Met1985 Posted June 15, 2023 Share Posted June 15, 2023 Yeah this is some insane amounts. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted June 15, 2023 Share Posted June 15, 2023 I'm saving this. Might be the highest rain total output for WNC I have ever seen since I have started following weather models. Only other thing that was close was Ivan back in 2004. It was supposed to stall out over our area but luckily moved quicker than anticipated (the flooding was still bad) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted June 15, 2023 Share Posted June 15, 2023 On 6/15/2023 at 7:02 PM, wncsnow said: I'm saving this. Might be the highest rain total output for WNC I have ever seen since I have started following weather models. Only other thing that was close was Ivan back in 2004. It was supposed to stall out over our area but luckily moved quicker than anticipated (the flooding was still bad) Expand Yeah there are some insane outputs in this run. But you know the euro has been honking at a really wet period coming over the next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted June 15, 2023 Share Posted June 15, 2023 The 12z eps does support this also.Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxKnurd Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 All the rest of the week spoiled me to the point where 61 in mid-June at night is hot now 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 This is more believable. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 Models are shifting south fast. Some give me very little already. To much northwest flow around the upper low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 On 6/16/2023 at 10:41 AM, wncsnow said: Models are shifting south fast. Some give me very little already. To much northwest flow around the upper low Expand You know how these things are. It's basically a crap shoot at this point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 On 6/16/2023 at 10:45 AM, Met1985 said: You know how these things are. It's basically a crap shoot at this point. Expand Yep. We just need 2 or 3 inches of rain and we will be OK for a while 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 On 6/16/2023 at 10:41 AM, wncsnow said: Models are shifting south fast. Some give me very little already. To much northwest flow around the upper low Expand Delayed but not denied! Don’t forget that rainfall here is only allowed on the days of Saturday and Sunday. She scoots back north just in time to make next weekend a washout. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 Models' all over the place but seems to be the southern escarpment into NE GA could be the big winners unless it trends more south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted June 17, 2023 Share Posted June 17, 2023 Euro back to craziness on the 00z suite.Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted June 17, 2023 Share Posted June 17, 2023 00z gfs not really that far off.Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted June 17, 2023 Share Posted June 17, 2023 06Z GFS is bad Are we seeing some model consensus? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted June 17, 2023 Share Posted June 17, 2023 On 6/17/2023 at 11:59 AM, wncsnow said: 06Z GFS is bad Are we seeing some model consensus? Expand Yep was just going to say. Wow if that happens. At least we've been dry and the ground can take a lot of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted June 17, 2023 Share Posted June 17, 2023 I will be interested to see this come to fruition. Regardless of the final rain totals, it does appear that we will remain much cooler than normal for June next week. CAD looks to be a definite occurrence. Can’t believe we are talking about CAD in June. . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted June 17, 2023 Share Posted June 17, 2023 Ya'll, I'm absolutely loving this cooler weather. One year ago in Fountain Inn it was 103 with a HI of 115. Today in Seneca it's currently a glorious 75 deg, a nice breeze and looking at a high of 85. Enjoy the rare weekend sunshine everyone 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted June 17, 2023 Share Posted June 17, 2023 On 6/17/2023 at 2:28 PM, buckeyefan1 said: Ya'll, I'm absolutely loving this cooler weather. One year ago in Fountain Inn it was 103 with a HI of 115. Today in Seneca it's currently a glorious 75 deg, a nice breeze and looking at a high of 85. Enjoy the rare weekend sunshine everyone Expand Yeah this spring so far has been perfect in our region. This has been a beautiful spring. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted June 17, 2023 Share Posted June 17, 2023 NAM coming into range and showing some heavy amounts with a lot more to come... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted June 17, 2023 Share Posted June 17, 2023 Out to hour 129 and the 12z gfs continues to look wet.Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted June 17, 2023 Share Posted June 17, 2023 12z euro....Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted June 17, 2023 Share Posted June 17, 2023 The trend in the 18z gfs continues. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted June 18, 2023 Share Posted June 18, 2023 00z gfs continues to look wet.Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted June 18, 2023 Share Posted June 18, 2023 The 00z euro is crazy looking. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted June 18, 2023 Share Posted June 18, 2023 Pretty much every model has 6 to 12 inches of rain here. Insane. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted June 18, 2023 Share Posted June 18, 2023 On 6/18/2023 at 11:52 AM, wncsnow said: Pretty much every model has 6 to 12 inches of rain here. Insane. Expand Yeah that's going to a lot of major issues with flooding. Kind of glad we are dry currently. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted June 18, 2023 Share Posted June 18, 2023 06z gfs continues the trend....Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted June 18, 2023 Share Posted June 18, 2023 the setup is different but the fetch of moisture, orientation and duration will be the same. This event reminds me a lot of the June 2019 flooding. We’ve been dry but it could be a long week here - I suspect even the models with 6-10 inches may be too conservative since they struggle with upslope enchantment. Summary: https://www.weather.gov/rnk/2019_06_07_10_Flood 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted June 19, 2023 Share Posted June 19, 2023 00z NAM Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted June 19, 2023 Author Share Posted June 19, 2023 On 6/19/2023 at 3:01 AM, Met1985 said: 00z NAM Sent from my SM-G998U using TapatalkThe 3km destroys the northern escarpment. Haven't seen a flow like this in a while. Worth noting it has 30-40mph wind gusts to boot on Tuesday night and is generally very breezy overall. Could have some stout storms tomorrow too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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