ORH_wxman Posted September 7, 2023 Share Posted September 7, 2023 On 9/7/2023 at 3:55 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: I thought it made LF at Cozumel as cat 5 160mph? Expand Might have been weaker when it hit Yucatan or by the time it reached the more populated wets side of Cozumel....I know it was weakening pretty fast though regardless. If it had been holding more steady or intensifying, it would have been way worse than it was....and it was still really bad. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherHappens Posted September 7, 2023 Share Posted September 7, 2023 It is a beautiful looking storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted September 7, 2023 Share Posted September 7, 2023 On 9/7/2023 at 3:58 PM, ORH_wxman said: Might have been weaker when it hit Yucatan or by the time it reached the more populated wets side of Cozumel....I know it was weakening pretty fast though regardless. If it had been holding more steady or intensifying, it would have been way worse than it was....and it was still really bad. Expand Yucatan, 925mb 130kts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 7, 2023 Share Posted September 7, 2023 Good bye and Good luck on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 7, 2023 Share Posted September 7, 2023 Same with the Canadian. Not the pattern folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted September 7, 2023 Share Posted September 7, 2023 12z GFS says NO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherHappens Posted September 7, 2023 Share Posted September 7, 2023 On 9/7/2023 at 4:26 PM, dryslot said: 12z GFS says NO. Expand Of course it does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted September 7, 2023 Share Posted September 7, 2023 On 9/7/2023 at 4:23 PM, CoastalWx said: Good bye and Good luck on the GFS. Expand On 9/7/2023 at 4:25 PM, CoastalWx said: Same with the Canadian. Not the pattern folks. Expand Lol it's 8 days out anything can change and will.. if in a few days it looks the same then sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 7, 2023 Share Posted September 7, 2023 Op runs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 7, 2023 Share Posted September 7, 2023 On 9/7/2023 at 4:28 PM, ineedsnow said: Lol it's 8 days out anything can change and will.. if in a few days it looks the same then sure Expand Too much going on IMO. Trough that would pull it up gets kicked out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted September 7, 2023 Share Posted September 7, 2023 Diggiebot 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 7, 2023 Share Posted September 7, 2023 On 9/7/2023 at 4:26 PM, dryslot said: 12z GFS says NO. Expand It's over but we still track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted September 7, 2023 Share Posted September 7, 2023 This is like trying to put another thread thru a thread then the needle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted September 7, 2023 Share Posted September 7, 2023 It's possible future Margot will be the turd in the punchbowl for up at this latitude. Lee finds the weakness flees towards it. We'll see how this plays out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 7, 2023 Share Posted September 7, 2023 Since when did we start making final forecasts off of day 8 op runs? I mean WTF. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherHappens Posted September 7, 2023 Share Posted September 7, 2023 On 9/7/2023 at 4:33 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Since when did we start making final forecasts off of day 8 op runs? I mean WTF. Expand Don't waste your time with this one. Let's look forward to 10 day out phantom blizzard of 78 lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted September 7, 2023 Share Posted September 7, 2023 On 9/7/2023 at 4:28 PM, ineedsnow said: Lol it's 8 days out anything can change and will.. if in a few days it looks the same then sure Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted September 7, 2023 Share Posted September 7, 2023 On 9/7/2023 at 4:29 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Op runs and all but two ensemble members? Expand Yea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted September 7, 2023 Share Posted September 7, 2023 On 9/7/2023 at 4:36 PM, WeatherHappens said: Don't waste your time with this one. Let's look forward to 10 day out phantom blizzard of 78 lol. Expand Far better shot of those coming to pass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 7, 2023 Share Posted September 7, 2023 On 9/7/2023 at 4:37 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea. Expand The ensemble mean shows a similar thing. We'll wait to see what the euro says, but it's not the classic look IMO. That trough needs to dig and not lift out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 7, 2023 Share Posted September 7, 2023 On 9/7/2023 at 4:36 PM, WeatherHappens said: Don't waste your time with this one. Let's look forward to 10 day out phantom blizzard of 78 lol. Expand The gfs was abysmal on Idalia in FL.. and we all know it’s well documented east bias . With the EPS and GEFS all continuing west the last 4 days.. anyone claiming they know the end result is very foolish. All the players are on the field for this one. My advice.. don’t knee jerk off an op 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 7, 2023 Share Posted September 7, 2023 On 9/7/2023 at 4:39 PM, Damage In Tolland said: The gfs was abysmal on Idalia in FL.. and we all know it’s well documented east bias . With the EPS and GEFS all continuing west the last 4 days.. anyone claiming they know the end result is very foolish. All the players are on the field for this one. My advice.. don’t knee jerk off an op Expand It's been schooling other tropicals in various basins. Bad take. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted September 7, 2023 Share Posted September 7, 2023 On 9/7/2023 at 4:39 PM, CoastalWx said: The ensemble mean shows a similar thing. We'll wait to see what the euro says, but it's not the classic look IMO. That trough needs to dig and not lift out. Expand I suggest people just enjoy the show that Lee is beginning to put on, independent of any IMBY "I have a dream" wish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted September 7, 2023 Share Posted September 7, 2023 On 9/7/2023 at 4:39 PM, Damage In Tolland said: The gfs was abysmal on Idalia in FL.. and we all know it’s well documented east bias . With the EPS and GEFS all continuing west the last 4 days.. anyone claiming they know the end result is very foolish. All the players are on the field for this one. My advice.. don’t knee jerk off an op Expand GFS was too far WEST with Idalia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 7, 2023 Share Posted September 7, 2023 On 9/7/2023 at 4:41 PM, CoastalWx said: It's been schooling other tropicals in various basins. Bad take. Expand Which did better on Idalia days 8-10 Euro or gfs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted September 7, 2023 Share Posted September 7, 2023 Boat trip to the Flemish cap. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted September 7, 2023 Share Posted September 7, 2023 Gfs and it’s ensembles have been trending east since last night 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted September 7, 2023 Share Posted September 7, 2023 On 9/7/2023 at 4:45 PM, Sn0waddict said: Gfs and it’s ensembles have been trending east since last night Expand They have inched west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 7, 2023 Share Posted September 7, 2023 On 9/7/2023 at 4:43 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Which did better on Idalia days 8-10 Euro or gfs? Expand Euro. So I guess a closer whiff?? Wheeeeeeee! In all seriousness, we have 2-3 days to nail this, but I'm not a fan of what I see. I feel like some are really working themselves up to disappointment. If it comes, you can bump the posts all you want and have a collective circle jerk with the posts. 1 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted September 7, 2023 Share Posted September 7, 2023 On 9/7/2023 at 4:46 PM, CoastalWx said: Euro. So I guess a closer whiff?? Wheeeeeeee! In all seriousness, we have 2-3 days to nail this, but I'm not a fan of what I see. I feel like some are really working themselves up to disappointment. If it comes, you can bump the posts all you want and have a collective circle jerk with the posts. Expand And even if it hits, it will be nothing we haven't seen several times over the course of the last decade or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now