nj2va Posted April 30, 2023 Share Posted April 30, 2023 Good write up by LWX on the snow threat for the highest elevations. When we were at Deep Creek last weekend, people were putting their boats / docks in the lake. Cold start to May on tap. There is the potential for a significant heavy/wet snow event at the highest elevations (above 3000FT) in the Alleghenies - particularly in western Grant, western Pendleton, and northwest Highland Counties. The 00Z model guidance and ensemble suites trended higher with QPF and snow totals, with some of the deterministic guidance producing significant snow totals. Even though temperatures are forecast to be right around or just above freezing, snow accumulations are possible at 2000-2500FT, and likely above 3000FT. The combination of wet snow, "greened- up" vegetation due to record warmth to start the year, and strong WSW/W winds has the potential to result in significant tree and power line damage. This is going to be a prolonged event from Monday afternoon through Wednesday night, with the heaviest snow most likely Monday night into Tuesday. The current forecast calls for storm total snow amounts of 4" or more at those highest elevations, and maybe 1-2" down to 2500FT. It will be hard to get accumulations during the day, but certainly expected at night. Decisions for any winter headlines will be made this afternoon once the 12z model suite arrives this morning and midday. Uncertainty remains, so stay tuned to the forecast for additional updates over the next couple of days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
katabatic Posted April 30, 2023 Share Posted April 30, 2023 Front has passed through SW Garrett County. Will be interesting to see if a fraction of those (seemingly outlandish) modeled upslope snow totals come close to verifying outside of Snowshoe/Canaan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted April 30, 2023 Share Posted April 30, 2023 Just really nice outside. I can tell that we are still accelerating toward some kind of drought/heat dome pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted April 30, 2023 Share Posted April 30, 2023 Pretty cool spin West of Kitty Hawk, as the pressure drops at near 29.09 near Norfolk. Line of storms forming North South over the Chessy Bay currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted April 30, 2023 Share Posted April 30, 2023 Almost an inch from the second round. After heavy rain earlier today, been a misty afternoon with the occasional heavier shower Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted April 30, 2023 Share Posted April 30, 2023 The wind has shifted direction. Cool radar from Va. beach. https://radar.weather.gov/station/KAKQ/standard (These -NAO's keep going to a warmer pattern in the SE ridge.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kay Posted April 30, 2023 Share Posted April 30, 2023 Dumping rain. Gonna have to rely on radar estimates for my final tally 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowtoRain Posted April 30, 2023 Share Posted April 30, 2023 1.0" so far today, 4.21" since Friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted April 30, 2023 Share Posted April 30, 2023 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted April 30, 2023 Share Posted April 30, 2023 0.36" so far Half inch or so will probably be it for this event based on radar, after just about 3" for round 1. Mostly missed in all directions today other than light stuff. Plenty of rain the last 7+ days though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted April 30, 2023 Share Posted April 30, 2023 Another brief rain line coming through, on its way out now. No thunder unlike this morning’s brief storm. Northern Neck has had a lot of rain, but Richmond missed a lot of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted May 1, 2023 Share Posted May 1, 2023 Anyone chasing? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted May 1, 2023 Share Posted May 1, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted May 1, 2023 Share Posted May 1, 2023 Wind has entered mby. Few little gusts 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 1, 2023 Share Posted May 1, 2023 A bit wimby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonjon Posted May 1, 2023 Share Posted May 1, 2023 1 hour ago, snowfan said: Anyone chasing? Nope. Running . . . 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted May 1, 2023 Share Posted May 1, 2023 0.65" total for yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherCCB Posted May 1, 2023 Share Posted May 1, 2023 0.73 yesterday 2.32” total Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted May 1, 2023 Share Posted May 1, 2023 2.12" for the weekend. Perfect amount. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted May 1, 2023 Share Posted May 1, 2023 1 hour ago, nw baltimore wx said: 2.12" for the weekend. Perfect amount. About 2.5” IMBY. Basically right on the ensemble mean leading into the weekend. Not a total drought buster, but a big help. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GramaxRefugee Posted May 1, 2023 Share Posted May 1, 2023 4.92" for the month of April. First above-normal month since December. Highest temp 88f; lowest 31. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted May 1, 2023 Share Posted May 1, 2023 2.29" Friday 0.04" Saturday 1.71" yesterday 4.04" total for the event. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted May 1, 2023 Share Posted May 1, 2023 My numbers for the month of April, 2023 Total precip was 3.79 inches vs a normal of 3.64 inches, a +0.15 above average. The wettest day was the 28th with 1.41 inches falling. There were 11 days with measurable, one day with a 'T' and 18 dry days. Zero snowfall for the month vs a normal of 0.3 inches, a -0.3 inches below normal and ties several years with no snowfall for the month. The averaged high temp was 68.7 degrees vs a normal of 66.2 degrees, a +2.5 degrees above normal. The warmest day was the 21st with a 84.6 degree reading. The averaged low temp was 39.6 degrees vs a normal of 38.9 degrees, a +0.7 degrees above normal. The coldest temp recorded for the month was 27.2 degrees on the 9th. The overall averaged temp was 54.1 degrees vs a normal of 52.5 degrees, a +1.6 degrees above normal. The highest wind recorded was 46 mph on the 2nd. Only record for month is the tied no snowfall. Records go back to Oct 1979. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kay Posted May 1, 2023 Share Posted May 1, 2023 16 hours ago, Kay said: Dumping rain. Gonna have to rely on radar estimates for my final tally 3.00" per iweathernet 72 hour 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted May 1, 2023 Share Posted May 1, 2023 Good soaker. 3.20" for the period. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted May 1, 2023 Share Posted May 1, 2023 ^ Looks like the local stations didn't report anything for yesterday, but based on that dumping yesterday morning and the light rain through much of the day, as well as a few relatively close reports, I'd say we were just a little shy of 1" on the day. Add that to nearly 2" on Friday and you have yourself a pretty squishy Monday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowtoRain Posted May 1, 2023 Share Posted May 1, 2023 1.33" yesterday, 4.54" total, 7.26" for April. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted May 1, 2023 Share Posted May 1, 2023 7.15" for April here. 5"+ fell over the last 10 days 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted May 2, 2023 Share Posted May 2, 2023 6 hours ago, MN Transplant said: Good soaker. 3.20" for the period. I totaled around 3” imby and the dot closest to me is that 3.04” in Leesburg. Pretty on target. Backyard garden is doing well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted May 2, 2023 Share Posted May 2, 2023 Huge swirl last night and pretty slow moving today. Could not get near this last winter but two cold months in a row shows up most years. It’s just gotta cycle in right snd that’s kinda 2 out of 12 or 1/6th, And, generally, we get something big here every 5/6 years averaged since 1975 to present Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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