Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,587
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    LopezElliana
    Newest Member
    LopezElliana
    Joined

May obs/discussion thread - Welcome to Severe Season!!


weatherwiz
 Share

Recommended Posts

2 hours ago, dendrite said:

Calling it a top 10er already at 930a. 

I kinda feel like we've been running through our quota on those, actually...   I mean there's some subjectivity to that notion/judgement, and it also may not have been the same up near you as it has been down near Rt 2 ... but we've qualified something like 4 out of the last 6 days.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Midweek trough:

“For perspective, will be quite anomalous for this time of the year. 500mb heights in the 520s Dm range are more typical of early March according to the SPC sounding climatology for Albany, NY. Long story short, if the model trends hold and the front crosses the region after sundown, we could be looking at minor snow accumulations above 1500 ft. Bufkit soundings also hints at lingering anafrontal precipitation, so we could even see some lower elevation locales across North Country have some non-accumulating snow mixed in as the air gets progressively colder overnight Tuesday into early Wednesday.“

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

52 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Midweek trough:

“For perspective, will be quite anomalous for this time of the year. 500mb heights in the 520s Dm range are more typical of early March according to the SPC sounding climatology for Albany, NY. Long story short, if the model trends hold and the front crosses the region after sundown, we could be looking at minor snow accumulations above 1500 ft. Bufkit soundings also hints at lingering anafrontal precipitation, so we could even see some lower elevation locales across North Country have some non-accumulating snow mixed in as the air gets progressively colder overnight Tuesday into early Wednesday.“

Couldn’t buy 520 DM heights in February 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Couldn’t buy 520 DM heights in February 

Seems like there's some truth to this sarcasm - assuming it is sarcasm. heh.  

What's been happening is that in the autumns and spring, the flow typology passes through a period of amplitude, but because total velocity of the hemisphere is reducing ... this allows deeper trough/cold mid level transports to mid latitudes.  Counterintuitively, mid winter periods have become increasingly velocity saturated because total flow ends up so compressed - the baseline 534 to 546 has a tendency to get pinned to mid latitudes ... with more progressivity and rapider pattern transports. 

I mean obviously not always - we're talking tendencies. 

By the way, the GGEM (12z) has heights down to 540 dm passing over S VT/NH mid day Wed ... 2 days later, 582 ... 

  • Like 1
  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...