Bubbler86 Posted June 2, 2023 Share Posted June 2, 2023 I think this part of the MU commentary should be posted (below). Albedoman called it. I suspect the Government will be up here late month if this comes to fruition. Most farms are fully protected by different laws that "encourage" them to farm so the brand-new US budget is going to take a hit from the Mid Atlantic if the drought continues. FWIW, this is still not nearly as dry as the 2020 Drought in the Western LSV and slightly westward into the App chain. where some areas had less than 1/2" of rain over a 2 1/2 to 3 month span. Areas slightly to my west were in D4 status locally though that did not show on the USGS large scale map as it was micro based. Hundreds of people had to have their wells drilled again or drilled deeper. The Monthly Drought Outlook for June forecasts a developing and worsening drought across a large portion of the mid-Atlantic States, including most of MD and PA (see below). With little rain ahead in the foreseeable future, expect large diurnal temperature variations to continue and impacts from the drought to become more detrimental and far-reaching. By mid-June, farmers may need to begin irrigation efforts to prevent crops from dying. Water shortages will also become a concern, and water restrictions could certainly become a reality by the end of June or July. The duration and severity of a drought are very difficult to predict. One soaking rainfall of just 2-3 inches can change everything, but it doesn't look good in the coming weeks.. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted June 2, 2023 Author Share Posted June 2, 2023 11 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: I think this part of the MU commentary should be posted (below). Albedoman called it. I suspect the Government will be up here late month if this comes to fruition. Most farms are fully protected by different laws that "encourage" them to farm so the brand-new US budget is going to take a hit from the Mid Atlantic if the drought continues. FWIW, this is still not nearly as dry as the 2020 Drought in the Western LSV and slightly westward into the App chain. where some areas had less than 1/2" of rain over a 2 1/2 to 3 month span. Areas slightly to my west were in D4 status locally though that did not show on the USGS large scale map as it was micro based. Hundreds of people had to have their wells drilled again or drilled deeper. The Monthly Drought Outlook for June forecasts a developing and worsening drought across a large portion of the mid-Atlantic States, including most of MD and PA (see below). With little rain ahead in the foreseeable future, expect large diurnal temperature variations to continue and impacts from the drought to become more detrimental and far-reaching. By mid-June, farmers may need to begin irrigation efforts to prevent crops from dying. Water shortages will also become a concern, and water restrictions could certainly become a reality by the end of June or July. The duration and severity of a drought are very difficult to predict. One soaking rainfall of just 2-3 inches can change everything, but it doesn't look good in the coming weeks.. Ah, so someone does read his thoughts. I was going to provide a bullet-point synopsis but decided to see if anyone would read and then comment. LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted June 2, 2023 Share Posted June 2, 2023 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: Ah, so someone does read his thoughts. I was going to provide a bullet-point synopsis but decided to see if anyone would read and then comment. LOL I did not have time earlier. I do think next week may potentially be at or more than 4GN in total for Sun - Thur. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted June 2, 2023 Share Posted June 2, 2023 90 at 1 here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted June 2, 2023 Author Share Posted June 2, 2023 Pretty impressive growth field of cumulous over eastern PA over the past hour and along with that, the first showers have fired in a few locations. Activity is drifting SW as it forms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted June 2, 2023 Share Posted June 2, 2023 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: Pretty impressive growth field of cumulous over eastern PA over the past hour and along with that, the first showers have fired in a few locations. Activity is drifting SW as it forms. Fingers crossed everyone over there scores today. Not going to do much for the drought ground water wise but would help yards and maybe some farms. Another nice job by the RGEM and Nam calling for the rains to start Friday instead of Sat. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted June 2, 2023 Share Posted June 2, 2023 The RRFS and HRRR says most are at or near their highs for the day. Staying in the low 90's (92/93) much of the LSV and upper 80's West. They are on the clock of verification. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted June 2, 2023 Author Share Posted June 2, 2023 4 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: The RRFS and HRRR says most are at or near their highs for the day. Staying in the low 90's (92/93) much of the LSV and upper 80's West. They are on the clock of verification. Temp was 91 at 12:45pm, 1 hour and 5 minutes later it's still 91. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted June 2, 2023 Share Posted June 2, 2023 4 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Temp was 91 at 12:45pm, 1 hour and 5 minutes later it's still 91. I noticed it slowed down at MDT as well. Moving between 90 and 92 for the last 90 min or so. 87 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted June 2, 2023 Share Posted June 2, 2023 If the stuff on radar is making it to the ground, there are some embedded downpours in there...lucky few who get it. NW of Reading. This is what I am reduced to...tracking a downpour. Drought 2023 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted June 2, 2023 Author Share Posted June 2, 2023 Looks like some people in the Ephrata/Lititz/Akron area might be getting wet imminently - if the area of precip and trajectory holds it will miss me wide right. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted June 2, 2023 Share Posted June 2, 2023 3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Looks like some people in the Ephrata/Lititz/Akron area might be getting wet imminently - if the area of precip and trajectory holds it will miss me wide right. It is actually more impressive looking this early than I thought we would see. Air is dry though so not sure how much is making it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted June 2, 2023 Share Posted June 2, 2023 It's doing the Tamaqua split around Lititz. Edit, it closed the split and Litiz is getting hammered on radar. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted June 2, 2023 Author Share Posted June 2, 2023 Special Weather Statement National Weather Service State College PA 302 PM EDT Fri Jun 2 2023 PAZ066-021930- Lancaster PA- 302 PM EDT Fri Jun 2 2023 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL LANCASTER COUNTY THROUGH 330 PM EDT... At 302 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over Lititz, moving southwest at 20 mph. HAZARD...Winds up to 40 mph and pea size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation possible. Locations impacted include... Lancaster, Ephrata, Columbia, Lititz, Millersville, Willow Street, Mount Joy, Manheim, East Petersburg, Akron, Leola, Salunga-Landisville, Maytown, Rothsville, Mountville, Marietta, Wrightsville, Brickerville, Leacock and Safe Harbor That was issued about 30 minutes ago - still looks like a miss wide right for me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted June 2, 2023 Share Posted June 2, 2023 Tomorrow and Sunday look super dry if anyone even sees a sprinkle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted June 2, 2023 Share Posted June 2, 2023 1 minute ago, canderson said: Tomorrow and Sunday look super dry if anyone even sees a sprinkle. Sunday does look dry but tomorrow is still open to interpretation, IMO. HRRR is actually quite wet West. Outside of modelology we have a vort streaming by tomorrow so I am waiting it out to see how much it can interject into our weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted June 2, 2023 Share Posted June 2, 2023 12 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Special Weather Statement National Weather Service State College PA 302 PM EDT Fri Jun 2 2023 PAZ066-021930- Lancaster PA- 302 PM EDT Fri Jun 2 2023 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL LANCASTER COUNTY THROUGH 330 PM EDT... At 302 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over Lititz, moving southwest at 20 mph. HAZARD...Winds up to 40 mph and pea size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation possible. Locations impacted include... Lancaster, Ephrata, Columbia, Lititz, Millersville, Willow Street, Mount Joy, Manheim, East Petersburg, Akron, Leola, Salunga-Landisville, Maytown, Rothsville, Mountville, Marietta, Wrightsville, Brickerville, Leacock and Safe Harbor That was issued about 30 minutes ago - still looks like a miss wide right for me. Lanco Zones 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted June 2, 2023 Share Posted June 2, 2023 Lawn Mowers over much of the north central area of Lancaster County will be humming this weekend. RGEM did better in the LSV with highs (vs HRRR or RRFS) as MDT and CXY both in the 95-97 range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted June 2, 2023 Share Posted June 2, 2023 96 at my house. This sucks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted June 2, 2023 Author Share Posted June 2, 2023 Drove home from work through this strange wet stuff falling from the sky...got home to dry, parched conditions here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted June 2, 2023 Share Posted June 2, 2023 Down to 94 so 96 my high I guess - I see a light whisky white cloud though! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted June 2, 2023 Share Posted June 2, 2023 12 minutes ago, canderson said: Down to 94 so 96 my high I guess - I see a light whisky white cloud though! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted June 2, 2023 Share Posted June 2, 2023 Wife called me to say she saw a streak of lightning driving home. So I check radar and there are storms around, but....they are moving from northeast to southwest out of the Poconos and into Schuylkill County. It's definitely not a normal way for storms to move in PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted June 2, 2023 Share Posted June 2, 2023 6 minutes ago, Voyager said: Wife called me to say she saw a streak of lightning driving home. So I check radar and there are storms around, but....they are moving from northeast to southwest out of the Poconos and into Schuylkill County. It's definitely not a normal way for storms to move in PA. You are getting back doored. All of us are Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted June 2, 2023 Share Posted June 2, 2023 27 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: You are getting back doored. All of us are Sunday. This is a family forum, my friend 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted June 2, 2023 Share Posted June 2, 2023 Just now, canderson said: This is a family forum, my friend LOL, it was a Friday softball for all to enjoy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted June 2, 2023 Share Posted June 2, 2023 36 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: You are getting back doored. All of us are Sunday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted June 2, 2023 Share Posted June 2, 2023 Now you know why I like Arizona so much. I don't get back doored out here... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted June 2, 2023 Share Posted June 2, 2023 20 minutes ago, Voyager said: Now you know why I like Arizona so much. I don't get back doored out here... I never knew that kind of activity was such an issue around Tamaqua. :-) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted June 2, 2023 Share Posted June 2, 2023 Several cells about to backdoor the LSV. They are aimed right at the Hershey Highway. Route 422 of course! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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