yoda Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 The 21z SREFs have initialized... it will be interesting to see if they continue the westward shift or if they hold. Also, if there will be any more model errors this go-around. Interesting to note on the 00z RUC at 15 hrs, the southern s/w is quite strong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 25, 2010 Author Share Posted December 25, 2010 It does seem that a few members have the low closer to the coast then the mean shows here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 It does seem that a few members have the low closer to the coast then the mean shows here... Mabye I'll start worrying about rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chademer07 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Is it me or is the southern S/W much stronger? especially only 6 hours out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 25, 2010 Author Share Posted December 25, 2010 Westward ho! 21z 15z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 sref a big hit now.. prob .6-.7 DC area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Wow on the SREFS!! This is the real deal....no data issues this time, so we can't blame that. .5 to DC now!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 peace and good cheer to all, and may you have visions of sugarplums, and significant accumulations, dancing in your heads… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlYourWxPal Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 sref a big hit now.. prob .6-.7 DC area Hmmm....not sure what to do now with my 1-3" but I think I'm keeping it now for Salisbury...maybe change it by 0Z if trends continue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Are the 21z srefs valid or are these also corrupted? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEVAsNOwSTORM Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Wow on the SREFS!! This is the real deal....no data issues this time, so we can't blame that. .5 to DC now!! Was there ever data issues? I would like to know... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Is it me or is the southern S/W much stronger? especially only 6 hours out it's been almost continually modeled stronger each run prob since it's stronger to start Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solo2 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Wow on the SREFS!! This is the real deal....no data issues this time, so we can't blame that. .5 to DC now!! ....and high ratio snow at that. Great turn of events so far today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 For the northern areas....wow guys Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Hmmm....not sure what to do now with my 1-3" but I think I'm keeping it now for Salisbury...maybe change it by 0Z if trends continue. looks good, just change the "inches" to "feet" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 For the northern areas....wow guys Randy, 66 hrs seems to be the biggest expansion to the West for 24 hr qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Hmmm....not sure what to do now with my 1-3" but I think I'm keeping it now for Salisbury...maybe change it by 0Z if trends continue. yeah i have my forecast for tomorrow on CWG all worked out except the storm part. CWG upped pops this evening a bit but may need again for morning... sref not always the guide it seems to be, but 'trend' on the american models is pretty clear at this pt if they stay/build and euro doesnt back down it's a real bizzaro world Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 25, 2010 Author Share Posted December 25, 2010 h5 at 12 reopens but thats a powerful vort in W LA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Trough not as sharp as 18z...on NAM... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Trough not as sharp as 18z...on NAM... West coast ridge is more amplified. Southern shortwave is also further north which might be good for the phase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 this is what I am most impressed with on the SREF's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Trough at 21 is sharper...in a positive fashion....looks different, but still looks pretty good! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Trough not as sharp as 18z...on NAM... a hair west however Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherweather Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 if you compare to 18z gfs it matches that better than 18z nam imo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 just eyeballing the 700mb RH at 18 hrs, this looks to be a decent hit for MA those uvv's in NC/SC/GA are the tip-off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 nam a little faster with the southern vort.. looks like it's getting going in the ngom but overall faster now has meant more east later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 nam a little faster with the southern vort.. looks like it's getting going in the ngom but overall faster now has meant more east later. what? the trough is back west a bit of 18z at 30 hrs vs. 0Z at 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 nam a little faster with the southern vort.. looks like it's getting going in the ngom but overall faster now has meant more east later. Wha? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
33andrain Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Looks deeper, sharper, and further west at 30. Can't wait to see what it means! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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