CoastalWx Posted May 4, 2023 Share Posted May 4, 2023 Tomorrow is meh too. Weekend looks good. Still a little unsure of next week, but will be better than this week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted May 4, 2023 Share Posted May 4, 2023 This is what shite looks like, not the past three days. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=local-Rhode_Island-02-24-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 4, 2023 Share Posted May 4, 2023 They’ve all sucked here. Yesterday we had an hour of breaks in overcast. Yay. 65-70 will feel epic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted May 4, 2023 Share Posted May 4, 2023 35 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: They’ve all sucked here. Yesterday we had an hour of breaks in overcast. Yay. 65-70 will feel epic. I guess it was worse elsewhere, lucked out here being far enough east with the ULL to the west. Touched 60+ all three days, and sun most of the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted May 4, 2023 Share Posted May 4, 2023 a hair under 7" IMBY since april 22. garbage with a couple decent days (usually work days) sprinkled in. a little sun and 65-70 degree temps this weekend is going to be pretty sweet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted May 4, 2023 Share Posted May 4, 2023 14 hours ago, Lava Rock said: 5.66" in 4 days. Sent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk Only 5.39" here. Stein 36 with drizzle at this morning, rocketed up to 40 so far. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 4, 2023 Share Posted May 4, 2023 Have had some sunny breaks this morning so not as bad as I expected 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 4, 2023 Share Posted May 4, 2023 49 and overcast here...like a broken record..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 4, 2023 Author Share Posted May 4, 2023 Hoping for no surprise showers. Want to go for a brief walk at some point. Need to walk 0.2km to hatch an egg in Pokemon Go and move on to the next research task. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted May 4, 2023 Share Posted May 4, 2023 Yesterday was actually not to bad, but ya today is doom/gloom. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted May 4, 2023 Share Posted May 4, 2023 39.7. Welcome to May 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 4, 2023 Share Posted May 4, 2023 3 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Today blows. No sugarcoating this one . But the lighted tunnel is right there . One more day I'd give it Friday, too but agreed in principle. Saturday ... both the 2-meter product suites from the GFS and Euro look a tad too conservative with d-slope flow. 850's raise to +5C by 4-6pm, indicative of mixing having been successful above 925mb... after roaring sun much of the day... Yet, they're capping in that 66-69 range? I suspect the actualized 2-meter temperatures should be 72 to 74. This is true for Sunday ... and perhaps Monday as well, but there may be a BD in the area that day. The question is, does the sun hammer? The RH at the typical ceiling heights is generally at or less than 50% but I'm not sure how accurate those RH levels are in the guidance. Either way... the synopsis favors drying the column with the deep layer flow bumping over the cordillera from the NW, and then en mass, having to then go d-slope, most importantly...a behavior that sans CAA while that is happening. I noticed the on-camera mets were hanging temps in the mid to upper 60s yesterday when running mill at the gym... Seems they're lifting numbers off machine. Some conditioning do to recent drab/cool unrelenting may be temping folks to be conservative. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 4, 2023 Author Share Posted May 4, 2023 7 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: I'd give it Friday, too but agreed in principle. Saturday ... both the 2-meter product suites from the GFS and Euro look a tad too conservative with d-slope flow. 850's raise to +5C by 4-6pm, indicative of mixing having been successful above 925mb... after roaring sun much of the day... Yet, they're capping in that 66-69 range? I suspect the actualized 2-meter temperatures should be 72 to 74. This is true for Sunday ... and perhaps Monday as well, but there may be a BD in the area that day. The question is, does the sun hammer? The RH at the typical ceiling heights is generally at or less than 50% but I'm not sure how accurate those RH levels are in the guidance. Either way... the synopsis favors drying the column with the deep layer flow bumping over the cordillera from the NW, and then en mass, having to then go d-slope, most importantly...a behavior that sans CAA while that is happening. I noticed the on-camera mets were hanging temps in the mid to upper 60s yesterday when doing run mill at the gym... Seems they're lifting numbers off machine. Saturday certainly has potential to overachieve as does Sunday. In fact, Sunday certainly has the greater potential, but one caveat right now is there may be some mid-to-high level clouds streaming southeast across the region from Canada. Obviously several days out so take with a grain of salt, but if we get strong heating/mixing Sunday 70's should be quite common. Maybe near 75 in the torch spots? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 4, 2023 Share Posted May 4, 2023 edit previous, actually MEX is 70 or higher now so ... might be some correction getting in closer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
butterfish55 Posted May 4, 2023 Share Posted May 4, 2023 Lots of sunny breaks down this way. Yeah it's cold but it could be way worse. 2 more days of these temps.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 4, 2023 Share Posted May 4, 2023 8 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Saturday certainly has potential to overachieve as does Sunday. In fact, Sunday certainly has the greater potential, but one caveat right now is there may be some mid-to-high level clouds streaming southeast across the region from Canada. Obviously several days out so take with a grain of salt, but if we get strong heating/mixing Sunday 70's should be quite common. Maybe near 75 in the torch spots? This weekend is a light, d-slope flow of "prime-able" air because it doens't have CAA integrating the trajectory. So it'll all come down to sunshine. Yeah..that's why I elaborated about not knowing how accurate the typical ceiling height RH handling is - agreed. If the sun gets pig piled it's 65. But it's such a huge factor at this time of year. If/when CAA is not in the region, the sun up temp can be capped by clouds a linger into the afternoon, and it gets sunny at circa 2pm and you burst for 10 from that alone. LOL... it's not exactly a riveting topic, the different between 64 and 74 ... no. BUT, the intangible I'm monitoring is the 'jolt' ... spending in a week in the dungeon with the Labradorian "gimp" and then transitioning all at once are interesting phenomenon to me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 4, 2023 Share Posted May 4, 2023 43 and ocnl shwrs. Awful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 4, 2023 Share Posted May 4, 2023 Light drizzle and low overcast. Would love to see the peaks one of these days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 4, 2023 Author Share Posted May 4, 2023 1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said: This weekend is a light, d-slope flow of "prime-able" air because it doens't have CAA integrating the trajectory. So it'll all come down to sunshine. Yeah..that's why I elaborated about now knowing how accurate the typical ceiling height RH handling is... agreed. If the sun gets pig piled it's 65. But it's such a huge factor at this time of year that when CAA is not in the region, the sun up temp can be capped by clouds a linger into an afternoon, and it gets sun at circa 2pm and you burst for 10 from that alone. LOL... it's not exactly a riveting topic, the different between 64 and 74 ... no. BUT, the intangible I'm monitoring is the 'jolt' ... spending in a week in the dungeon with the Labradorian "gimp" and then transitioning all at once are interesting phenomenon to me. Maybe any cloud cover potential will be tied into convective activity across the northern Plains/upper-Midwest into south-central Canada Friday/Saturday? Would seem any clouds streaming would be remnant convective debris...so with that maybe we'd get lucky and they're just thin high clouds...enough to provide some dim but not really hold temps back more then 1-2F from their potential Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted May 4, 2023 Share Posted May 4, 2023 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: 43 and ocnl shwrs. Awful. Seasons in seasons 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted May 4, 2023 Share Posted May 4, 2023 Welcome to severe gray sky season! Lovely. When can I turn my heat off? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 4, 2023 Share Posted May 4, 2023 55 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: edit previous, actually MEX is 70 or higher now so ... might be some correction getting in closer Correction vector ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 4, 2023 Share Posted May 4, 2023 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Correction vector ? More like correction pecker the way this spring is with these models. jeezus NAM -based machine guidance now 70+ at BDL, FIT, ASH, and BED ... so yeah, with the over arching synoptics through the period, the "vector" would be pointed at warmer - but we're not going crazy with that assessment, either. ... Like the old 2 or may 3 F higher than machine - typical in the front side of the solar max (May to late June) for machine to error by small values on the cool side, on days of high sun over top zip CAA. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted May 4, 2023 Share Posted May 4, 2023 2 hours ago, tamarack said: Only 5.39" here. Stein 36 with drizzle at this morning, rocketed up to 40 so far. 5.27", 44.7°F, Some partial breaks but its not raining (yet), Looks like we've turned the corner after today. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted May 4, 2023 Share Posted May 4, 2023 46 degrees at noon. GWDI (glad we didn't install) 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 4, 2023 Author Share Posted May 4, 2023 Went on a brief walk...it's really not bad out. Could it be warmer? Absolutely but my hands aren't even cold and they usually freeze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 4, 2023 Author Share Posted May 4, 2023 After a historically active January-April in terms of tornadoes May is looking dead. Sucks for the people who booked vacations to go chasing in May...and not really b/c many of them are nothing but clowns so haha to them. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 4, 2023 Share Posted May 4, 2023 23 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: After a historically active January-April in terms of tornadoes May is looking dead. Sucks for the people who booked vacations to go chasing in May...and not really b/c many of them are nothing but clowns so haha to them. The SE and South Central got chilly so no temp contrast.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 4, 2023 Author Share Posted May 4, 2023 4 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: The SE and South Central got chilly so no temp contrast.... Retrograding and building ridge into the West with lowering heights in the East = no Bueno But there will be daily episodes of thunderstorms with localized severe weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 4, 2023 Share Posted May 4, 2023 30 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: After a historically active January-April in terms of tornadoes May is looking dead. Sucks for the people who booked vacations to go chasing in May...and not really b/c many of them are nothing but clowns so haha to them. Usually not good with ridging into the Rockies. You'd want the pattern we had all winter for big Plains SVR. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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