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Central PA Spring 2023


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7 hours ago, canderson said:

CTP has basically cut out any rain overnight. Booooo

We got some heavy rain here in Enola around midnight. I noticed it all started to vanish as soon as it passed me so I wondered if you got any. It must have cut off. It was really weird because in western PA I saw some heavy rains that then vanished instantly in an hour and then reappeared out of nowhere when it got right near me and then vanished again

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Wonder if this has a chance of verifying?

 Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service State College PA
318 AM EDT Sun Apr 16 2023

PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-024>028-033>037-041-042-045-046-049>053-
056>059-063>066-170900-
Warren-McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron-Northern Clinton-Clearfield-
Northern Centre-Southern Centre-Cambria-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-
Juniata-Somerset-Bedford-Fulton-Franklin-Tioga-Northern Lycoming-
Sullivan-Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour-
Northumberland-Columbia-Perry-Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon-Cumberland-
Adams-York-Lancaster-
318 AM EDT Sun Apr 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Strong to severe thunderstorms with gusty winds are possible
this evening.
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26 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said:
Wonder if this has a chance of verifying?

 Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service State College PA
318 AM EDT Sun Apr 16 2023

PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-024>028-033>037-041-042-045-046-049>053-
056>059-063>066-170900-
Warren-McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron-Northern Clinton-Clearfield-
Northern Centre-Southern Centre-Cambria-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-
Juniata-Somerset-Bedford-Fulton-Franklin-Tioga-Northern Lycoming-
Sullivan-Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour-
Northumberland-Columbia-Perry-Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon-Cumberland-
Adams-York-Lancaster-
318 AM EDT Sun Apr 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Strong to severe thunderstorms with gusty winds are possible
this evening.

Most of the stuff I saw has the front getting to the LSV near midnight.    3K did have some cells on that panel.   HRRR and RGEM were not much.   Ironically this scenario of a storm driving up to the Lakes played out quite a bit during the winter and often underwhelmed.  Maybe a different result in Spring. 

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16 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

Most of the stuff I saw has the front getting to the LSV near midnight.    3K did have some cells on that panel.   HRRR and RGEM were not much.   Ironically this scenario of a storm driving up to the Lakes played out quite a bit during the winter and often underwhelmed.  Maybe a different result in Spring. 

Would be nice to see a lightning show and get some rain.

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1 hour ago, mahantango#1 said:

Would be nice to see a lightning show and get some rain.

MR models are indeed mostly dry for the work week after tomorrow AM.  Maybe a shot of something Tue night.  Just noticed there is a dense fog advisory out for the LSV.   MDT now at an avg temp of 58 on the dot.   Good shot they go past 58.3 today to give MJS the good call. 

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4 hours ago, TheDreamTraveler said:

We got some heavy rain here in Enola around midnight. I noticed it all started to vanish as soon as it passed me so I wondered if you got any. It must have cut off. It was really weird because in western PA I saw some heavy rains that then vanished instantly in an hour and then reappeared out of nowhere when it got right near me and then vanished again

Loos like I got .01” overnight.  I didn’t hear it and the windows were open lol

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1 hour ago, Bubbler86 said:

MR models are indeed mostly dry for the work week after tomorrow AM.  Maybe a shot of something Tue night.  Just noticed there is a dense fog advisory out for the LSV.   MDT now at an avg temp of 58 on the dot.   Good shot they go past 58.3 today to give MJS the good call. 

Next weekend might be quite rainy 

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Some folks in southern Chester County picked up close to an inch of rain with last evening's storms. Unfortunately most of the county received much less than that...here in East Nantmeal we received only 0.03". There is another chance of some showers or thunderstorms overnight tonight but unfortunately dry begets dry it would seem for most!
Back to near normal temps tomorrow and then well below normal highs on Tuesday with temp struggling to reach the mid-50's. Warmer again by weeks end.
Records for today: High 90 (1896)/ Low 20 (1926) / Rain 2.42" (1929) and Snow 2.0" from 2007.
image.png.937716d5424c84184ca64fe0d8f1732a.png
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1 hour ago, canderson said:

Thought today was supposed to be cooler?  It’s already 70 at 11:30. 

Today was always supposed to be in the 80's as to the last few days when I looked. Yesterday got a bit warmer than modeled earlier in the week. When I last looked Mon or Tue looked about 10-15 BN.  Lows in the 30's and highs not far from 50. 

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10 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

Today was always supposed to be in the 80's as to the last few days when I looked. Yesterday got a bit warmer than modeled earlier in the week. When I last looked Mon or Tue looked about 10-15 BN.  Lows in the 30's and highs not far from 50. 

CTP posted a map that HBG southwest would be +1 or more AN Monday. 

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2 hours ago, canderson said:

CTP posted a map that HBG southwest would be +1 or more AN Monday. 

Here is the GFS from 7 days ago for today.  It actually showed some panels, later in the week, with 80's today but this is basically a signal for 80 being mid to upper 70's at 1PM.  For tomorrow the GFS shows it in the upper 50's at MDT at this time. 

image.thumb.png.e7ba2a25df80122db89114c2fd8b3c39.png

 

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