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Central PA Spring 2023


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"Anomalous +1-2SD MSLP Canadian high pressure will sink south
from Ontario into the Great Lakes today. Very dry air will
accompany the seasonably strong anticyclone with pWAT values -2
to -3SD below the mean. To put the dry air into more context,
there is the potential to set a daily record low pWAT on the
25/12Z PIT sounding this morning (0.73" observed on the 25/00Z
release; 0.26" is the current daily record low pWAT value that
is in jeopardy)."

Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

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6 minutes ago, Jns2183 said:

"Anomalous +1-2SD MSLP Canadian high pressure will sink south
from Ontario into the Great Lakes today. Very dry air will
accompany the seasonably strong anticyclone with pWAT values -2
to -3SD below the mean. To put the dry air into more context,
there is the potential to set a daily record low pWAT on the
25/12Z PIT sounding this morning (0.73" observed on the 25/00Z
release; 0.26" is the current daily record low pWAT value that
is in jeopardy)."

Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk
 

That whale is the main reason we are sweating any rain chances this weekend.   We have gone from the SER to the NER sticking it to us.  Of course Memorial day fun folks love it (at least inland, MD and south beaches still looks sour). 

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7 of the last 10 days have featured below normal temperatures. The next couple days will continue that trend before a warm to near normal over the weekend and slightly above normal temps by next week. We have a good chance to finish in the top 20 coldest May's in Chester County history. If the month ended today it would be the 15th chilliest May on record. Unfortunately, rain chances continue to look slim across most of Chester County with the best chance of any rain being Memorial Day evening. In fact with only 0.21" of rain so far this month we are well on our way to the 2nd dryest May in Chester County history...behind only 1964 that received a paltry 0.14" of rain.
Records for today: High 92 (1991) / Low 38 (1926) / Rain 1.92" (1952)
image.png.1614f80f0523d8167a263407fcc330a5.png
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New drought map is out, and they ignore us.  Did not change much if at all and they do not mention the monthly 3+ deficit in their write up.  We are not behind where we were before the late April rains and the drought monitor indexes all are not good.  Streams, ground water, etc.  

Northeast Drought Summary

A brief shot of rain provided some relief from short-term dryness. As heavy rain spread northward along the Atlantic Coast, daily-record rainfall totals for May 20 totaled at least 2 to 3 inches or more in Providence, Rhode Island (3.02 inches), and Bridgeport, Connecticut (2.34 inches). As a result, there were modest reductions in the coverage of abnormal dryness (D0), mainly from Long Island to Maine. As rain arrived, topsoil moisture rated very short to short by the U.S. Department of Agriculture peaked in Maine at 65%.

 

 

 

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No rain at all here last night from the frontal passage.  Very disappointing.  Baring a surprise late this weekend, the MDT record for driest May looks extremely likely.  We should end up almost exactly 2 degrees BN for the month as well.  Not sure how many people had a below normal temp and record driest on their monthly bingo card.  June looks to start hot but I don't see any records in jeopardy.  Let's get summer started!

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10 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

A muggy 73 here this morning. River Walk in town is super cool, marking that off the bucket list. 

Wait are you in San Antonio? If so go to Orginal Blanco Cafe (downtown) for lunch. Or get the best tacos you'll ever eat from Garcia's Mexican Food. 

If you're in Texas hit me up and I'll direct you to good eats. 

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Nooners 60 and breezy.  The NAM  continues to put us under the influence of the ULL this weekend...Rgem and Icon real close as well.  GFS rolling out at the at the moment.   (Edit-GFS is still close but cuts off right at the M/D line...much warmer than this look below) 

Like every Memorial day it seems, feel sorry for the beach goers where the low gets up to.  Skee Ball day it is. 

image.thumb.png.d617394507b5ef98607b633502fcc921.png

 

 

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We set records

"25/12Z PIT sounding this morning (0.73" observed on the 25/00Z
release; 0.26" is the current daily record low pWAT value that
is in jeopardy). * Update * PWAT on this morning`s 12Z KPBZ
sounding was an incredible 0.19". Bone dry for late May in this
part of the country."

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12 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

The Whale High will just not allow that low to climb enough on most progs.   The Beluga Drought. 

No rain chances for the next 10+ days seems like a definite thing. Crazy.  We’lll be -4” by June 15 maybe. 
 

Grass around here is browning up fast. 

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4 minutes ago, canderson said:

No rain chances for the next 10+ days seems like a definite thing. Crazy.  We’lll be -4” by June 15 maybe. 
 

Grass around here is browning up fast. 

We are way above  -4 right now.  We are into the -3's this month alone but it was 2 or 3 more inches the first 4 months.  We meaning MDT.

 

On some other places I hang out, they are calling this high the Pig High. 

 

 

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A VERY LATE potted plant advisory.   Did not think we would see one more in our sub.

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service State College PA
1022 AM EDT Thu May 25 2023

PAZ017>019-045-261100-
/O.EXB.KCTP.FR.Y.0009.230526T0700Z-230526T1100Z/
Clearfield-Northern Centre-Southern Centre-Southern Clinton-
Including the cities of DuBois, Clearfield, Philipsburg,
State College, and Lock Haven
1022 AM EDT Thu May 25 2023

...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 7 AM EDT FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Areas of frost formation, mainly in rural valley
  locations, where temperatures could fall as low as 34.

* WHERE...Clearfield, Northern Centre, Southern Centre and
  Southern Clinton Counties.

* WHEN...From 3 AM to 7 AM EDT Friday.

* IMPACTS...Near-ground freezing temperatures could kill
  unprotected outdoor vegetation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants and vegetation from the
cold. Potted plants should be brought inside.

The latest forecast information can be found on the
NWS State College Facebook page and Twitter @NWSStateCollege,
or on the web at weather.gov/ctp.

&&


 

 

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49 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said:

37 was the low. No wonder it seems like my tomato plants aren't growing. Too cold at night.

The GFS has been doing a good job forecasting these dry, cold nights and it does not show another period of them for over 10 days out (June 8th) @ 300 hours+ so you know how that is....not likely at 300 hours.  So, after tomorrow AM's low 40's this might be it. 

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Just now, Bubbler86 said:

The GFS has been doing a good job forecasting these dry, cold nights and it doe snot show another for over 10 days out into 300 hours so you know how that is....not likely.  So, after tomorrow AM's low 40's this might be it. 

We can only hope. Beginning to think that this might be a summer that won't happen. WE need heat and high dewpoints to maybe trigger thunderstorms to get some rain. 

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