HIPPYVALLEY Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 54 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Congrats Ct river valley. Classic setup for 2-3 Oh’ we do qpf great in the warm months. Not so much in the winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 Saturday Rain, mainly after 1pm. The rain could be heavy at times. Patchy fog before 8am. High near 64. Southeast wind 7 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible. Saturday Night Rain, mainly before 1am. The rain could be heavy at times. Low around 52. South wind around 10 mph becoming west after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 HREF probability matched mean QPF, indicative of a worst case scenario, pinpoints the possibility of up to 5" of rain across portions of the CT River Valley/western MA. While we do not anticipate widespread totals of 5", it is quite possible that a few localities see 4" of rain from this system. Anecdotally, this system has a history of overachieving, dropping as much as 10" of rain across eastern North Carolina yesterday. Our CWA continues to be highlighted in an area of marginal risk in WPC`s Excessive Rainfall Outlook. While southern New England has been rain starved for the last two weeks, a rapid injection of 3-4" of rain will possibly result in poor drainage and urban flooding, especially if it falls across central CT where there is more urban sprawl. While a flood watch was not hoisted with this update, it is possible that if the 12Z suite of guidance trends higher in anticipated QPF that a short fused watch will be issued later this morning. More details can be found in the hydro section of the AFD. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 Seems like 6z stuff shifted east a bit. Overall widespread soaking. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 WTTE. Hopefully plenty of flooding Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 54 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Seems like 6z stuff shifted east a bit. Overall widespread soaking. Looking forward to all the accumulated pollen being washed away. Streets of lime green flowing down the hill. Super Soaker. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 53 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: WTTE. Hopefully plenty of flooding One of those overachievers. Seems LR for Memorial day weekend is ugly . 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 Nice to see a little sun this morning. Certainly unexpected Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 GFS has turned ugly for Memorial Day Weekend. Torch gone with a cut off low bringing periods of rain and onshore flow for days. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 GEFS are fine though . Keeps all of that well south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 A mix of light mist with a few peeks of the sun on the dog walk. Mosquitoes have arrived 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 1 hour ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: GFS has turned ugly for Memorial Day Weekend. Torch gone with a cut off low bringing periods of rain and onshore flow for days. It’s obviously too far out for details but there’s been pretty remarkable consistency across the GEFS and EPS for much worse weather and a sig disturbance centered around the mid Atlantic, coinciding with Friday to Sunday window. And so, likewise, for our subforum—>odds currently favor much better weather north, especially relative to climo. Looking around, observationally, the persistent exceptional dryness, portends a “clash of air masses”, fueling baroclinicty, if you will, as we head into unofficial summer. This makes me believe a subtropical disturbance type outcome as advertised on the 6z GFS has greater plausibility than we normally can assign this far out. It could still flip, but odds are high enough in the mid Atlantic that I’m about pull the trigger on cancelling a trip to eastern Long Island and instead enjoy the long weekend around here with some day trips into Maine. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metagraphica Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 61 and steady rain now. Nice to get the pollen knocked down today. Wash the truck and car tomorrow. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 Just now, metagraphica said: 61 and steady rain now. Nice to get the pollen knocked down today. Wash the truck and car tomorrow. Light rain just started here NE of you and 63F 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 Gonna be pissed if Boston sports cancels my softball double header in Cambridge Sunday afternoon for wet field 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 42 minutes ago, metagraphica said: 61 and steady rain now. Nice to get the pollen knocked down today. Wash the truck and car tomorrow. I almost pulled the trigger when fillin' the tank last night, and use the station's free albeit grungy slime detergent they never rotate ... but then hoped in the moment that I'll just drive down the highway at 70 mph in a moderate rain and that'll clean the vehicle just fine. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 15 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Gonna be pissed if Boston sports cancels my softball double header in Cambridge Sunday afternoon for wet field They would do that? heh...candy asses ... It's gonna be like 77 F with that kind of soothing amount of DP ( non-oppressive) lingering, and nice warm sun. Wet fields? wow ...unless you meant 'flooded field' 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 5 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: I almost pulled the trigger when fillin' the tank last night, and use the station's free albeit grungy slime detergent they never rotate ... but then hoped in the moment that I'll just drive dow the highway at 70 mph in a moderate rain and that'll clean the vehicle just fine. DIT just had a stroke reading this. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 CT for the win. Here 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 11 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: They would do that? heh...candy asses ... It's gonna be like 77 F with that kind of soothing amount of DP ( non-oppressive) lingering, and nice warm sun. Wet fields? wow ...unless you meant 'flooded field' Technically they love to call the games the night before , so what maybe “flooded” (some puddles of standing water) at 10pm Saturday...would be damp by 2pm Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 19 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Technically they love to call the games the night before , so what maybe “flooded” (some puddles of standing water) at 10pm Saturday...would be damp by 2pm Sunday My generation ... ( as an approximation ) may be the last one that walked to school in 9" of snow and quarter mile visibility, or met up in a field for football with pouring rain on purpose... I guess anything that is "organized" has to be overly monitored because the people the organization is providing are now useless human pustule litigates, lookin' to cash in. That's cynical humor ... But, Americana has at this point become a definitive generational cancel happy culture, so much so that we even "Cancel Culture" .. but that's something else. It really does transcend the trope where the elder says, "...Why back when we were young..." it really is that way now, where that old guy is right. When events, schools ... et al get canceled before the snow or rain is falling, and then half the time ... we're looking out the window at a setting in which neither has occurred ... that gets a little resentful. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 25 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: CT for the win. Here Congrats CT shore and New London County to Ginxy and hills of Scotland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 32 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: CT for the win. Here Stein with 1.5"? not sure that qualifies although some other areas might get over 2-2.5" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 3k with the jack up here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 Stil a lot of variance in guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 18 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: Stein with 1.5"? not sure that qualifies although some other areas might get over 2-2.5" Stein seems to have morphed into a “I didn’t jackpot” type of saying now. Get an inch of rain while others get 2-3”? Stein. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 Jimmy Jack Stein.. but I don’t care ? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 14 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Stil a lot of variance in guidance. I’m not confident in a good soaking here 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 32 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: Stein with 1.5"? not sure that qualifies although some other areas might get over 2-2.5" I’ll take under 1” here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 4 hours ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: GFS has turned ugly for Memorial Day Weekend. Torch gone with a cut off low bringing periods of rain and onshore flow for days. Eff that. Hope it's wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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