weatherwiz Posted April 25, 2023 Share Posted April 25, 2023 Well we are just under a week from May which means two things 1) Start of severe season 2) Consistently nicer weather with warmer temperatures Obviously given the hemispheric configuration, we're looking a bit unsettled and on the chilly side at times, especially overnight. However, there could be a pretty significant warmup perhaps moving through the second week of May towards mid-month as there are some signals for troughing to return to the west with ridging building east. May can be a fun month with drastic differences between the start of the month and end of the month. May can also surprise with some decent severe events and a few of our biggest have come in May 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted April 25, 2023 Share Posted April 25, 2023 I’ve been busy re reading everything I can about NE tornadoes so I’m ready 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewbeer Posted April 25, 2023 Share Posted April 25, 2023 wait, I thought it didn't start until May 1, as per the other thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 25, 2023 Author Share Posted April 25, 2023 9 minutes ago, Brewbeer said: wait, I thought it didn't start until May 1, as per the other thread Correct, and this is the May discussion thread 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 25, 2023 Share Posted April 25, 2023 1 hour ago, Cyclone-68 said: I’ve been busy re reading everything I can about NE tornadoes so I’m ready Better read up on drizzle too. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted April 25, 2023 Share Posted April 25, 2023 the only thing severe about it is how boring it is going to be. severely boring 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted April 25, 2023 Share Posted April 25, 2023 Severe is like world peace..It’ll never happen but there’s always hope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted April 25, 2023 Share Posted April 25, 2023 2 hours ago, SJonesWX said: the only thing severe about it is how boring it is going to be. severely boring That is how I think of May-September... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted April 25, 2023 Share Posted April 25, 2023 3 hours ago, Great Snow 1717 said: That is how I think of May-September... It’s year round these days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted April 25, 2023 Share Posted April 25, 2023 1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said: It’s year round these days. good point! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted April 26, 2023 Share Posted April 26, 2023 May, a very exciting month! let's go! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 26, 2023 Share Posted April 26, 2023 Yawn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted April 26, 2023 Share Posted April 26, 2023 The only 2 near-severe TS here, 2005 and last year, came in the 2nd week of June. And the massive tree-stripping hailstorm a few miles to our SE was on Aug 30, 2007. Top TS months, avg/yr: JULY 4.4 JUNE 3.3 AUG 3.2 MAY 1.3 SEPT 1.0 Annual avg: 14.9, but only 11.2 over the past 5 years. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted April 26, 2023 Share Posted April 26, 2023 A WILD AFTERNOON INBOUND. I'm talking Severe. Yesterday was a primer - just 5 miles to my S had baseball size HAIL. Freezing levels are around 15-20k ft. Towers are starting to go up, any cells that build over 30k are capable (strong updraft) of going severe! LEGIT SEVERE! Vehicles in the carport! These can be scary; you don't want to be in one. Watch pending. The AFD mentions to be watchful that's a first. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted April 27, 2023 Share Posted April 27, 2023 May 6th onward looking decent on the gfs op, hopefully we can rebound nicely after the wheel o rhea breaks down. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted April 27, 2023 Share Posted April 27, 2023 .LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... Highlights... * Normal to slightly cooler than normal temperatures return Saturday through mid week under a wet and unsettled cutoff low pattern. * No prolonged warm up on the horizon into at least the first week of May. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 28, 2023 Author Share Posted April 28, 2023 Well we are certainly going to see a bit of a bumpy start to May (which is fine) but looks like we could make some big strides moving into the second half of the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted April 29, 2023 Share Posted April 29, 2023 Looks decent! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 29, 2023 Share Posted April 29, 2023 Looks like we get out of this after the 8-9 or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 29, 2023 Share Posted April 29, 2023 29 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Looks like we get out of this after the 8-9 or so. Even next weekend looks nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 1, 2023 Author Share Posted May 1, 2023 It's May and it feels like crap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 1, 2023 Share Posted May 1, 2023 29 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: It's May and it feels like crap Days of crap. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted May 1, 2023 Share Posted May 1, 2023 On 4/29/2023 at 10:11 AM, CoastalWx said: Looks like we get out of this after the 8-9 or so. Yeah another week to go and I think we move on 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 1, 2023 Author Share Posted May 1, 2023 Rain stopped, clouds racing out, and finally some strong sun! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 1, 2023 Share Posted May 1, 2023 So this weekend looks like a top 20 ... maybe top 10. More so Sunday, but both days have a shot. 850s rise to +5 C and low RH at typical cloud heights (ie, mainly sun) in May no less ... will undoubtedly send realized 2-meter Ts above machine guidance. Near 70 Sat and in the 70s Sun. Light wind. Predicated on the notion that things don't change between now and then, of course. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 1, 2023 Share Posted May 1, 2023 17 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: So this weekend looks like a top 20 ... maybe top 10. For this spring that would be scattered showers and mid 50s. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 1, 2023 Share Posted May 1, 2023 1 hour ago, dendrite said: For this spring that would be scattered showers and mid 50s. we could carry that attitude every New England April/spring for that matter - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 1, 2023 Share Posted May 1, 2023 4 hours ago, weatherwiz said: It's May and it feels like crap Wipe better 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 1, 2023 Share Posted May 1, 2023 Here you go, Kev' Starting to see semblances of the western/tropical Pacific forcing. I've been discussing it for the past week while in wait of this type of model depiction. "Should" see more of this essence emerge. Former Pac forcing is a legit powerful observed factor, and I've been suspecting that it's just not yet ( to date) been very well sampled - therefore ... not ingesting into the initialization framework for the global guidance sources. But, we see now Phase 3--> 4 is occurring and I don't think this solution below is a merely coincidence. It is in fact, right on schedule. Like I said... the 2nd week of May - that's the way I'm still leaning for now. Which isn't that far away so. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted May 1, 2023 Share Posted May 1, 2023 It's May!! Let's goooo, months and months of warmth and temp talk! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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