mitchnick Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 30 hrs is deeper than 18z at 36 and not as broad positive changes continue to occur Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 small 850 Low has developed at 30 hrs in NW SC!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNJwx Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 small 850 Low has developed at 309 hrs in NW SC!!! 2 weeks from now? Haha, did you mean 30 or 39? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tiburon Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 small 850 Low has developed at 309 hrs in NW SC!!! He's so cranked up he's posting from his phone! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 36...much improved over 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 2 weeks from now? Haha, did you mean 30 or 39? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 what? the trough is back west a bit of 18z at 30 hrs vs. 0Z at 24 the n stream yeah but the southern vort drives the surface initially.. it's going to phase at some pt... you want the low as far west as possible tho initially. this isnt going to look like sref it seems. should still be a graze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherweather Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 dont positive changes mean OTS...we want negative changes...right.....speaking for the MA lol by positive he means good, not the axis of the trough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dalfy Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 This run is looking beautiful check out 500 @36 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 And Boom goes the dynamite at 36...look at that thing! Trough is farther west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 dont positive changes mean OTS...we want negative changes...right.....speaking for the MA no, positive for snow chances Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 And Boom goes the dynamite at 36...look at that thing! Trough is farther west what an incredibly deep trough it "should" consolidate into an egg or ball shape by 42 hrs down around TN or even further south I would think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 25, 2010 Author Share Posted December 25, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 this should make Wes happy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarolineWx Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 This run looks like it may still go east but its much better than past NAM runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
33andrain Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 This is much better then 12z! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
waldo5252 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Ian says not as good and others say BOOM......i am so confused right now, which is it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Confuzzled Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 hr 36 vs 18z..... slightly west slightly deeper.... (easiest to notice by looking at the placement of the 540dm line on both... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslotted Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 just looking at the differences in the trough between hr 36 at 00z and hr 42 at 18z, it looks like the heaviest precip should could come a tad further west... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 36 does look better but it's still gonna miss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 25, 2010 Author Share Posted December 25, 2010 RSM http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/RSMEAST_0z/rsmloop.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dalfy Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 This run looks like it may still go east but its much better than past NAM runs closer... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 OK, I can't believe what the NAM is doing at 42 hours that seems crazy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Hr 45 simulated radar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 This run makes me quiver a bit. Seem to be subtle changes in how the low bombs... but I'm not a Met. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 RSM http://www.meteo.psu...0z/rsmloop.html It follows the contour of the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 OK, I can't believe what the NAM is doing at 42 hours that seems crazy looks about as i expected earlier.. takes a while for things to turn. we need the low to form start going strong further west along the n gom. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 RSM http://www.meteo.psu...0z/rsmloop.html Wow! But how trustworthy is the RSM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Wow! But how trustworthy is the RSM? Well considering that it's not mentioned a whole lot I'd take it with a grain of salt. That is just me speaking, though. I don't know its track record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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