WestMichigan Posted April 4, 2023 Share Posted April 4, 2023 1 hour ago, Lightning said: Really makes sense. Day 2 events are so dependent around here on what happens during Day 1 to the west. Seen way to many Day 2 events be nothing more a windy rain shower without even thunder. Even the SPC noted the Great Lakes could impact it: It remains unclear what effect the cooler marine layer from Lake Michigan has on adjacent coastal areas, particularly into portions of western Michigan. GRR talked about that in the overnight AFD also. It will be interesting to see what if anything can develop near Lake Michigan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hardypalmguy Posted April 4, 2023 Share Posted April 4, 2023 4 minutes ago, WestMichigan said: GRR talked about that in the overnight AFD also. It will be interesting to see what if anything can develop near Lake Michigan. Having Lake Michigan next to us is like living near the Arctic Ocean. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted April 4, 2023 Share Posted April 4, 2023 Getting some snowflakes/sleet now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted April 4, 2023 Share Posted April 4, 2023 2" diameter hail is being reported in the Muscatine to Davenport corridor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted April 4, 2023 Share Posted April 4, 2023 3 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said: 2" diameter hail is being reported in the Muscatine to Davenport corridor. A little morning-time rear flank downdraft 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted April 4, 2023 Share Posted April 4, 2023 4 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said: 2" diameter hail is being reported in the Muscatine to Davenport corridor. Now 2.50" hail is being reported in Davenport. Yikes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted April 4, 2023 Share Posted April 4, 2023 3.00" hail in Davenport, 80 mph wind in Moline... pretty impressive for 10am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted April 4, 2023 Share Posted April 4, 2023 Just hitting the road, the "first Tuesday of the month" siren just deafened us from right across the road. Foreshadowing much? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted April 4, 2023 Share Posted April 4, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted April 4, 2023 Share Posted April 4, 2023 31 minutes ago, WestMichigan said: GRR talked about that in the overnight AFD also. It will be interesting to see what if anything can develop near Lake Michigan. Strong flow at 925 can mitigate negative effects over the lake. If there's enough surface backing there can be some enhancement. The southeastern side looks most favorable though. I get the feeling there will be broken initiation along the lake breeze, like right along 131, that then fills in and grows as it moves east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted April 4, 2023 Share Posted April 4, 2023 90 mph wind gust at the Quad Cities airport! 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted April 4, 2023 Share Posted April 4, 2023 that cell means business. just chucking out baseballs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted April 4, 2023 Share Posted April 4, 2023 if this thing dynamically drills down to the surface and plants a wedge at 50/48, I'll be stunned Edit: Looks like it's trying to develop a rear inflow jet 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted April 4, 2023 Share Posted April 4, 2023 I just realized the core of this powerful storm is hitting Cyclone's house as I type. He's probably getting golfball to baseball size hail right now. He may be at work, though. I hope he doesn't get too much damage. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
schoeppeya Posted April 4, 2023 Share Posted April 4, 2023 Going to be an area to watch for any residual boundaries this afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted April 4, 2023 Share Posted April 4, 2023 7 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said: I just realized the core of this powerful storm is hitting Cyclone's house as I type. He's probably getting golfball to baseball size hail right now. He may be at work, though. I hope he doesn't get too much damage. If I'm not mistaken, he (Cyclone) is still out of town on vacation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted April 4, 2023 Share Posted April 4, 2023 3 minutes ago, Powerball said: If I'm not mistaken, he (Cyclone) is still out of town on vacation. He's back. Earlier this morning he posted he works today til 4pm and then may chase. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Witness Protection Program Posted April 4, 2023 Share Posted April 4, 2023 First tor warn of the day? https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=DVN&wwa=tornado warning BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Quad Cities IA/IL 1016 AM CDT Tue Apr 4 2023 The National Weather Service in the Quad Cities has issued a * Tornado Warning for... South central Whiteside County in northwestern Illinois... Northeastern Henry County in northwestern Illinois... Northwestern Bureau County in north central Illinois... * Until 1030 AM CDT. * At 1016 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located near Spring Hill, or 17 miles northeast of Cambridge, moving northeast at 30 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. * This dangerous storm will be near... Hooppole, Yorktown and Leon Corners around 1030 AM CDT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cartier God Posted April 4, 2023 Share Posted April 4, 2023 30 minutes ago, frostfern said: Strong flow at 925 can mitigate negative effects over the lake. If there's enough surface backing there can be some enhancement. The southeastern side looks most favorable though. I get the feeling there will be broken initiation along the lake breeze, like right along 131, that then fills in and grows as it moves east. see April 3 1956. multiple supercells went surface-based and tornadic the instant they crossed the lake. not saying tomorrow will be anything like that, but it is possible this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 4, 2023 Share Posted April 4, 2023 miss south stink lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lightning Posted April 4, 2023 Share Posted April 4, 2023 6 minutes ago, Cartier God said: see April 3 1956. multiple supercells went surface-based and tornadic the instant they crossed the lake. not saying tomorrow will be anything like that, but it is possible this time of year. When I lived in Houghton off Lake Superior we had as variety of results due to Lake Superior influence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted April 4, 2023 Share Posted April 4, 2023 I'll be unable to chase this afternoon/evening due to work, as I had a decision between chasing today or Friday, and chose Friday. If I were able to, I would most definitely head out towards the IL/IA border, in anticipation of the afternoon/evening round of potential development in the vicinity of the warm front. Might still attempt to make a play on this morning/midday round if it moves in quick enough, and looks to be producing quality damaging winds/hail still. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted April 4, 2023 Share Posted April 4, 2023 17 minutes ago, Cartier God said: see April 3 1956. multiple supercells went surface-based and tornadic the instant they crossed the lake. not saying tomorrow will be anything like that, but it is possible this time of year. Definitely possible with the right setup. The main issue is the warm front position though. I think what mitigates things on this side of the state will be overnight convection slowing down the warm front rather than the lake. I think surface based cells or a line will probably move in from the SW ( not affected by the lake at all ) and affect the SE part of the state regardless. Have to see what happens tonight though with the elevated stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted April 4, 2023 Share Posted April 4, 2023 35 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said: He's back. Earlier this morning he posted he works today til 4pm and then may chase. he probably decided to chase and is not at his house. oh the irony Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestMichigan Posted April 4, 2023 Share Posted April 4, 2023 1 hour ago, frostfern said: Strong flow at 925 can mitigate negative effects over the lake. If there's enough surface backing there can be some enhancement. The southeastern side looks most favorable though. I get the feeling there will be broken initiation along the lake breeze, like right along 131, that then fills in and grows as it moves east. That would be the result 90+% of the time. If we are talking baseball sized hail like what is happening right now to the west of us then I am all for lake suppression. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted April 4, 2023 Share Posted April 4, 2023 5 minutes ago, WestMichigan said: That would be the result 90+% of the time. If we are talking baseball sized hail like what is happening right now to the west of us then I am all for lake suppression. Baseball season started get your bats out 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted April 4, 2023 Share Posted April 4, 2023 Almost baseball size hail north of the warm front near I-80. That's pretty nasty considering the storm doesn't even seem that big, and the surface based CAPE is 0. VIL and reflectivity maxed out near Princeton, so that must be the region where the large hail developed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
largetornado Posted April 4, 2023 Share Posted April 4, 2023 Look at all the gravity waves 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted April 4, 2023 Share Posted April 4, 2023 Massive hail in Oregon IL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted April 4, 2023 Share Posted April 4, 2023 Tipped semis on 88 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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