CAPE Posted May 12, 2023 Share Posted May 12, 2023 Soil is pretty dry here. Over 10 days with little to no rain since the 1-2 punch deal. Someone bump the drought thread. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted May 13, 2023 Share Posted May 13, 2023 Some of my family lives down in Orange County. They had a pretty intense storm a little after 4pm. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted May 13, 2023 Share Posted May 13, 2023 1 hour ago, CAPE said: Soil is pretty dry here. Over 10 days with little to no rain since the 1-2 punch deal. Someone bump the drought thread. Yep very dry here as well. The sun is very hot during the afternoon, had to water my garden tonight because I am fearful tomorrow is only .25 of rain, if that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted May 13, 2023 Share Posted May 13, 2023 I was noticing cloudless days. I think we have like 8/14. It's not necessarily a drought, but a macro pattern we are in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted May 13, 2023 Share Posted May 13, 2023 Yikes - the 00Z model suite has really dried out Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted May 13, 2023 Share Posted May 13, 2023 Quick dumb question...... I have a line of 60 dBz thunderstorms bearing down on me in south central Texas in about an hour. What can they do? What should I expect? I am NO meteorologist, but this is going to be very, very BAD. Been real, REALLY nice knowin' y'all. The honor has been all mine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted May 13, 2023 Share Posted May 13, 2023 Got some 70 dBz cloudtops as well, Extremely heavy rainfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted May 13, 2023 Share Posted May 13, 2023 Looking at the radar this morning it appears that the rain showers are further north in Pennsylvania I thought that the models yesterday were depicting most of the rainfall being forced to the South but generally less overall. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted May 13, 2023 Share Posted May 13, 2023 16 minutes ago, frd said: Looking at the radar this morning it appears that the rain showers are further north in Pennsylvania I thought that the models yesterday were depicting most of the rainfall being forced to the South but generally less overall. Yup. Growing season is here lol. I have a feeling it's going to be a very dry warm season. Sprinkle and warm. 67 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted May 13, 2023 Share Posted May 13, 2023 19 minutes ago, dailylurker said: Yup. Growing season is here lol. I have a feeling it's going to be a very dry warm season. Sprinkle and warm. 67 Thought I saw seasonal precipitation during the summer as being above normal near the Mid-Atlantic coastal area maybe it was the European model. Also thinking about the implications of the El nino. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted May 13, 2023 Share Posted May 13, 2023 1 hour ago, frd said: Looking at the radar this morning it appears that the rain showers are further north in Pennsylvania I thought that the models yesterday were depicting most of the rainfall being forced to the South but generally less overall. I think that PA batch was supposed to be our rain, and the stuff this afternoon will be south. Going out now to water my garden LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted May 13, 2023 Share Posted May 13, 2023 Off and on light rain as that stuff in PA pushes south to the MD line. Just had some new trees planted so the rain is appreciated 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted May 13, 2023 Share Posted May 13, 2023 21 minutes ago, BlizzardNole said: I think that PA batch was supposed to be our rain, and the stuff this afternoon will be south. Going out now to water my garden LOL The area of precipitation seems to be trending a bit east Southeast hoping that maybe I'll get at least something but we'll have to order tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted May 13, 2023 Share Posted May 13, 2023 Going to my cousin's outdoor wedding in Lewes today. Should be fun! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 13, 2023 Share Posted May 13, 2023 1 hour ago, mappy said: Off and on light rain as that stuff in PA pushes south to the MD line. Just had some new trees planted so the rain is appreciated Looks like you are getting at least a bit of rain now per radar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted May 13, 2023 Share Posted May 13, 2023 Confirm steady light rain up this way - started just after 10 am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted May 13, 2023 Share Posted May 13, 2023 The models struggled with this front and specifically the rain. Looks like some decent totals are possible through central MD. Hopefully it drowns out some of the drought speak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted May 13, 2023 Share Posted May 13, 2023 Can’t even get the pavement wet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted May 13, 2023 Share Posted May 13, 2023 steadier rain congealing over NE Maryland and below I-95 in DE Looks like this area may get lucky. Plants are happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted May 13, 2023 Share Posted May 13, 2023 Still have sun poking out here. Hoping whatever rain is around exits before the Os game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted May 13, 2023 Share Posted May 13, 2023 1 hour ago, frd said: steadier rain congealing over NE Maryland and below I-95 in DE Looks like this area may get lucky. Plants are happy. My plants are happy here in Carroll County. Nice steady rain most of the day here. Only 63 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted May 13, 2023 Share Posted May 13, 2023 64 with steady rain here now. A half inch would be nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted May 13, 2023 Share Posted May 13, 2023 35 minutes ago, CAPE said: 64 with steady rain here now. A half inch would be nice. That would be much appreciated. Models really choked with this system. Euro from a few days ago was probably best. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted May 13, 2023 Share Posted May 13, 2023 18 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: That would be much appreciated. Models really choked with this system. Euro from a few days ago was probably best. The HRRR still has my area getting maybe a quarter max. Just hit 0.50". Sort of in the 'jack zone' here(such that it is) which most models have south of here. Euro and also the ICON appear to be closest to reality, at least over this way. 3km NAM has been a bit all over, but the latest run looks close to what is actually occurring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itryatgolf70 Posted May 13, 2023 Share Posted May 13, 2023 Hello guys. I typically don't post much this time of the year, but I'm hoping the niño don't get too strong this fall and winter but if it does, perhaps we will get a -qbo or a favorable blocking pattern that allows for some cold air at times, which very little happened last winter. I'm in Tennessee and we got a mini ice storm in February and that big Christmas cold blast but it definitely overall wasn't cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted May 13, 2023 Share Posted May 13, 2023 7 hours ago, mattie g said: Going to my cousin's outdoor wedding in Lewes today. Should be fun! Looking at radar over that way. You should stop at the DFH store in Rehoboth and pick up a 4 pack of Utopias barrel-aged 120 min, and a couple bottles of aged WWS or 120s. Worth it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSG Posted May 13, 2023 Share Posted May 13, 2023 Picked up 0.65" with that line that came across Albemarle between 1-2pm. It really blew up just to our SE. 45k ft echo tops on that cell near Powhatan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted May 13, 2023 Share Posted May 13, 2023 Pretty good soaker in Frederick so far with temps in the 60s. Completely acceptable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted May 13, 2023 Share Posted May 13, 2023 9 hours ago, frd said: Thought I saw seasonal precipitation during the summer as being above normal near the Mid-Atlantic coastal area maybe it was the European model. Also thinking about the implications of the El nino. EL NINO is gonna be here by July. Gonna be sweet, cool RAINY times in south Texas late this year! Gonna have one hell of a PAC JET anchored over the Deep South and Texas! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted May 13, 2023 Share Posted May 13, 2023 2 hours ago, CAPE said: The HRRR still has my area getting maybe a quarter max. Just hit 0.50". Sort of in the 'jack zone' here(such that it is) which most models have south of here. Euro and also the ICON appear to be closest to reality, at least over this way. 3km NAM has been a bit all over, but the latest run looks close to what is actually occurring. Parts of southern PA have to be over 1” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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