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Severe Weather 4-2-23/4-3-23


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Confirmed tornado

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
528 PM CDT Sun Apr 2 2023

TXC293-022245-
/O.CON.KFWD.TO.W.0017.000000T0000Z-230402T2245Z/
Limestone TX-
528 PM CDT Sun Apr 2 2023

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM CDT FOR SOUTH
CENTRAL LIMESTONE COUNTY...

At 526 PM CDT, a confirmed tornado was located 12 miles north of
Bremond, or 14 miles southwest of Groesbeck, moving northeast at 35
mph. The tornado was located on Highway 14 near Kosse at 5:24 PM.

HAZARD...Damaging tornado and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
Thornton and Kosse.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! If you are
outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest
substantial shelter now!  Get to an interior room on the lowest floor
of a sturdy building and avoid windows.

&&

LAT...LON 3139 9671 3148 9654 3132 9639 3130 9643
      3129 9665
TIME...MOT...LOC 2226Z 246DEG 30KT 3134 9665

TORNADO...OBSERVED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN

$$

Barnes
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Tornado Warning
TXC035-217-030045-
/O.NEW.KFWD.TO.W.0020.230402T2356Z-230403T0045Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
656 PM CDT Sun Apr 2 2023

The National Weather Service in Fort Worth has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  Southeastern Bosque County in central Texas...
  Southwestern Hill County in central Texas...

* Until 745 PM CDT.

* At 656 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
  was located over Meridian, or 10 miles northwest of Clifton, moving
  southeast at 30 mph.

  HAZARD...Tornado and half dollar size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

  IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
           shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
           Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree
           damage is likely.

* This dangerous storm will be near...
  Clifton around 715 PM CDT.
  Laguna Park around 730 PM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include
Womack, Lakewood Harbor, Cayote, Morgan, Cedar Shores and Lakeside
Village.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile
home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and
protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3193 9775 3204 9767 3198 9723 3179 9728
      3170 9748
TIME...MOT...LOC 2356Z 301DEG 26KT 3192 9766

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.25 IN

$$

Dunn
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I think this is a sneaky non-TDS as the velocities aren't very high. Any thoughts?

 

Quote

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 PM CDT FOR CENTRAL
MILAM COUNTY...
    
At 900 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Rockdale, moving southeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

 

fake debris ball1.jpg

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Added 4/3 for potential sleeper

 

day1otlk_1630.gif

 

North/Central Texas...
   Moderate to strong buoyancy and 50+ kt of deep-layer shear will
   support a conditionally favorable supercell environment along/just
   ahead of a dryline late this afternoon and early evening over parts
   of north/central TX. Near-neutral mid-level heights with minor
   downstream ridging is expected across the dryline. This area will
   also be well removed from a deepening upper trough across the
   western CONUS.

   Low-level convergence along the dryline should remain weak, but
   could be relatively maximized in the early evening across central TX
   as the dryline starts to retreat. Some 12Z convection-allowing
   models suggest a thunderstorm or two may briefly develop. However,
   uncertainty remains high regarding a particular location. Any
   sustained supercell would pose a conditional risk of all severe
   hazards, but large hail is likely if a thunderstorm can form and be
   sustained. Given the uncertainty in whether any convection will
   initiate given the negligible large-scale ascent, will maintain low
   severe probabilities with this update. But, observational and
   short-term model trends will be closely monitored for a possible
   upgrade to Slight Risk at 20Z, if warranted.
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