TheClimateChanger Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 52 minutes ago, TimB said: That’s the other thing. Actual extreme heat in western vs. central PA looks different. 97 and above isn’t uncommon at MDT, and in fact recently seems to occur in as many summers as it doesn’t. PIT has only reached 97 in one summer (2012) since 1995. A lot of that is just elevation. MDT is 300 feet ASL, whereas PIT is 1200 feet ASL. Temperatures decline about 3-4 degrees, per 1000 feet rise. If records were still taken downtown (700-ish feet, plus UHI), there probably would be a handful of additional 97 degree readings in that timeframe. MDT also benefits from being downwind of the mountains, so downsloping effects can even enhance these differences on the hottest days. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 17 hours ago, Jns2183 said: 7 of the 10 driest Mays followed up with at least 3.5" of rain in June. What's weird is the combo of dry and bn Temps we have had. That's even more rare. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk The combination of drought, unseasonable frosts, smoky skies and brilliant sunrises and sunsets is somewhat reminiscent of 1816. Not saying we're going to have a year without a summer this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 20 minutes ago, TheClimateChanger said: The combination of drought, unseasonable frosts, smoky skies and brilliant sunrises and sunsets is somewhat reminiscent of 1816. Not saying we're going to have a year without a summer this year. Interesting trivia, the Year without a Summer, due to a Volcanic eruption, resulted in the writing of Frankenstein and may be the reason the bicycle was invented. https://scied.ucar.edu/learning-zone/how-climate-works/mount-tambora-and-year-without-summer#:~:text=Snow fell in New England,The Year Without a Summer.” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 Amongst all this actual scientific talk and trivia, the real important data is Nooners at 65 with a stiff breeze making it less than comfortable in the shade. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 68 here at noon, winds aren’t bad here though at all (5-10 max) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 1 hour ago, Bubbler86 said: Lebron missing dunks and layups. Made my night 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 All our heat records the last decade have to with our low temperatures which probably is a function of moisture Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 17 minutes ago, Wmsptwx said: Made my night And one of the worst flops ever. The king is a cheater. Bronny probably wearing a bag over his head today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: And one of the worst flops ever. The king is a cheater. Bronny probably wearing a bag over his head today. That flop was embarrassing lol…no other words for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheDreamTraveler Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 1 hour ago, TheClimateChanger said: The combination of drought, unseasonable frosts, smoky skies and brilliant sunrises and sunsets is somewhat reminiscent of 1816. Not saying we're going to have a year without a summer this year. Year without a summer is super interesting. Apparently it would sometimes be hot and then suddenly get super cold randomly. "Rapid, dramatic temperature swings were common, with temperatures sometimes reverting from normal or above-normal summer temperatures as high as 95 °F (35 °C) to near-freezing within hours." It would also be very wet and damp feeling but chilly at the same time which is interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 Both the CMC and GFS would end the discussion of a record setting dry May (as depicted) when a whirling dervish low gets cut off over in the SE, slowly moves up the coast and minors out. CMC is less but probably enough to get us out of record territory. To the surprise of no one, Memorial Day is ditched sun and fun wise for many beach communities again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 2 hours ago, Wmsptwx said: That flop was embarrassing lol…no other words for it. It was not as embarrassing as Lisa Salters interview. This Nikolai is pretty good guy, I have never watched him. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 We will be lucky for drops tomorrow Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 DropsSent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 Over at Greek Fest and just a perfect day. Winds blowing harder over here than at home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 Joe Calhoun put the wham jam on a hot summer. Do we get our first summer with no 90's? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 2 hours ago, Bubbler86 said: Joe Calhoun put the wham jam on a hot summer. Do we get our first summer with no 90's? Climate outlooks have us at 40-50% to have above average temps this summer. I would put the over under at 90+ around 12 days. https://www.axios.com/2023/05/19/hot-summer-ahead-us-climate-outlook Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 17 minutes ago, canderson said: Climate outlooks have us at 40-50% to have above average temps this summer. I would put the over under at 90+ around 12 days. https://www.axios.com/2023/05/19/hot-summer-ahead-us-climate-outlook His comments were Norm to slight above and less heat waves. Early summer not really summer but drier and hotter late summer, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 16 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: His comments were Norm to slight above and less heat waves. Early summer not really summer but drier and hotter late summer, I bet 1,000 posts MDT hits 90 12+ this year. We look set up for heat wave after wave imo as we get into middle June. And we’ve roasted for months and months (minus May thank god) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 50 minutes ago, canderson said: I bet 1,000 posts MDT hits 90 12+ this year. We look set up for heat wave after wave imo as we get into middle June. And we’ve roasted for months and months (minus May thank god) He did not comment on hitting 90, I was joking with my comment. He only said less and shorter heat waves. More of a normal summer. If may can hold on for Bn that will be 3 of the last 8 months Bn. Not great but not a 100 full on heatbox either. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted May 20, 2023 Author Share Posted May 20, 2023 Pleasant evening here in SoCal - partly cloudy and 65 here in Orange county. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 15 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Pleasant evening here in SoCal - partly cloudy and 65 here in Orange county. Identical to here - 65. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 51 for the low here...normal or slightly BN at MDT with 53. Does MDT break out of their recent BN streak today? Meso's suggest the front will be too slow and MDT will get to the required 77 to go AN today as they top out near 80. On the GFS, back to BN tomorrow then another week near normal heading into the holiday. Today is the warmest day, high temp wise, on the entire GFS run. The areas gets caught in a slow moving ULL as we move into Met Summer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 29 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: 51 for the low here...normal or slightly BN at MDT with 53/54. Does MDT break out of their recent BN streak today? Meso's suggest the front will be too slow and MDT will get to the required 76 or 77 to go AN today as they top out near 80. On the GFS, back to BN tomorrow then another week near normal heading into the holiday. Today is the warmest day, high temp wise, on the entire GFS run. The areas gets caught in a slow moving ULL as we move into Met Summer. You think that rain will advance north in Pa.? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 Just now, mahantango#1 said: You think that rain will advance north in Pa.? I will not try to forecast 7 days out. LOL. But the GFS has a very unsettled period around that time. CMC delays it a bit into early the following week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: I will not try to forecast 7 days out. LOL. But the GFS has a very unsettled period around that time. CMC delays it a bit into early the following week. We can use the rain .46 so far this month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 17 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said: We can use the rain .46 so far this month. 3X what MDT has had. USGS has to be getting their crayons out to color up the LSV on the drought map next week if nothing big happens today. This map is as bad as I have seen it (have not looked at it prior to moving back to PA). It was probably worse before the April rain but did not check it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 54 was my low. Really hope we luck out with a little rain today. Sitting at .06” for the month is tough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 The Roofus is not too bad for Western and Northern LSV today. Not going to change any drought designations but will water the grass. 3K not too far off this depiction. No droughts at the shore. This crappy trend of wet weekends there continues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 Mean Min Temp Years: Jun, July, Aug, J - A1889-1950: 61, 65.6, 63.8, 63.51951-2000: 60.9, 65.8, 64.2, 63.62001-2022: 63.1, 68.1, 66.8, 66.0Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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