mdhokie Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 3 hours ago, WxUSAF said: Some changes on all the 3 globals today towards wetter chances late next week. All show a semi-tropical (??) coastal low and an upper level low bringing unsettled weather somewhere in the east coast. Big variance in where. Gfs brings it into VA with quite a deluge for the holiday weekend. Fits with the pattern of semi crappy weekends. Why not bring in some sort of tropical system for the holiday! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 3 hours ago, WxUSAF said: Some changes on all the 3 globals today towards wetter chances late next week. All show a semi-tropical (??) coastal low and an upper level low bringing unsettled weather somewhere in the east coast. Big variance in where. Gfs brings it into VA with quite a deluge for the holiday weekend. A cutoff low in the southeast that brings moisture along with mild temps sounds much better than a chilly/breezy northern stream vort (I'm at least semi-retired from those unless they bring a productive winter clipper or summer severe). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 Forecast here has increased rain totals for tomorrow- up from a tenth or less to as much as a half inch now. CAMs seem to be more west with moisture from the coastal, while globals are generally further east/drier. Also looks like an opportunity for some scattered showers with the frontal passage, mainly along/east of I-95. My money is on a quarter inch or less through Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted May 20, 2023 Author Share Posted May 20, 2023 GFS... Anyways... currently 57/55 at IAD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 11 hours ago, CAPE said: Forecast here has increased rain totals for tomorrow- up from a tenth or less to as much as a half inch now. CAMs seem to be more west with moisture from the coastal, while globals are generally further east/drier. Also looks like an opportunity for some scattered showers with the frontal passage, mainly along/east of I-95. My money is on a quarter inch or less through Sunday. Nothing in my point and click up this way. Thick fog out there this morning. The ground dried out fast from the last rain we had. I've been running sprinklers on my potato crop this week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 Pretty decent shower moving through now. Right on the edge of the precip. Looks like much of Delaware will get a pretty good soaking today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 Taking my mom to Cincinnati for a few days and we are driving (getting close to “get any trips in now” stage as she ages) - and we came halfway last night and stopped in Washington, PA in far western part of the state and it is pouring here this AM. Will drive out of it as we head west a few hours but hoping this line holds and gets a good chunk of our forum this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 1 hour ago, CAPE said: Pretty decent shower moving through now. Right on the edge of the precip. Looks like much of Delaware will get a pretty good soaking today. Wonder whether the incoming line from the West nudges the coastal rainfall shield further East, missing DE and getting mostly Southern asnd Eastern NJ. I hope not. Amazing that Central VA is clear at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 29 minutes ago, frd said: Wonder whether the incoming line from the West nudges the coastal rainfall shield further East, missing DE and getting mostly Southern asnd Eastern NJ. I hope not. Amazing that Central VA is clear at the moment. Next batch looks to be focused right along the immediate coast on the mesos. I managed to pick up 0.18" with the showers earlier. Best rain chances the rest of today are probably with any showers/storms along the front later. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 18 hours ago, WxUSAF said: Some changes on all the 3 globals today towards wetter chances late next week. All show a semi-tropical (??) coastal low and an upper level low bringing unsettled weather somewhere in the east coast. Big variance in where. Gfs brings it into VA with quite a deluge for the holiday weekend. 15 hours ago, mdhokie said: Fits with the pattern of semi crappy weekends. Why not bring in some sort of tropical system for the holiday! 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 43 minutes ago, CAPE said: Next batch looks to be focused right along the immediate coast on the mesos. I managed to pick up 0.18" with the showers earlier. Best rain chances the rest of today are probably with any showers/storms along the front later. Yes some rain here. The front out West looks decent. .18 is a win these days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 3 hours ago, George BM said: GFS... Anyways... currently 57/55 at IAD. Euro is not that far off from a similar solution. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 20 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: Euro is not that far off from a similar solution. Guidance generally has been hinting at a window for tropical/subtropical development off the SE for a few days now, which fits climo. Doesn’t need to be a well defined system to cause a messy weekend regardless. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 Sunny outside. I wasn’t expecting the weather to be this nice, I’ll take it! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 Cloudy with a bit of drizzle at times. 67. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GATECH Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 Not a cloud in the sky, temp has shot to 80. About to do my first cannon ball into the pool! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherCCB Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 Sunny 80/63 Ready/ hoping for some rain this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 69 here and still cloudy. Dreary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 80 and sunny. Thick cloud deck out west over the mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 Low 70s, off/on sun after a misty morning. More humid today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 Today’s weather (prior to the clouds rolling in) is what I’d classify as near perfect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 Showers incoming to Frederick, assuming they survive the Blue Ridge. I wouldn’t mind a pollen/air quality reset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 Rained enough to make everything wet looks like a little more to the west temp down to 70 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 6 minutes ago, aldie 22 said: Rained enough to make everything wet looks like a little more to the west temp down to 70 Damn. I was thinking the line looks healthier than I thought it would so hopefully we get something more substantial along the 95 corridor. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 Beautiful sunny afternoon even though it is a little humid out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 Little bow in Fauquier County on radar 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 Kudos to the mesoscale models which had enhancements to the line just south of 66. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 Pouring here in Ashburn. Not going to have to water the garden for another week. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXW176 Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 7 minutes ago, Terpeast said: Pouring here in Ashburn. Not going to have to water the garden for another week. Oh, but, yes you will. We know the drill around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 41 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: Kudos to the mesoscale models which had enhancements to the line just south of 66. 44 minutes ago, yoda said: Little bow in Fauquier County on radar That’s a solid little bow or LEWP 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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