CT Rain Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 Just now, CoastalWx said: This favors west imo. Maybe an arc of downpours moves east in evening. I could also see an arc of WAA rains moving in during the aftn. I agree. HREF is a soaker for WOR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 43 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: Well either the Euro is onto something or on something. I hope it's wrong, we need the rain here. No rain here for almost 2 weeks, it was like mowing the Sahara this week.... I hope so too. What I do find funny is in summer the Euro is tossed and not used.. yet if this was winter folks would be worried sick . It’s not going to be that far off this close in . It may be too far east , but I’d bet it’s more right than wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 Both NAMs. Might be a west shift. Not sure… will need to see what Fisher thinks. Gonna jackpot Mitch and BackEdge by 00z lol. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 3 hours ago, DavisStraight said: I heard people calling in on the radio said they were going for $2,500, is the girl that good? I'd sell them too, no one's worth that much. No, she and her music is not. However it is a pop audience, so it's more of a "show" or performance, than reliance on music, anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 OT but just showing my age, 87 or 88 Boston played 8 consecutive sold out shows at the Worcester Centrum and I was able to go to shows 2 and 7 for a combined $50; and they actually sang with no backing tracks or auto tuning. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 Just keep tossing the Euro 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 10 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Just keep tossing the Euro Tough to compare 18z runs to a previous 12z run. We’ll see what the 18z Euro does. Euro is interesting but hard to toss all the other models, no? Even in winter when it was on an island most would be leaning towards all the others. A mean of all models would be a drenching for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tunafish Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 3 hours ago, powderfreak said: I can't. I give up. Can only show a horse where the water is but can't make him drink it. I used to have a boss that said "You can lead a horse to water but you can't make it not stupid". He evaded your "are you drunk" question. Beer lunches on a spring/summer Friday is a lock with just about every sales team in every industry. Not knocking it, kinda jealous tbh. East/west/whatever, looks like I'm getting a beneficial rainfall here which is all I care about. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 11 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Tough to compare 18z runs to a previous 12z run. We’ll see what the 18z Euro does. Euro is interesting but hard to toss all the other models, no? Even in winter when it was on an island most would be leaning towards all the others. A mean of all models would be a drenching for you. I don’t think it’s correct.. but I do think the heavy rain axis does end up along 95 corridor . That western edge in NC is dead nuts on where Euro has it . Again.. not saying it’s right.. but it should certainly be factored . I’m still thinking .50 or so locally 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I don’t think it’s correct.. but I do think the heavy rain axis does end up along 95 corridor . That western edge in NC is dead nuts on where Euro has it . Again.. not saying it’s right.. but it should certainly be factored . I’m still thinking .50 or so locally I’ll go 1-1.5” for you. Might as well draw a line for fun. I do think the widespread 2-3” is overkill except for narrow convection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 RGEM is more east, says the 3k NAM is on crack Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 1 minute ago, SouthCoastMA said: RGEM is more east, says the 3k NAM is on crack Yeah that’s more east of river again. ICON shifted west but was very Euro-like at 12z… moved to about the RGEM. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 Sitting at 3000ft wondering how much rain DIT gets. 5 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 messenger shuffle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 NYC/NJ folks that jumped all over HREF and HRRR wild runs may end up upset. Just throwing that out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: east steins I was afraid of that. Probably going to hold off on putting down fert. I’m not counting on a rogue downpour moving through late in the game Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: NYC/NJ folks that jumped all over HREF and HRRR wild runs may end up upset. Just throwing that out there. You have an odd obsession over this rain event. If it was winter you'd have locked in 18"-30" regionwide. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 Gfs very similar to 12z. Absolute deluge in eastern areas. Tough forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 2 minutes ago, CT Rain said: You have an odd obsession over this rain event. If it was winter you'd have locked in 18"-30" regionwide. You are on record on air with 3” of rain for CT. We are sure hoping you are correct! I’ll also note .. all week .. every evening.. you showed the European model animation and qpf on air . And then suddenly tonight .. you didn’t . You showed the HRRR. Interesting . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 Fully expecting 1.5 plus. Good soaker then we plant Next weekend. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 Classic signal for Vallee soaker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: You are on record on air with 3” of rain for CT. We are sure hoping you are correct! I’ll also note .. all week .. every evening.. you showed the European model animation and qpf on air . And then suddenly tonight .. you didn’t . You showed the HRRR. Interesting . He's in on the conspiracy. Don't trust him. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 10 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: You are on record on air with 3” of rain for CT. We are sure hoping you are correct! I’ll also note .. all week .. every evening.. you showed the European model animation and qpf on air . And then suddenly tonight .. you didn’t . You showed the HRRR. Interesting . lol I said that this was one model depiction and most areas get 1-2" but some areas could see more than 3... just not sure where. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 4 minutes ago, CT Rain said: lol I said that this was one model depiction and most areas get 1-2" but some areas could see more than 3... just not sure where. How come Euro animation all week on air .and then tonight made a switch? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 39 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I don’t think it’s correct.. but I do think the heavy rain axis does end up along 95 corridor . That western edge in NC is dead nuts on where Euro has it . Again.. not saying it’s right.. but it should certainly be factored . I’m still thinking .50 or so locally .75"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 31 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Yeah that’s more east of river again. ICON shifted west but was very Euro-like at 12z… moved to about the RGEM. looks great! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: How come Euro animation all week on air .and then tonight made a switch? The 12z Euro from yesterday has 1-2" of precip for most of the state. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 2 minutes ago, CT Rain said: The 12z Euro from yesterday has 1-2" of precip for most of the state. But why not use todays 12z Euro for continuity? Since you used it all week.. why not continue? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: But why not use todays 12z Euro for continuity? Since you used it all week.. why not continue? You're impossible. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 1 minute ago, CT Rain said: You're impossible. You’re dancing . And I get it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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