Damage In Tolland Posted May 1, 2023 Share Posted May 1, 2023 1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said: Here you go, Kev' Starting to see semblances of the western/tropical Pacific forcing. I've been discussing it for the past week while in wait of this type of model depiction. "Should" see more of this essence emerge. Former Pac forcing is a legit powerful observed factor, and I've been suspecting that it's just not yet ( to date) been very well sampled - therefore ... not ingesting into the initialization framework for the global guidance sources. But, we see now Phase 3--> 4 is occurring and I don't think this solution below is a merely coincidence. It is in fact, right on schedule. Like I said... the 2nd week of May - that's the way I'm still leaning for now. Which isn't that far away so. Furnace on its way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 1, 2023 Author Share Posted May 1, 2023 Just have to get through this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted May 1, 2023 Share Posted May 1, 2023 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Furnace on its way Furnace most likely way way SW 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted May 1, 2023 Share Posted May 1, 2023 That map would make a near perfect Mother’s Day weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 1, 2023 Share Posted May 1, 2023 2 hours ago, Torch Tiger said: Furnace most likely way way SW Truth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 1, 2023 Share Posted May 1, 2023 3 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Furnace on its way We'll see... I'd be happy for this outlook effort just to be consistently albeit modestly above normal. That's not really even subjectively 'furnace' but I suppose it's up to the user.. heh. Furnace is a heat wave now that we're into May. If the mid latitude telecons start to reflect this Pac dispersion shit than we might have the conversation. We also have to be leery of another a 'synoptic heat burst' ... which is different than a wholesale pattern change and can happen in somewhat isolation. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted May 1, 2023 Share Posted May 1, 2023 A few rotten days later this work week, but yeah Sat.-Tues. look glorious. Euro/GEM keep it warm beyond, we'll see if a backdoor ruins the fun. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted May 2, 2023 Share Posted May 2, 2023 2 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said: We'll see... I'd be happy for this outlook effort just to be consistently albeit modestly above normal. That's not really even subjectively 'furnace' but I suppose it's up to the user.. heh. Furnace is a heat wave now that we're into May. If the mid latitude telecons start to reflect this Pac dispersion shit than we might have the conversation. We also have to be leery of another a 'synoptic heat burst' ... which is different than a wholesale pattern change and can happen in somewhat isolation. Could be a back and forth type deal too. Either way it should be a lot warmer. We're getting closer to that solar max after all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted May 2, 2023 Share Posted May 2, 2023 Meh countdown should be for memorial day weekend.. looking forward to seeing a few good storms though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 2, 2023 Share Posted May 2, 2023 38F, damp and foggy outside. Highest elevation West Virginia mountains going to get absolutely smoked next 24 hours. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 2, 2023 Share Posted May 2, 2023 Looks like some iso storms with hail around. One in Plymouth county Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 2, 2023 Share Posted May 2, 2023 Overall May looking like #noheat 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 2, 2023 Share Posted May 2, 2023 LOL the higher reflectivity in many areas is due to bright banding. We cold aloft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted May 2, 2023 Share Posted May 2, 2023 8 hours ago, powderfreak said: 38F, damp and foggy outside. Highest elevation West Virginia mountains going to get absolutely smoked next 24 hours. Their best snow of season . Snowshoe village is unique in that it’s at top of mountain (plateau) getting crushed . 4K 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted May 2, 2023 Share Posted May 2, 2023 Meso’s develop heavy precip over RI area Late am and pinwheel it N/NE this afternoon For what looks to me like areas of heavy squalls W likely small hail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 2, 2023 Share Posted May 2, 2023 How about the MQT area. Jesus. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 2, 2023 Share Posted May 2, 2023 24 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Overall May looking like #noheat May looks warm starting Sunday. Thankfully 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 2, 2023 Share Posted May 2, 2023 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: May looks warm starting Sunday. Thankfully Lots of 70s maybe. But we’ll be prone to troughs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted May 2, 2023 Share Posted May 2, 2023 30 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Lots of 70s maybe. But we’ll be prone to troughs. 70's isn't "heat", especially by Kevin's standards for heat and humidity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
amarshall Posted May 2, 2023 Share Posted May 2, 2023 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Looks like some iso storms with hail around. One in Plymouth county We had pingers at the bus stop 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhitinsvilleWX Posted May 2, 2023 Share Posted May 2, 2023 15 minutes ago, amarshall said: We had pingers at the bus stop I came through Upton, MA about 7 am dropping off my kid at school. Pingers mixed with the downpour I drove through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 2, 2023 Author Share Posted May 2, 2023 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Lots of 70s maybe. But we’ll be prone to troughs. That wouldn't be a bad ordeal for convective hopes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted May 2, 2023 Share Posted May 2, 2023 mostly sunny, and 60° should be a terrific morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted May 2, 2023 Share Posted May 2, 2023 Who cares about a furnace - we will take and 60's and 70's in May. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 2, 2023 Share Posted May 2, 2023 I'm glad we got more rain this morning to rebuild the water pack. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 2, 2023 Share Posted May 2, 2023 Almost 26" of snow with 4.16" LEQ at NWS Marquette MI. Ho Lee Fuk. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted May 2, 2023 Share Posted May 2, 2023 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Almost 26" of snow with 4.16" LEQ at NWS Marquette MI. Ho Lee Fuk. Man snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted May 2, 2023 Share Posted May 2, 2023 May 1 provided 87% of the month's average precip, with 2-day totals in central Maine ranging from 4" (4.45" here) to over 6". Local rivers got well above flood stage and caused a lot of road damage - several schools are closed today due to uncertain road safety. Carrabassett peaked at 35.5k cfs, 3.9k above the previous #2 flow, from Irene. Sandy reached 31.3k, their #4 peak flow. Both rivers have data starting in the 1920s. Highest since 1987 but far short of that flood, 51.1k and 51.7k respectively. Kennebec was 8.4 ft above flood in Augusta and 113k cfs at the gauge in North Sidney, also tops since 1987, though the earlier peak of 232k dwarfs all other flows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 2, 2023 Share Posted May 2, 2023 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Almost 26" of snow with 4.16" LEQ at NWS Marquette MI. Ho Lee Fuk. Crazy 24 hour reports. 20" OTG. MQT : NWS Marquette : DH0700/ 42/ 31/ 2.00/ 10.0/ 10.5/ 7 MQT : NWS Marquette : DH0700/ 33/ 31/ 2.38/ 7.1/ 15.8/ 20 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 2, 2023 Share Posted May 2, 2023 2 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Crazy 24 hour reports. 20" OTG. MQT : NWS Marquette : DH0700/ 42/ 31/ 2.00/ 10.0/ 10.5/ 7 MQT : NWS Marquette : DH0700/ 33/ 31/ 2.38/ 7.1/ 15.8/ 20 That's incredible. They are about 1400' so that helps for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now