the path. Euro was curving way out to see at the beginning of this and has been rather all over the place since then. If the GFS ends up right here then let’s hope it can carry this accuracy over into the winter lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 19 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Dartmouth-Halifax has been the target for days. I have family members there, so if it hits, I hope core is off the coast. Halifax Harbor is most likely getting a surge no matter what. If it come in SW of Halifax it will be ugly. Hopefully the core is off the coast hundreds of miles SW of them 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 8 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Euro will probably go 200 miles east at 00z. Ftw 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Ftw Wetting those Cheerios early today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Ftw Wow mind reader Euro is trash Remember that for winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 17 minutes ago, kdxken said: Wetting those Cheerios early today. Peel off the band aid in one quick motion 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 We love it. As long as it doesn’t slow down, the coc front should steer it away. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 Already watching and invested in that next one behind Leo for laser week of month.. More dews and summer as that will again pump the WAR in east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Already watching and invested in that next one behind Leo for laser week of month.. More dews and summer as that will again pump the WAR in east That's weenie land Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 17 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Already watching and invested in that next one behind Leo for laser week of month.. More dews and summer as that will again pump the WAR in east The next few days are pretty much the last hurrah for dews. There will be more ahead of fronts, but I think the sustained stuff is done. Then of course comes 12/24. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 12 minutes ago, dendrite said: The next few days are pretty much the last hurrah for dews. There will be more ahead of fronts, but I think the sustained stuff is done. Then of course comes 12/24. If that big cane the models have last week will f month is there it’ll pump heights and slow fronts which would lead to at least several days in a row of dews. Idalia and Franklin did it and now Lee. We’ll just have to see if it actually develops 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 1 hour ago, MJO812 said: Wow mind reader Euro is trash Remember that for winter We’ve been trying to tell everybody for years this. Thing never recovered from its first upgrade from way back. It used to be the bomb…2012 nailed Sandy from 8 days out. It couldn’t do that now to save its life. Now it’s just another model.. at best. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 In St Pete Beach for a destination wedding…ya want to talk about dews??? Holy smokes this Place is an oven. Last week was bad at home(like here), but it never ends here until November. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 18 minutes ago, dendrite said: The next few days are pretty much the last hurrah for dews. There will be more ahead of fronts, but I think the sustained stuff is done. Then of course comes 12/24. Yea. It’s over. It was a high dew wet summer but it’s time to turn the page Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 Dead season 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 3 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Ftw That was obvious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 1 hour ago, MJO812 said: Wow mind reader Euro is trash Remember that for winter If having an OP vacillate back and forth from one end of its ensemble mean to the other on a day 10 forecast renders it trash, then we are all forecasting from a garbage bin. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: If having an OP vacillate from one end of its ensemble mean to the other on a day 10 forecast renders it trash, then we are all forecasting from a garbage bin. We all know how the Euro have been. It's phased happy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 15 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: If that big cane the models have last week will f month is there it’ll pump heights and slow fronts which would lead to at least several days in a row of dews. Idalia and Franklin did it and now Lee. We’ll just have to see if it actually develops Pump this 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: Pump this Good morning dendrite. Considering the contestant, this would be much more interesting than the July 4th, Coney Island event. Stay well, as always …. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 10 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: If having an OP vacillate back and forth from one end of its ensemble mean to the other on a day 10 forecast renders it trash, then we are all forecasting from a garbage bin. I agree. But it’s been pretty bad at jumping around. Even the Canadian isn’t doing that. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 Euro much much faster with the track than yesterday's weenie run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 27 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I agree. But it’s been pretty bad at jumping around. Even the Canadian isn’t doing that. I guess I haven't been paying close enough attention to notice because I'm not very interested in this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 10, 2023 Share Posted September 10, 2023 58 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: That was obvious. Easiest bet all weekend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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